NFL Receiving Yards Props
Every WR and TE ranked by receiving yards per game, with hit rate against the line and the upcoming matchup alongside. Set your own line to see who clears it most often.
| Player | Matchup | Avg | 50+ |
|---|---|---|---|
 Jaxon Smith-NjigbaWR · SEA | vs LAC13th | 135 | 3/3 |
 Chris OlaveWR · NO | vs ATL6th | 125 | 3/3 |
 Davante AdamsWR · LAR | @ PHI26th | 119.3 | 2/3 |
 CeeDee LambWR · DAL | @ HOU8th | 103 | 2/3 |
 Christian WatsonWR · GB | @ TB20th | 94.7 | 2/3 |
 Drake LondonWR · ATL | @ NO16th | 91.3 | 2/3 |
 Dalton KincaidTE · BUF | vs NE27th | 87.7 | 2/3 |
 Matthew GoldenWR · GB | @ TB20th | 84.3 | 3/3 |
162 more pass catchers behind Pro
You're seeing the top 8 of 170. Pro unlocks every player, hit rates against any custom yardage line, position and team filters, and full game logs.
How to read this board
- What is a receiving yards hit rate?
- A hit rate is the share of games a player finished at or above a given receiving yards number. If a receiver has an 88% hit rate at 60 yards, he gained 60 or more receiving yards in 88% of his games that season.
- Why does target share matter for receiving yards props?
- Target share is a receiver’s percentage of his team’s total targets. It is the volume behind the production: a receiver with a 30% target share sees far more opportunities per game, which makes his yardage more repeatable than a player who posted the same average on fewer, longer catches.
- What is air-yards share?
- Air-yards share is a receiver’s percentage of his team’s total intended passing distance. A high air-yards share means he is used on deeper routes, which raises both his ceiling and his week-to-week variance compared with a short-target possession receiver.
- How many games are needed before a hit rate is meaningful?
- Players with fewer than 4 games are excluded from this board. Even so, treat a small sample carefully: a 100% hit rate over 4 games is far weaker evidence than 75% over 17 games.