HeatCheck HQ Weekly Scoreboard: Sep 21, 2026 – Sep 27, 2026
Every Monday we publish the previous week's pick tracking results — hit rates by sport, confidence tier, and lean direction. No cherry-picking, no spin. Just the numbers.
This covers picks logged Sep 21, 2026 through Sep 27, 2026.
Week at a Glance
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Total Picks | 11 |
| Hits | 5 |
| Overall Hit Rate | 45.5% |
| Active Sports | MLB |
MLB — 45.5% Hit Rate (5/11)
Tier Breakdown
| Tier | Picks | Hits | Hit Rate |
|---|---|---|---|
| 70+ | 8 | 5 | 62.5% |
| 60-69 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% |
Over / Under Split
| Direction | Picks | Hits | Hit Rate |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over | 11 | 5 | 45.5% |
Tier Performance (All Sports)
| Confidence Tier | Picks | Hits | Hit Rate |
|---|---|---|---|
| 70+ | 8 | 5 | 62.5% |
| 60-69 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% |
What's Working: Over vs. Under
| Direction | Picks | Hits | Hit Rate |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over | 11 | 5 | 45.5% |
Overs are leading this week at 45.5% across 11 picks.
This Week's Picks
Today's plays are live. Hit the dashboards for full context on each pick.
Only scored picks are included here. Same-day and pending results are excluded from hit rate calculations.
More from HeatCheck HQ:
- Top Plays — today's highest-confidence picks across all sports
- NBA First Basket Dashboard — live tip-off data and today's picks
- MLB NRFI Dashboard — no-run first inning probabilities
- NFL Matchup Dashboard — team matchup breakdowns
Related: MLB Props Hub for more MLB props coverage.
Results are updated nightly. Hit rate calculations use scored picks only (result confirmed).