# Sunday Props: Week 1 2026

> Data driven Sunday prop bets for Week 1: touchdown scorers and yardage plays for Buccaneers at Bengals, Saints at Lions, and 11 more games, ranked on production

**Date:** 2026-09-13  
**Author:** HeatCheck HQ  
**Tags:** NFL, Sunday, NFL Props, Player Props, Weekly Picks, Betting Strategy  
**Full article:** https://heatcheckhq.io/blog/nfl-sunday-prop-picks-week-1-2026  
**Live picks & dashboards:** https://heatcheckhq.io

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**Today's best Sunday props picks for Sunday, September 13, 2026** are Josh Jacobs (Score: 55, Packers, 67% of games with a TD and 3.9 red zone touches a game), Javonte Williams (Score: 52, Cowboys, 63% of games with a TD and 4.1 red zone touches a game), De'Von Achane (Score: 52, Dolphins, 63% of games with a TD and 2.7 red zone touches a game). Rankings are generated by HeatCheck HQ's touchdown rate, red zone role, and matchup scoring model, updated daily.

# Sunday Props: Week 1

Buccaneers at Bengals, Saints at Lions, and 11 more games headline a full Sunday slate. We filtered our touchdown and yardage models to the day's games and pulled the highest-usage players landing in the softest spots. No odds, just the profile and the spot.

> [Top Plays](/top-plays): our best cross-sport prop edges, updated daily.

## Anytime Touchdown Targets

**Josh Jacobs, Packers RB.** He has found the end zone in 67% of his games, with 3.9 red zone touches and 2.1 looks inside the 10 a game. That is the workload that turns into touchdowns.

**Javonte Williams, Cowboys RB.** He has found the end zone in 63% of his games, with 4.1 red zone touches and 2.1 looks inside the 10 a game. That is the workload that turns into touchdowns.

**De'Von Achane, Dolphins RB.** He has found the end zone in 63% of his games, with 2.7 red zone touches and 1.0 looks inside the 10 a game. That is the workload that turns into touchdowns.

> Full board on the [Anytime TD dashboard](/nfl/anytime-td).

## Passing Yards

Jared Goff (Lions) averages 269 passing yards a game, vs Saints (27th vs the position). Dak Prescott (Cowboys) averages 268 passing yards a game, at Giants (15th vs the position). Carson Wentz (Vikings) averages 243 passing yards a game, vs Packers (21st vs the position).

See every quarterback on the [Passing Yards board](/nfl/passing-yards).

## Rushing Yards

James Cook (Bills) averages 95 rushing yards a game, at Texans (30th vs the position). Derrick Henry (Ravens) averages 94 rushing yards a game, at Colts (27th vs the position). Jonathan Taylor (Colts) averages 93 rushing yards a game, vs Ravens (24th vs the position). Bijan Robinson (Falcons) averages 87 rushing yards a game, at Steelers (22nd vs the position).

See every back on the [Rushing Yards board](/nfl/rushing-yards).

## Receiving Yards

Ja'Marr Chase (Bengals) averages 88 receiving yards a game, vs Buccaneers (6th vs the position). George Pickens (Cowboys) averages 84 receiving yards a game, at Giants (14th vs the position). CeeDee Lamb (Cowboys) averages 83 receiving yards a game, at Giants (14th vs the position). Amon-Ra St. Brown (Lions) averages 82 receiving yards a game, vs Saints (26th vs the position).

See every pass catcher on the [Receiving Yards board](/nfl/receiving-yards).

## Related NFL research

- [Anytime Touchdown Props Guide](/blog/nfl-anytime-touchdown-props-guide) — how red-zone role and usage drive TD probability.
- [Passing / Rushing / Receiving Yards Guides](/blog/nfl-rushing-receiving-yards-props-guide) — reading volume and matchup for yardage props.
- [Defense vs Position Guide](/blog/nfl-defense-vs-position-guide) — how to use the matchup ranks in these picks.
- [NFL Player Prop Strategy](/blog/nfl-player-prop-strategy-guide) — the full research workflow.

## Before You Lock

These are the highest-usage players in the friendliest spots for Buccaneers at Bengals, Saints at Lions, and 11 more games, but a prop is only as good as the line you get. Confirm each player is active and the game script fits, then check this week's news and your own number before you bet.

## Related Resources

- Parent hub: [NFL Props Hub](/blog/topic/nfl-props)
- Author: [HeatCheck HQ](/blog/author/heatcheck-hq)
- Browse all posts: [Sports Betting Insights & Guides](/blog)


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*Data powered by HeatCheck HQ — sports analytics platform. Free tools at https://heatcheckhq.io*