Today's best Monday Night Football props picks for Monday, September 14, 2026 are RJ Harvey (Score: 45, Broncos, 53% of games with a TD and 2.3 red zone touches a game), Rashee Rice (Score: 38, Chiefs, 50% of games with a TD and 2.6 red zone touches a game), Kareem Hunt (Score: 36, Chiefs, 41% of games with a TD and 2.5 red zone touches a game). Rankings are generated by HeatCheck HQ's touchdown rate, red zone role, and matchup scoring model, updated daily.
Monday Night Football Props: Week 1
Monday night gives you one game to focus on, Broncos at Chiefs. We ran both teams through our touchdown and yardage models and pulled the plays with the usage and the matchup to back them. No odds, just the profile and the spot.
Top Plays: our best cross-sport prop edges, updated daily.
Anytime Touchdown Targets
RJ Harvey, Broncos RB. He has found the end zone in 53% of his games, with 2.3 red zone touches and 1.2 looks inside the 10 a game. That is the workload that turns into touchdowns.
Rashee Rice, Chiefs WR. He has found the end zone in 50% of his games, with 2.6 red zone touches and 2.1 looks inside the 10 a game. That is the workload that turns into touchdowns.
Kareem Hunt, Chiefs RB. He has found the end zone in 41% of his games, with 2.5 red zone touches and 1.3 looks inside the 10 a game. That is the workload that turns into touchdowns.
Full board on the Anytime TD dashboard.
Passing Yards
Patrick Mahomes (Chiefs) averages 256 passing yards a game, vs Broncos (19th vs the position). Bo Nix (Broncos) averages 231 passing yards a game, at Chiefs (16th vs the position). Justin Fields (Chiefs) averages 140 passing yards a game, vs Broncos (19th vs the position).
See every quarterback on the Passing Yards board.
Rushing Yards
J.K. Dobbins (Broncos) averages 77 rushing yards a game, at Chiefs (19th vs the position). Kenneth Walker III (Chiefs) averages 60 rushing yards a game, vs Broncos (22nd vs the position). Kareem Hunt (Chiefs) averages 36 rushing yards a game, vs Broncos (22nd vs the position). RJ Harvey (Broncos) averages 32 rushing yards a game, at Chiefs (19th vs the position).
See every back on the Rushing Yards board.
Receiving Yards
Rashee Rice (Chiefs) averages 71 receiving yards a game, vs Broncos (16th vs the position). Courtland Sutton (Broncos) averages 60 receiving yards a game, at Chiefs (19th vs the position). Jaylen Waddle (Broncos) averages 57 receiving yards a game, at Chiefs (19th vs the position). Travis Kelce (Chiefs) averages 50 receiving yards a game, vs Broncos (16th vs the position).
See every pass catcher on the Receiving Yards board.
Related NFL research
- Anytime Touchdown Props Guide — how red-zone role and usage drive TD probability.
- Passing / Rushing / Receiving Yards Guides — reading volume and matchup for yardage props.
- Defense vs Position Guide — how to use the matchup ranks in these picks.
- NFL Player Prop Strategy — the full research workflow.
Before You Lock
These are the highest-usage players in the friendliest spots for Broncos at Chiefs, but a prop is only as good as the line you get. Confirm each player is active and the game script fits, then check this week's news and your own number before you bet.
Related Resources
- Parent hub: NFL Props Hub
- Author: HeatCheck HQ
- Browse all posts: Sports Betting Insights & Guides