Today's best NFL receiving yards picks for Wednesday, September 23, 2026 are Dalton Schultz (Score: 88, 88 receiving yards a game, at Colts (1st vs the position)), Dalton Kincaid (Score: 113, 113 receiving yards a game, vs Chargers (7th vs the position)), Christian Watson (Score: 94, 94 receiving yards a game, vs Falcons (8th vs the position)). Rankings are generated by HeatCheck HQ's volume, recent form, and matchup scoring model, updated daily.
NFL Receiving Yards Picks: Week 2
Every pass catcher is ranked on three things that carry week to week: how many receiving yards they produce a game, the volume behind it, and the defense they draw. We surface the high-usage players landing in the softest matchups. No odds, just the profile and the spot. Here are the Week 2 plays.
Receiving Yards Dashboard: the full board with your own line, updated as lineups confirm.
Dalton Schultz, Texans TE (@ IND)
88 receiving yds/G · L5 88 · opp 1st vs TE
Dalton Schultz averages 88 receiving yards a game for the Texans. The volume backs it up at 25% target share. This week he visits the Colts, who rank 1st against the position, a genuine soft spot.
Dalton Kincaid, Bills TE (vs LAC)
113 receiving yds/G · L5 113 · opp 7th vs TE
Dalton Kincaid averages 113 receiving yards a game for the Bills. The volume backs it up at 25% target share. This week he hosts the Chargers, who rank 7th against the position, a genuine soft spot.
Want the full board? Every pass catcher ranked on the Receiving Yards Dashboard, or see cross-sport plays on Top Plays.
Christian Watson, Packers WR (vs ATL)
94 receiving yds/G · L5 94 · opp 8th vs WR
Christian Watson averages 94 receiving yards a game for the Packers. The volume backs it up at 29% target share. This week he hosts the Falcons, who rank 8th against the position, a genuine soft spot.
Matthew Golden, Packers WR (vs ATL)
77 receiving yds/G · L5 77 · opp 8th vs WR
Matthew Golden averages 77 receiving yards a game for the Packers. The volume backs it up at 25% target share. This week he hosts the Falcons, who rank 8th against the position, a genuine soft spot.
DeVonta Smith, Eagles WR (@ CHI)
85 receiving yds/G · L5 85 · opp 9th vs WR
DeVonta Smith averages 85 receiving yards a game for the Eagles. The volume backs it up at 33% target share. This week he visits the Bears, who rank 9th against the position, a genuine soft spot.
Dontayvion Wicks, Eagles WR (@ CHI)
74 receiving yds/G · L5 74 · opp 9th vs WR
Dontayvion Wicks averages 74 receiving yards a game for the Eagles. The volume backs it up at 18% target share. This week he visits the Bears, who rank 9th against the position, a genuine soft spot.
Week 2 Receiving Yards Board
| # | Player | Team | Matchup (opp rank vs pos) | Receiving Yards/G | L5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jaxon Smith-Njigba | SEA | @ WSH (13th) | 139 | 139 |
| 2 | Chris Olave | NO | vs LV (22nd) | 134 | 134 |
| 3 | Dalton Kincaid | BUF | vs LAC (7th) | 113 | 113 |
| 4 | Davante Adams | LAR | @ DEN (25th) | 111 | 111 |
| 5 | Amon-Ra St. Brown | DET | vs NYJ (31st) | 105 | 105 |
| 6 | Jalen Coker | CAR | @ CLE (19th) | 102 | 102 |
| 7 | CeeDee Lamb | DAL | vs BAL (20th) | 99 | 99 |
| 8 | Christian Watson | GB | vs ATL (8th) | 94 | 94 |
| 9 | Parker Washington | JAX | vs NE (24th) | 91 | 91 |
| 10 | Tetairoa McMillan | CAR | @ CLE (19th) | 88 | 88 |
| 11 | Dalton Schultz | HOU | @ IND (1st) | 88 | 88 |
| 12 | Travis Kelce | KC | @ MIA (15th) | 86 | 86 |
Matchup rank is the opponent's defense-vs-position rank, where a lower number means a softer spot. L5 is the player's average over his last five games.
Related NFL research
- Anytime Touchdown Props Guide — how red-zone role and usage drive TD probability.
- Passing / Rushing / Receiving Yards Guides — reading volume and matchup for yardage props.
- Defense vs Position Guide — how to use the matchup ranks in these picks.
- NFL Player Prop Strategy — the full research workflow.
Before You Lock
These are the highest-usage receiving producers in the friendliest spots, but a prop is only as good as the line you get. Confirm the player is active and the game script fits: a team playing from ahead runs more and throws less, and the opposite when trailing. Weather matters for the passing game. Use the board to build a shortlist, then check this week's news and your own number before you bet.
Related Resources
- Parent hub: NFL Props Hub
- Author: HeatCheck HQ
- Browse all posts: Sports Betting Insights & Guides