Today's best NFL rushing yards picks for Friday, September 25, 2026 are Derrick Henry (Score: 106, 106 rushing yards a game, at Cowboys (3rd vs the position)), Blake Corum (Score: 67, 67 rushing yards a game, at Broncos (4th vs the position)), Kyren Williams (Score: 63, 63 rushing yards a game, at Broncos (4th vs the position)). Rankings are generated by HeatCheck HQ's volume, recent form, and matchup scoring model, updated daily.
NFL Rushing Yards Picks: Week 3
Every running back is ranked on three things that carry week to week: how many rushing yards they produce a game, the volume behind it, and the defense they draw. We surface the high-usage players landing in the softest matchups. No odds, just the profile and the spot. Here are the Week 3 plays.
Rushing Yards Dashboard: the full board with your own line, updated as lineups confirm.
Derrick Henry, Ravens RB (@ DAL)
106 rushing yds/G · L5 106 · opp 3rd vs RB
Derrick Henry averages 106 rushing yards a game for the Ravens. The volume backs it up at 20.0 carries a game. This week he visits the Cowboys, who rank 3rd against the position, a genuine soft spot.
Blake Corum, Rams RB (@ DEN)
67 rushing yds/G · L5 67 · opp 4th vs RB
Blake Corum averages 67 rushing yards a game for the Rams. The volume backs it up at 11.0 carries a game. This week he visits the Broncos, who rank 4th against the position, a genuine soft spot.
Want the full board? Every running back ranked on the Rushing Yards Dashboard, or see cross-sport plays on Top Plays.
Kyren Williams, Rams RB (@ DEN)
63 rushing yds/G · L5 63 · opp 4th vs RB
Kyren Williams averages 63 rushing yards a game for the Rams. The volume backs it up at 11.5 carries a game. This week he visits the Broncos, who rank 4th against the position, a genuine soft spot.
Breece Hall, Jets RB (@ DET)
66 rushing yds/G · L5 66 · opp 5th vs RB
Breece Hall averages 66 rushing yards a game for the Jets. The volume backs it up at 19.0 carries a game. This week he visits the Lions, who rank 5th against the position, a genuine soft spot.
Bijan Robinson, Falcons RB (@ GB)
78 rushing yds/G · L5 78 · opp 6th vs RB
Bijan Robinson averages 78 rushing yards a game for the Falcons. The volume backs it up at 18.5 carries a game. This week he visits the Packers, who rank 6th against the position, a genuine soft spot.
Ashton Jeanty, Raiders RB (@ NO)
75 rushing yds/G · L5 75 · opp 7th vs RB
Ashton Jeanty averages 75 rushing yards a game for the Raiders. The volume backs it up at 22.0 carries a game. This week he visits the Saints, who rank 7th against the position, a genuine soft spot.
Week 3 Rushing Yards Board
| # | Player | Team | Matchup (opp rank vs pos) | Rushing Yards/G | L5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kenneth Walker III | KC | @ MIA (16th) | 145 | 145 |
| 2 | Derrick Henry | BAL | @ DAL (3rd) | 106 | 106 |
| 3 | Jahmyr Gibbs | DET | vs NYJ (31st) | 104 | 104 |
| 4 | James Cook | BUF | vs LAC (26th) | 96 | 96 |
| 5 | Jonathan Taylor | IND | vs HOU (27th) | 95 | 95 |
| 6 | D'Andre Swift | CHI | vs PHI (10th) | 85 | 85 |
| 7 | Bijan Robinson | ATL | @ GB (6th) | 78 | 78 |
| 8 | Ashton Jeanty | LV | @ NO (7th) | 75 | 75 |
| 9 | Kyle Monangai | CHI | vs PHI (10th) | 74 | 74 |
| 10 | Aaron Jones | MIN | @ TB (29th) | 73 | 73 |
| 11 | Omarion Hampton | LAC | @ BUF (22nd) | 69 | 69 |
| 12 | Chase Brown | CIN | @ PIT (9th) | 68 | 68 |
Matchup rank is the opponent's defense-vs-position rank, where a lower number means a softer spot. L5 is the player's average over his last five games.
Related NFL research
- Anytime Touchdown Props Guide — how red-zone role and usage drive TD probability.
- Passing / Rushing / Receiving Yards Guides — reading volume and matchup for yardage props.
- Defense vs Position Guide — how to use the matchup ranks in these picks.
- NFL Player Prop Strategy — the full research workflow.
Before You Lock
These are the highest-usage rushing producers in the friendliest spots, but a prop is only as good as the line you get. Confirm the player is active and the game script fits: a team playing from ahead runs more and throws less, and the opposite when trailing. Weather matters for the passing game. Use the board to build a shortlist, then check this week's news and your own number before you bet.
Related Resources
- Parent hub: NFL Props Hub
- Author: HeatCheck HQ
- Browse all posts: Sports Betting Insights & Guides