# NFL Rushing Yards Picks: Week 5 2026

> Best rushing yards props for Week 5. Bucky Irving and the rest of the board, scored on volume and the defense-vs-position matchup, no odds needed.

**Date:** 2026-10-09  
**Author:** HeatCheck HQ  
**Tags:** NFL, Rushing Yards, Rushing Yards Props, Weekly Picks, Player Props, Betting Strategy, RB  
**Full article:** https://heatcheckhq.io/blog/nfl-rushing-yards-picks-week-5-2026  
**Live picks & dashboards:** https://heatcheckhq.io

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**Today's best NFL rushing yards picks for Friday, October 9, 2026** are Bucky Irving (Score: 60, 60 rushing yards a game, at Cowboys (1st vs the position)), Aaron Jones (Score: 74, 74 rushing yards a game, at Saints (3rd vs the position)), Omarion Hampton (Score: 60, 60 rushing yards a game, vs Broncos (4th vs the position)). Rankings are generated by HeatCheck HQ's volume, recent form, and matchup scoring model, updated daily.

# NFL Rushing Yards Picks: Week 5

Every running back is ranked on three things that carry week to week: how many rushing yards they produce a game, the volume behind it, and the defense they draw. We surface the high-usage players landing in the softest matchups. No odds, just the profile and the spot. Here are the Week 5 plays.

> [Rushing Yards Dashboard](/nfl/rushing-yards): the full board with your own line, updated as lineups confirm.

## Bucky Irving, Buccaneers RB (@ DAL)

*60 rushing yds/G · L5 60 · opp 1st vs RB*

Bucky Irving averages 60 rushing yards a game for the Buccaneers. The volume backs it up at 14.0 carries a game. This week he visits the Cowboys, who rank 1st against the position, a genuine soft spot.

## Aaron Jones, Vikings RB (@ NO)

*74 rushing yds/G · L5 74 · opp 3rd vs RB*

Aaron Jones averages 74 rushing yards a game for the Vikings. The volume backs it up at 18.0 carries a game. This week he visits the Saints, who rank 3rd against the position, a genuine soft spot.

> **Want the full board?** Every running back ranked on the [Rushing Yards Dashboard](/nfl/rushing-yards), or see cross-sport plays on [Top Plays](/top-plays).

## Omarion Hampton, Chargers RB (vs DEN)

*60 rushing yds/G · L5 60 · opp 4th vs RB*

Omarion Hampton averages 60 rushing yards a game for the Chargers. The volume backs it up at 14.8 carries a game. This week he hosts the Broncos, who rank 4th against the position, a genuine soft spot.

## Kyle Monangai, Bears RB (@ GB)

*81 rushing yds/G · L5 81 · opp 5th vs RB*

Kyle Monangai averages 81 rushing yards a game for the Bears. The volume backs it up at 15.0 carries a game. This week he visits the Packers, who rank 5th against the position, a genuine soft spot.

## D'Andre Swift, Bears RB (@ GB)

*78 rushing yds/G · L5 78 · opp 5th vs RB*

D'Andre Swift averages 78 rushing yards a game for the Bears. The volume backs it up at 17.3 carries a game. This week he visits the Packers, who rank 5th against the position, a genuine soft spot.

## Jaylen Warren, Steelers RB (vs IND)

*77 rushing yds/G · L5 77 · opp 7th vs RB*

Jaylen Warren averages 77 rushing yards a game for the Steelers. The volume backs it up at 13.8 carries a game. This week he hosts the Colts, who rank 7th against the position, a genuine soft spot.

## Week 5 Rushing Yards Board

| # | Player | Team | Matchup (opp rank vs pos) | Rushing Yards/G | L5 |
|---|--------|------|---------------------------|--------------|----|
| 1 | Kenneth Walker III | KC | TBD | 134 | 134 |
| 2 | Bijan Robinson | ATL | vs BAL (23rd) | 124 | 124 |
| 3 | James Cook | BUF | @ LAR (21st) | 105 | 105 |
| 4 | Derrick Henry | BAL | @ ATL (32nd) | 94 | 94 |
| 5 | Jahmyr Gibbs | DET | @ ARI (13th) | 88 | 88 |
| 6 | Jonathan Taylor | IND | @ PIT (16th) | 88 | 88 |
| 7 | Kyle Monangai | CHI | @ GB (5th) | 81 | 81 |
| 8 | D'Andre Swift | CHI | @ GB (5th) | 78 | 78 |
| 9 | Jaylen Warren | PIT | vs IND (7th) | 77 | 77 |
| 10 | Chuba Hubbard | CAR | TBD | 77 | 77 |
| 11 | Aaron Jones | MIN | @ NO (3rd) | 74 | 74 |
| 12 | Kyren Williams | LAR | vs BUF (14th) | 74 | 74 |

Matchup rank is the opponent's defense-vs-position rank, where a lower number means a softer spot. L5 is the player's average over his last five games.

## Related NFL research

- [Anytime Touchdown Props Guide](/blog/nfl-anytime-touchdown-props-guide) — how red-zone role and usage drive TD probability.
- [Passing / Rushing / Receiving Yards Guides](/blog/nfl-rushing-receiving-yards-props-guide) — reading volume and matchup for yardage props.
- [Defense vs Position Guide](/blog/nfl-defense-vs-position-guide) — how to use the matchup ranks in these picks.
- [NFL Player Prop Strategy](/blog/nfl-player-prop-strategy-guide) — the full research workflow.

## Before You Lock

These are the highest-usage rushing producers in the friendliest spots, but a prop is only as good as the line you get. Confirm the player is active and the game script fits: a team playing from ahead runs more and throws less, and the opposite when trailing. Weather matters for the passing game. Use the board to build a shortlist, then check this week's news and your own number before you bet.

## Related Resources

- Parent hub: [NFL Props Hub](/blog/topic/nfl-props)
- Author: [HeatCheck HQ](/blog/author/heatcheck-hq)
- Browse all posts: [Sports Betting Insights & Guides](/blog)


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