# Sunday Props: Week 4 2026

> Best Sunday prop picks for Week 4: Patriots at Bills, Jets at Bears, and 12 more games. Anytime touchdown, passing, rushing, and receiving yard plays from our m

**Date:** 2026-10-04  
**Author:** HeatCheck HQ  
**Tags:** NFL, Sunday, NFL Props, Player Props, Weekly Picks, Betting Strategy  
**Full article:** https://heatcheckhq.io/blog/nfl-sunday-prop-picks-week-4-2026  
**Live picks & dashboards:** https://heatcheckhq.io

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**Today's best Sunday props picks for Sunday, October 4, 2026** are Josh Allen (Score: 50, Bills, 100% of games with a TD and 2.3 red zone touches a game), Jahmyr Gibbs (Score: 50, Lions, 100% of games with a TD and 7.7 red zone touches a game), Derrick Henry (Score: 50, Ravens, 100% of games with a TD and 6.7 red zone touches a game). Rankings are generated by HeatCheck HQ's touchdown rate, red zone role, and matchup scoring model, updated daily.

# Sunday Props: Week 4

Patriots at Bills, Jets at Bears, and 12 more games headline a full Sunday slate. We filtered our touchdown and yardage models to the day's games and pulled the highest-usage players landing in the softest spots. No odds, just the profile and the spot.

> [Top Plays](/top-plays): our best cross-sport prop edges, updated daily.

## Anytime Touchdown Targets

**Josh Allen, Bills QB.** He has found the end zone in 100% of his games, with 2.3 red zone touches and 1.7 looks inside the 10 a game. That is the workload that turns into touchdowns.

**Jahmyr Gibbs, Lions RB.** He has found the end zone in 100% of his games, with 7.7 red zone touches and 3.0 looks inside the 10 a game. That is the workload that turns into touchdowns.

**Derrick Henry, Ravens RB.** He has found the end zone in 100% of his games, with 6.7 red zone touches and 4.7 looks inside the 10 a game. That is the workload that turns into touchdowns.

> Full board on the [Anytime TD dashboard](/nfl/anytime-td).

## Passing Yards

Bryce Young (Panthers) averages 313 passing yards a game, vs Lions (1st vs the position). Matthew Stafford (Rams) averages 291 passing yards a game, at Eagles (25th vs the position). Jordan Love (Packers) averages 281 passing yards a game, at Buccaneers (22nd vs the position).

See every quarterback on the [Passing Yards board](/nfl/passing-yards).

## Rushing Yards

Kenneth Walker III (Chiefs) averages 120 rushing yards a game, at Raiders (12th vs the position). James Cook (Bills) averages 115 rushing yards a game, vs Patriots (16th vs the position). Jahmyr Gibbs (Lions) averages 102 rushing yards a game, at Panthers (1st vs the position). Derrick Henry (Ravens) averages 100 rushing yards a game, vs Titans (9th vs the position).

See every back on the [Rushing Yards board](/nfl/rushing-yards).

## Receiving Yards

Jaxon Smith-Njigba (Seahawks) averages 135 receiving yards a game, vs Chargers (13th vs the position). Davante Adams (Rams) averages 119 receiving yards a game, at Eagles (26th vs the position). CeeDee Lamb (Cowboys) averages 103 receiving yards a game, at Texans (8th vs the position). Christian Watson (Packers) averages 95 receiving yards a game, at Buccaneers (20th vs the position).

See every pass catcher on the [Receiving Yards board](/nfl/receiving-yards).

## Related NFL research

- [Anytime Touchdown Props Guide](/blog/nfl-anytime-touchdown-props-guide) — how red-zone role and usage drive TD probability.
- [Passing / Rushing / Receiving Yards Guides](/blog/nfl-rushing-receiving-yards-props-guide) — reading volume and matchup for yardage props.
- [Defense vs Position Guide](/blog/nfl-defense-vs-position-guide) — how to use the matchup ranks in these picks.
- [NFL Player Prop Strategy](/blog/nfl-player-prop-strategy-guide) — the full research workflow.

## Before You Lock

These are the highest-usage players in the friendliest spots for Patriots at Bills, Jets at Bears, and 12 more games, but a prop is only as good as the line you get. Confirm each player is active and the game script fits, then check this week's news and your own number before you bet.

## Related Resources

- Parent hub: [NFL Props Hub](/blog/topic/nfl-props)
- Author: [HeatCheck HQ](/blog/author/heatcheck-hq)
- Browse all posts: [Sports Betting Insights & Guides](/blog)


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*Data powered by HeatCheck HQ — sports analytics platform. Free tools at https://heatcheckhq.io*