# NFL Rushing Yards Picks: Week 4 2026

> NFL Rushing Yards props for Week 4 2026. We combine per-game volume, recent form, and the matchup rank to surface this week's best rushing plays. Jahmyr Gibbs l

**Date:** 2026-10-02  
**Author:** HeatCheck HQ  
**Tags:** NFL, Rushing Yards, Rushing Yards Props, Weekly Picks, Player Props, Betting Strategy, RB  
**Full article:** https://heatcheckhq.io/blog/nfl-rushing-yards-picks-week-4-2026  
**Live picks & dashboards:** https://heatcheckhq.io

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**Today's best NFL rushing yards picks for Friday, October 2, 2026** are Jahmyr Gibbs (Score: 102, 102 rushing yards a game, at Panthers (1st vs the position)), Bucky Irving (Score: 60, 60 rushing yards a game, vs Packers (5th vs the position)), Bijan Robinson (Score: 116, 116 rushing yards a game, at Saints (6th vs the position)). Rankings are generated by HeatCheck HQ's volume, recent form, and matchup scoring model, updated daily.

# NFL Rushing Yards Picks: Week 4

Every running back is ranked on three things that carry week to week: how many rushing yards they produce a game, the volume behind it, and the defense they draw. We surface the high-usage players landing in the softest matchups. No odds, just the profile and the spot. Here are the Week 4 plays.

> [Rushing Yards Dashboard](/nfl/rushing-yards): the full board with your own line, updated as lineups confirm.

## Jahmyr Gibbs, Lions RB (@ CAR)

*102 rushing yds/G · L5 102 · opp 1st vs RB*

Jahmyr Gibbs averages 102 rushing yards a game for the Lions. The volume backs it up at 21.7 carries a game. This week he visits the Panthers, who rank 1st against the position, a genuine soft spot.

## Bucky Irving, Buccaneers RB (vs GB)

*60 rushing yds/G · L5 60 · opp 5th vs RB*

Bucky Irving averages 60 rushing yards a game for the Buccaneers. The volume backs it up at 13.3 carries a game. This week he hosts the Packers, who rank 5th against the position, a genuine soft spot.

> **Want the full board?** Every running back ranked on the [Rushing Yards Dashboard](/nfl/rushing-yards), or see cross-sport plays on [Top Plays](/top-plays).

## Bijan Robinson, Falcons RB (@ NO)

*116 rushing yds/G · L5 116 · opp 6th vs RB*

Bijan Robinson averages 116 rushing yards a game for the Falcons. The volume backs it up at 22.0 carries a game. This week he visits the Saints, who rank 6th against the position, a genuine soft spot.

## Cam Skattebo, Giants RB (vs ARI)

*59 rushing yds/G · L5 59 · opp 7th vs RB*

Cam Skattebo averages 59 rushing yards a game for the Giants. The volume backs it up at 16.7 carries a game. This week he hosts the Cardinals, who rank 7th against the position, a genuine soft spot.

## Kyren Williams, Rams RB (@ PHI)

*71 rushing yds/G · L5 71 · opp 8th vs RB*

Kyren Williams averages 71 rushing yards a game for the Rams. The volume backs it up at 12.7 carries a game. This week he visits the Eagles, who rank 8th against the position, a genuine soft spot.

## Derrick Henry, Ravens RB (vs TEN)

*100 rushing yds/G · L5 100 · opp 9th vs RB*

Derrick Henry averages 100 rushing yards a game for the Ravens. The volume backs it up at 22.0 carries a game. This week he hosts the Titans, who rank 9th against the position, a genuine soft spot.

## Week 4 Rushing Yards Board

| # | Player | Team | Matchup (opp rank vs pos) | Rushing Yards/G | L5 |
|---|--------|------|---------------------------|--------------|----|
| 1 | Kenneth Walker III | KC | @ LV (12th) | 120 | 120 |
| 2 | Bijan Robinson | ATL | @ NO (6th) | 116 | 116 |
| 3 | James Cook | BUF | vs NE (16th) | 115 | 115 |
| 4 | Jahmyr Gibbs | DET | @ CAR (1st) | 102 | 102 |
| 5 | Derrick Henry | BAL | vs TEN (9th) | 100 | 100 |
| 6 | Jonathan Taylor | IND | @ WSH (30th) | 86 | 86 |
| 7 | D'Andre Swift | CHI | vs NYJ (26th) | 84 | 84 |
| 8 | Jaylen Warren | PIT | @ CLE (14th) | 72 | 72 |
| 9 | Kyren Williams | LAR | @ PHI (8th) | 71 | 71 |
| 10 | Ashton Jeanty | LV | vs KC (23rd) | 69 | 69 |
| 11 | Bhayshul Tuten | JAX | @ CIN (24th) | 68 | 68 |
| 12 | Aaron Jones | MIN | vs MIA (20th) | 68 | 68 |

Matchup rank is the opponent's defense-vs-position rank, where a lower number means a softer spot. L5 is the player's average over his last five games.

## Related NFL research

- [Anytime Touchdown Props Guide](/blog/nfl-anytime-touchdown-props-guide) — how red-zone role and usage drive TD probability.
- [Passing / Rushing / Receiving Yards Guides](/blog/nfl-rushing-receiving-yards-props-guide) — reading volume and matchup for yardage props.
- [Defense vs Position Guide](/blog/nfl-defense-vs-position-guide) — how to use the matchup ranks in these picks.
- [NFL Player Prop Strategy](/blog/nfl-player-prop-strategy-guide) — the full research workflow.

## Before You Lock

These are the highest-usage rushing producers in the friendliest spots, but a prop is only as good as the line you get. Confirm the player is active and the game script fits: a team playing from ahead runs more and throws less, and the opposite when trailing. Weather matters for the passing game. Use the board to build a shortlist, then check this week's news and your own number before you bet.

## Related Resources

- Parent hub: [NFL Props Hub](/blog/topic/nfl-props)
- Author: [HeatCheck HQ](/blog/author/heatcheck-hq)
- Browse all posts: [Sports Betting Insights & Guides](/blog)


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