HeatCheck HQ Weekly Scoreboard: Sep 7, 2026 – Sep 13, 2026
Every Monday we publish the previous week's pick tracking results — hit rates by sport, confidence tier, and lean direction. No cherry-picking, no spin. Just the numbers.
This covers picks logged Sep 7, 2026 through Sep 13, 2026.
Week at a Glance
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Total Picks | 24 |
| Hits | 14 |
| Overall Hit Rate | 58.3% |
| Active Sports | MLB, NFL |
MLB — 54.5% Hit Rate (12/22)
Tier Breakdown
| Tier | Picks | Hits | Hit Rate |
|---|---|---|---|
| 70+ | 18 | 10 | 55.6% |
| 60-69 | 4 | 2 | 50.0% |
Over / Under Split
| Direction | Picks | Hits | Hit Rate |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over | 22 | 12 | 54.5% |
NFL — 100.0% Hit Rate (2/2)
Tier Breakdown
| Tier | Picks | Hits | Hit Rate |
|---|---|---|---|
| 70+ | 1 | 1 | 100.0% |
| 60-69 | 1 | 1 | 100.0% |
Over / Under Split
| Direction | Picks | Hits | Hit Rate |
|---|---|---|---|
| Under | 2 | 2 | 100.0% |
Tier Performance (All Sports)
| Confidence Tier | Picks | Hits | Hit Rate |
|---|---|---|---|
| 70+ | 19 | 11 | 57.9% |
| 60-69 | 5 | 3 | 60.0% |
What's Working: Over vs. Under
| Direction | Picks | Hits | Hit Rate |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over | 22 | 12 | 54.5% |
| Under | 2 | 2 | 100.0% |
Overs are leading this week at 54.5% across 22 picks.
This Week's Picks
Today's plays are live. Hit the dashboards for full context on each pick.
Only scored picks are included here. Same-day and pending results are excluded from hit rate calculations.
More from HeatCheck HQ:
- Top Plays — today's highest-confidence picks across all sports
- NBA First Basket Dashboard — live tip-off data and today's picks
- MLB NRFI Dashboard — no-run first inning probabilities
- NFL Matchup Dashboard — team matchup breakdowns
Related: MLB Props Hub · NFL Props Hub for more coverage.
Results are updated nightly. Hit rate calculations use scored picks only (result confirmed).