# HeatCheck HQ Weekly Scoreboard: May 11, 2026 – May 17, 2026

> Pick tracking results for the week of May 11, 2026. 44 picks scored across MLB: 63.6% hit rate. Broken down by tier and over/under direction.

**Date:** 2026-05-17  
**Author:** HeatCheck HQ  
**Tags:** Weekly Results, Pick Tracking, Hit Rate, Data Studies, MLB  
**Full article:** https://heatcheckhq.io/blog/weekly-scoreboard-may-11-2026  
**Live picks & dashboards:** https://heatcheckhq.io

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# HeatCheck HQ Weekly Scoreboard: May 11, 2026 – May 17, 2026

Every Monday we publish the previous week's pick tracking results — hit rates by sport, confidence tier, and lean direction. No cherry-picking, no spin. Just the numbers.

This covers picks logged May 11, 2026 through May 17, 2026.

## Week at a Glance

| Metric | Value |
|--------|-------|
| Total Picks | 44 |
| Hits | 28 |
| Overall Hit Rate | **63.6%** |
| Active Sports | MLB |

## MLB — 63.6% Hit Rate (28/44)

### Tier Breakdown

| Tier | Picks | Hits | Hit Rate |
|------|-------|------|----------|
| 70+ | 39 | 26 | 66.7% |
| 60-69 | 5 | 2 | 40.0% |

### Over / Under Split

| Direction | Picks | Hits | Hit Rate |
|-----------|-------|------|----------|
| Over | 41 | 27 | 65.9% |
| Under | 3 | 1 | 33.3% |

## Tier Performance (All Sports)

| Confidence Tier | Picks | Hits | Hit Rate |
|-----------------|-------|------|----------|
| 70+ | 39 | 26 | 66.7% |
| 60-69 | 5 | 2 | 40.0% |

## What's Working: Over vs. Under

| Direction | Picks | Hits | Hit Rate |
|-----------|-------|------|----------|
| Over | 41 | 27 | 65.9% |
| Under | 3 | 1 | 33.3% |

**Overs** are leading this week at 65.9% across 41 picks.

## This Week's Picks

Today's plays are live. Hit the dashboards for full context on each pick.

- [Top Plays — Today's Best Bets](/top-plays)
- [MLB Dashboard](/mlb/nrfi)

*Only scored picks are included here. Same-day and pending results are excluded from hit rate calculations.*

**More from HeatCheck HQ:**
- [Top Plays](/top-plays) — today's highest-confidence picks across all sports
- [NBA First Basket Dashboard](/nba/first-basket) — live tip-off data and today's picks
- [MLB NRFI Dashboard](/mlb/nrfi) — no-run first inning probabilities
- [NFL Matchup Dashboard](/nfl/matchup) — team matchup breakdowns

*Results are updated nightly. Hit rate calculations use scored picks only (result confirmed).*

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*Data powered by HeatCheck HQ — sports analytics platform. Free tools at https://heatcheckhq.io*