Today's best Sunday props picks for Sunday, September 27, 2026 are Josh Allen (Score: 42, Bills, 100% of games with a TD and 2.0 red zone touches a game), Derrick Henry (Score: 42, Ravens, 100% of games with a TD and 5.5 red zone touches a game), Jonathan Taylor (Score: 42, Colts, 100% of games with a TD and 5.0 red zone touches a game). Rankings are generated by HeatCheck HQ's touchdown rate, red zone role, and matchup scoring model, updated daily.
Sunday Props: Week 3
Chargers at Bills, Panthers at Browns, and 12 more games headline a full Sunday slate. We filtered our touchdown and yardage models to the day's games and pulled the highest-usage players landing in the softest spots. No odds, just the profile and the spot.
Top Plays: our best cross-sport prop edges, updated daily.
Anytime Touchdown Targets
Josh Allen, Bills QB. He has found the end zone in 100% of his games, with 2.0 red zone touches and 1.5 looks inside the 10 a game. That is the workload that turns into touchdowns.
Derrick Henry, Ravens RB. He has found the end zone in 100% of his games, with 5.5 red zone touches and 3.5 looks inside the 10 a game. That is the workload that turns into touchdowns.
Jonathan Taylor, Colts RB. He has found the end zone in 100% of his games, with 5.0 red zone touches and 3.0 looks inside the 10 a game. That is the workload that turns into touchdowns.
Full board on the Anytime TD dashboard.
Passing Yards
Tyler Shough (Saints) averages 331 passing yards a game, vs Raiders (23rd vs the position). Bryce Young (Panthers) averages 324 passing yards a game, at Browns (17th vs the position). C.J. Stroud (Texans) averages 314 passing yards a game, at Colts (1st vs the position).
See every quarterback on the Passing Yards board.
Rushing Yards
Kenneth Walker III (Chiefs) averages 145 rushing yards a game, at Dolphins (16th vs the position). Derrick Henry (Ravens) averages 106 rushing yards a game, at Cowboys (3rd vs the position). Jahmyr Gibbs (Lions) averages 104 rushing yards a game, vs Jets (31st vs the position). James Cook (Bills) averages 96 rushing yards a game, vs Chargers (26th vs the position).
See every back on the Rushing Yards board.
Receiving Yards
Jaxon Smith-Njigba (Seahawks) averages 139 receiving yards a game, at WSH (13th vs the position). Chris Olave (Saints) averages 134 receiving yards a game, vs Raiders (23rd vs the position). Dalton Kincaid (Bills) averages 113 receiving yards a game, vs Chargers (8th vs the position). Davante Adams (Rams) averages 111 receiving yards a game, at Broncos (25th vs the position).
See every pass catcher on the Receiving Yards board.
Related NFL research
- Anytime Touchdown Props Guide — how red-zone role and usage drive TD probability.
- Passing / Rushing / Receiving Yards Guides — reading volume and matchup for yardage props.
- Defense vs Position Guide — how to use the matchup ranks in these picks.
- NFL Player Prop Strategy — the full research workflow.
Before You Lock
These are the highest-usage players in the friendliest spots for Chargers at Bills, Panthers at Browns, and 12 more games, but a prop is only as good as the line you get. Confirm each player is active and the game script fits, then check this week's news and your own number before you bet.
Related Resources
- Parent hub: NFL Props Hub
- Author: HeatCheck HQ
- Browse all posts: Sports Betting Insights & Guides