# HeatCheck HQ Weekly Scoreboard: Apr 27, 2026 – May 3, 2026

> Pick tracking results for the week of Apr 27, 2026. 48 picks scored across MLB: 56.3% hit rate. Broken down by tier and over/under direction.

**Date:** 2026-05-03  
**Author:** HeatCheck HQ  
**Tags:** Weekly Results, Pick Tracking, Hit Rate, Data Studies, MLB  
**Full article:** https://heatcheckhq.io/blog/weekly-scoreboard-apr-27-2026  
**Live picks & dashboards:** https://heatcheckhq.io

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# HeatCheck HQ Weekly Scoreboard: Apr 27, 2026 – May 3, 2026

Every Monday we publish the previous week's pick tracking results — hit rates by sport, confidence tier, and lean direction. No cherry-picking, no spin. Just the numbers.

This covers picks logged Apr 27, 2026 through May 3, 2026.

## Week at a Glance

| Metric | Value |
|--------|-------|
| Total Picks | 48 |
| Hits | 27 |
| Overall Hit Rate | **56.3%** |
| Active Sports | MLB |

## MLB — 56.3% Hit Rate (27/48)

### Tier Breakdown

| Tier | Picks | Hits | Hit Rate |
|------|-------|------|----------|
| 70+ | 38 | 22 | 57.9% |
| 60-69 | 10 | 5 | 50.0% |
| 55-59 | 0 | 0 | 0.0% |

### Over / Under Split

| Direction | Picks | Hits | Hit Rate |
|-----------|-------|------|----------|
| Over | 44 | 24 | 54.5% |
| Under | 4 | 3 | 75.0% |

## Tier Performance (All Sports)

| Confidence Tier | Picks | Hits | Hit Rate |
|-----------------|-------|------|----------|
| 70+ | 38 | 22 | 57.9% |
| 60-69 | 10 | 5 | 50.0% |

## What's Working: Over vs. Under

| Direction | Picks | Hits | Hit Rate |
|-----------|-------|------|----------|
| Over | 44 | 24 | 54.5% |
| Under | 4 | 3 | 75.0% |

**Unders** are leading this week at 75.0% across 4 picks.

## This Week's Picks

Today's plays are live. Hit the dashboards for full context on each pick.

- [Top Plays — Today's Best Bets](/top-plays)
- [MLB Dashboard](/mlb/nrfi)

*Only scored picks are included here. Same-day and pending results are excluded from hit rate calculations.*

**More from HeatCheck HQ:**
- [Top Plays](/top-plays) — today's highest-confidence picks across all sports
- [NBA First Basket Dashboard](/nba/first-basket) — live tip-off data and today's picks
- [MLB NRFI Dashboard](/mlb/nrfi) — no-run first inning probabilities
- [NFL Matchup Dashboard](/nfl/matchup) — team matchup breakdowns

*Results are updated nightly. Hit rate calculations use scored picks only (result confirmed).*

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*Data powered by HeatCheck HQ — sports analytics platform. Free tools at https://heatcheckhq.io*