# NFL Rushing Yards Picks: Week 7 2026

> NFL Rushing Yards props for Week 7 2026. We combine per-game volume, recent form, and the matchup rank to surface this week's best rushing plays. Jaylen Warren

**Date:** 2026-10-23  
**Author:** HeatCheck HQ  
**Tags:** NFL, Rushing Yards, Rushing Yards Props, Weekly Picks, Player Props, Betting Strategy, RB  
**Full article:** https://heatcheckhq.io/blog/nfl-rushing-yards-picks-week-7-2026  
**Live picks & dashboards:** https://heatcheckhq.io

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**Today's best NFL rushing yards picks for Friday, October 23, 2026** are Jaylen Warren (Score: 77, 77 rushing yards a game, at Saints (3rd vs the position)), Kyren Williams (Score: 66, 66 rushing yards a game, at Raiders (5th vs the position)), Bucky Irving (Score: 75, 75 rushing yards a game, at Panthers (6th vs the position)). Rankings are generated by HeatCheck HQ's volume, recent form, and matchup scoring model, updated daily.

# NFL Rushing Yards Picks: Week 7

Every running back is ranked on three things that carry week to week: how many rushing yards they produce a game, the volume behind it, and the defense they draw. We surface the high-usage players landing in the softest matchups. No odds, just the profile and the spot. Here are the Week 7 plays.

> [Rushing Yards Dashboard](/nfl/rushing-yards): the full board with your own line, updated as lineups confirm.

## Jaylen Warren, Steelers RB (@ NO)

*77 rushing yds/G · L5 83 · opp 3rd vs RB*

Jaylen Warren averages 77 rushing yards a game for the Steelers. The volume backs it up at 14.0 carries a game. This week he visits the Saints, who rank 3rd against the position, a genuine soft spot. His last five games are trending up, averaging 83 rushing yards.

## Kyren Williams, Rams RB (@ LV)

*66 rushing yds/G · L5 70 · opp 5th vs RB*

Kyren Williams averages 66 rushing yards a game for the Rams. The volume backs it up at 13.3 carries a game. This week he visits the Raiders, who rank 5th against the position, a genuine soft spot. His last five games are trending up, averaging 70 rushing yards.

> **Want the full board?** Every running back ranked on the [Rushing Yards Dashboard](/nfl/rushing-yards), or see cross-sport plays on [Top Plays](/top-plays).

## Bucky Irving, Buccaneers RB (@ CAR)

*75 rushing yds/G · L5 81 · opp 6th vs RB*

Bucky Irving averages 75 rushing yards a game for the Buccaneers. The volume backs it up at 16.0 carries a game. This week he visits the Panthers, who rank 6th against the position, a genuine soft spot. His last five games are trending up, averaging 81 rushing yards.

## Derrick Henry, Ravens RB (vs CIN)

*89 rushing yds/G · L5 78 · opp 9th vs RB*

Derrick Henry averages 89 rushing yards a game for the Ravens. The volume backs it up at 21.7 carries a game. This week he hosts the Bengals, who rank 9th against the position, a genuine soft spot. His recent form has cooled to 78 rushing yards over his last five.

## Ollie Gordon II, Dolphins RB (@ NYJ)

*59 rushing yds/G · L5 59 · opp 10th vs RB*

Ollie Gordon II averages 59 rushing yards a game for the Dolphins. The volume backs it up at 11.8 carries a game. This week he visits the Jets, who rank 10th against the position, a genuine soft spot.

## Aaron Jones, Vikings RB (vs IND)

*82 rushing yds/G · L5 82 · opp 12th vs RB*

Aaron Jones averages 82 rushing yards a game for the Vikings. The volume backs it up at 19.4 carries a game. This week he hosts the Colts, a tougher draw at 12th against the position.

## Week 7 Rushing Yards Board

| # | Player | Team | Matchup (opp rank vs pos) | Rushing Yards/G | L5 |
|---|--------|------|---------------------------|--------------|----|
| 1 | Kenneth Walker III | KC | @ SEA (23rd) | 133 | 133 |
| 2 | Bijan Robinson | ATL | vs SF (25th) | 107 | 112 |
| 3 | James Cook | BUF | TBD | 105 | 114 |
| 4 | Jahmyr Gibbs | DET | vs GB (15th) | 101 | 101 |
| 5 | Derrick Henry | BAL | vs CIN (9th) | 89 | 78 |
| 6 | Chuba Hubbard | CAR | vs TB (31st) | 85 | 85 |
| 7 | Aaron Jones | MIN | vs IND (12th) | 82 | 82 |
| 8 | Jonathan Taylor | IND | @ MIN (28th) | 82 | 79 |
| 9 | Kyle Monangai | CHI | vs NE (24th) | 81 | 81 |
| 10 | Jaylen Warren | PIT | @ NO (3rd) | 77 | 83 |
| 11 | Bucky Irving | TB | @ CAR (6th) | 75 | 81 |
| 12 | D'Andre Swift | CHI | vs NE (24th) | 66 | 55 |

Matchup rank is the opponent's defense-vs-position rank, where a lower number means a softer spot. L5 is the player's average over his last five games.

## Related NFL research

- [Anytime Touchdown Props Guide](/blog/nfl-anytime-touchdown-props-guide) — how red-zone role and usage drive TD probability.
- [Passing / Rushing / Receiving Yards Guides](/blog/nfl-rushing-receiving-yards-props-guide) — reading volume and matchup for yardage props.
- [Defense vs Position Guide](/blog/nfl-defense-vs-position-guide) — how to use the matchup ranks in these picks.
- [NFL Player Prop Strategy](/blog/nfl-player-prop-strategy-guide) — the full research workflow.

## Before You Lock

These are the highest-usage rushing producers in the friendliest spots, but a prop is only as good as the line you get. Confirm the player is active and the game script fits: a team playing from ahead runs more and throws less, and the opposite when trailing. Weather matters for the passing game. Use the board to build a shortlist, then check this week's news and your own number before you bet.

## Related Resources

- Parent hub: [NFL Props Hub](/blog/topic/nfl-props)
- Daily stream: [NFL Rushing Yards Picks](/blog/stream/nfl-rushing-yards-picks)
- Author: [HeatCheck HQ](/blog/author/heatcheck-hq)
- Browse all posts: [Sports Betting Insights & Guides](/blog)


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