# Sunday Props: Week 5 2026

> Sunday player props for Week 5 2026. We filter our TD and yardage model to Bears at Packers, Texans at Titans, and 11 more games and surface the plays with the

**Date:** 2026-10-11  
**Author:** HeatCheck HQ  
**Tags:** NFL, Sunday, NFL Props, Player Props, Weekly Picks, Betting Strategy  
**Full article:** https://heatcheckhq.io/blog/nfl-sunday-prop-picks-week-5-2026  
**Live picks & dashboards:** https://heatcheckhq.io

---

**Today's best Sunday props picks for Sunday, October 11, 2026** are Jahmyr Gibbs (Score: 55, Lions, 100% of games with a TD and 6.8 red zone touches a game), Derrick Henry (Score: 55, Ravens, 100% of games with a TD and 5.8 red zone touches a game), Mike Gesicki (Score: 50, Bengals, 100% of games with a TD and 1.0 red zone touches a game). Rankings are generated by HeatCheck HQ's touchdown rate, red zone role, and matchup scoring model, updated daily.

# Sunday Props: Week 5

Bears at Packers, Texans at Titans, and 11 more games headline a full Sunday slate. We filtered our touchdown and yardage models to the day's games and pulled the highest-usage players landing in the softest spots. No odds, just the profile and the spot.

> [Top Plays](/top-plays): our best cross-sport prop edges, updated daily.

## Anytime Touchdown Targets

**Jahmyr Gibbs, Lions RB.** He has found the end zone in 100% of his games, with 6.8 red zone touches and 2.8 looks inside the 10 a game. That is the workload that turns into touchdowns.

**Derrick Henry, Ravens RB.** He has found the end zone in 100% of his games, with 5.8 red zone touches and 4.3 looks inside the 10 a game. That is the workload that turns into touchdowns.

**Mike Gesicki, Bengals TE.** He has found the end zone in 100% of his games, with 1.0 red zone touches and 0.7 looks inside the 10 a game. That is the workload that turns into touchdowns.

> Full board on the [Anytime TD dashboard](/nfl/anytime-td).

## Passing Yards

Jared Goff (Lions) averages 304 passing yards a game, at Cardinals (10th vs the position). Tyler Shough (Saints) averages 301 passing yards a game, vs Vikings (26th vs the position). Joe Burrow (Bengals) averages 293 passing yards a game, at Dolphins (15th vs the position).

See every quarterback on the [Passing Yards board](/nfl/passing-yards).

## Rushing Yards

Bijan Robinson (Falcons) averages 124 rushing yards a game, vs Ravens (23rd vs the position). Derrick Henry (Ravens) averages 94 rushing yards a game, at Falcons (32nd vs the position). Jahmyr Gibbs (Lions) averages 88 rushing yards a game, at Cardinals (13th vs the position). Jonathan Taylor (Colts) averages 88 rushing yards a game, at Steelers (16th vs the position).

See every back on the [Rushing Yards board](/nfl/rushing-yards).

## Receiving Yards

Chris Olave (Saints) averages 123 receiving yards a game, vs Vikings (24th vs the position). Jaxon Smith-Njigba (Seahawks) averages 120 receiving yards a game, vs 49ers (25th vs the position). Zay Flowers (Ravens) averages 117 receiving yards a game, at Falcons (4th vs the position). Tee Higgins (Bengals) averages 100 receiving yards a game, at Dolphins (13th vs the position).

See every pass catcher on the [Receiving Yards board](/nfl/receiving-yards).

## Related NFL research

- [Anytime Touchdown Props Guide](/blog/nfl-anytime-touchdown-props-guide) — how red-zone role and usage drive TD probability.
- [Passing / Rushing / Receiving Yards Guides](/blog/nfl-rushing-receiving-yards-props-guide) — reading volume and matchup for yardage props.
- [Defense vs Position Guide](/blog/nfl-defense-vs-position-guide) — how to use the matchup ranks in these picks.
- [NFL Player Prop Strategy](/blog/nfl-player-prop-strategy-guide) — the full research workflow.

## Before You Lock

These are the highest-usage players in the friendliest spots for Bears at Packers, Texans at Titans, and 11 more games, but a prop is only as good as the line you get. Confirm each player is active and the game script fits, then check this week's news and your own number before you bet.

## Related Resources

- Parent hub: [NFL Props Hub](/blog/topic/nfl-props)
- Author: [HeatCheck HQ](/blog/author/heatcheck-hq)
- Browse all posts: [Sports Betting Insights & Guides](/blog)


---

*Data powered by HeatCheck HQ — sports analytics platform. Free tools at https://heatcheckhq.io*