Anytime TD Model
Real anytime-TD hit rate — the share of games each player actually found the end zone — paired with the red-zone and inside-the-10 usage that drives it.
Source: nflverse weekly player stats (actual receiving + rushing + special-teams TDs) and play-by-play red-zone usage. Anytime TD% is the player's real observed hit rate — games with at least one TD ÷ games played — not a modeled probability. TD Score is that rate shrunk toward the league average (5 pseudo-games) so a small-sample hot streak doesn't outrank a full-season workhorse; it's used only for ranking. Min 4 games. Red-zone and inside-10 touches are shown because they lead future TD output better than past TDs alone.