Today's best Monday Night Football props picks for Monday, September 28, 2026 are D'Andre Swift (Score: 28, Bears, 50% of games with a TD and 4.5 red zone touches a game), Caleb Williams (Score: 28, Bears, 50% of games with a TD and 2.0 red zone touches a game), Dallas Goedert (Score: 28, Eagles, 50% of games with a TD and 1.0 red zone touches a game). Rankings are generated by HeatCheck HQ's touchdown rate, red zone role, and matchup scoring model, updated daily.
Monday Night Football Props: Week 3
Monday night gives you one game to focus on, Eagles at Bears. We ran both teams through our touchdown and yardage models and pulled the plays with the usage and the matchup to back them. No odds, just the profile and the spot.
Top Plays: our best cross-sport prop edges, updated daily.
Anytime Touchdown Targets
D'Andre Swift, Bears RB. He has found the end zone in 50% of his games, with 4.5 red zone touches and 3.0 looks inside the 10 a game. That is the workload that turns into touchdowns.
Caleb Williams, Bears QB. He has found the end zone in 50% of his games, with 2.0 red zone touches and 1.5 looks inside the 10 a game. That is the workload that turns into touchdowns.
Dallas Goedert, Eagles TE. He has found the end zone in 50% of his games, with 1.0 red zone touches and 0.0 looks inside the 10 a game. That is the workload that turns into touchdowns.
Full board on the Anytime TD dashboard.
Passing Yards
Jalen Hurts (Eagles) averages 234 passing yards a game, at Bears (7th vs the position). Caleb Williams (Bears) averages 204 passing yards a game, vs Eagles (31st vs the position).
See every quarterback on the Passing Yards board.
Rushing Yards
D'Andre Swift (Bears) averages 85 rushing yards a game, vs Eagles (8th vs the position). Kyle Monangai (Bears) averages 74 rushing yards a game, vs Eagles (8th vs the position). Saquon Barkley (Eagles) averages 46 rushing yards a game, at Bears (10th vs the position). Tank Bigsby (Eagles) averages 18 rushing yards a game, at Bears (10th vs the position).
See every back on the Rushing Yards board.
Receiving Yards
DeVonta Smith (Eagles) averages 85 receiving yards a game, at Bears (10th vs the position). Dontayvion Wicks (Eagles) averages 74 receiving yards a game, at Bears (10th vs the position). Kalif Raymond (Bears) averages 62 receiving yards a game, vs Eagles (31st vs the position). Rome Odunze (Bears) averages 48 receiving yards a game, vs Eagles (31st vs the position).
See every pass catcher on the Receiving Yards board.
Related NFL research
- Anytime Touchdown Props Guide — how red-zone role and usage drive TD probability.
- Passing / Rushing / Receiving Yards Guides — reading volume and matchup for yardage props.
- Defense vs Position Guide — how to use the matchup ranks in these picks.
- NFL Player Prop Strategy — the full research workflow.
Before You Lock
These are the highest-usage players in the friendliest spots for Eagles at Bears, but a prop is only as good as the line you get. Confirm each player is active and the game script fits, then check this week's news and your own number before you bet.
Related Resources
- Parent hub: NFL Props Hub
- Author: HeatCheck HQ
- Browse all posts: Sports Betting Insights & Guides