# NFL Anytime Touchdown Picks: Week 2 2026

> Data driven NFL anytime touchdown picks for Week 2. Ranked by a red-zone usage and touchdown-rate model, no guesswork. Josh Allen leads the board.

**Date:** 2026-09-20  
**Author:** HeatCheck HQ  
**Tags:** NFL, Anytime Touchdown, TD Props, Anytime TD Scorer, Weekly Picks, Player Props, Betting Strategy  
**Full article:** https://heatcheckhq.io/blog/nfl-anytime-td-picks-week-2-2026  
**Live picks & dashboards:** https://heatcheckhq.io

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**Today's best NFL anytime touchdown picks for Sunday, September 20, 2026** are Josh Allen (Score: 50, 2.0 red-zone touches per game, scores in 100% of games), Amon-Ra St. Brown (Score: 50, 3.0 red-zone touches per game, scores in 100% of games), Jahmyr Gibbs (Score: 50, 6.5 red-zone touches per game, scores in 100% of games). Rankings are generated by HeatCheck HQ's red-zone usage and touchdown-rate scoring model, updated daily.

# NFL Anytime Touchdown Picks: Week 2

Every skill-position player is scored on the two things that actually drive an anytime touchdown: how often they touch the ball inside the red zone, and how reliably that has turned into scores. No odds, no guesswork, just the usage and the rate. Here are the Week 2 plays.

> [Anytime TD Dashboard](/nfl/anytime-td): the full board, updated as roles and injuries settle each week.

## Josh Allen, Bills QB

*TD Score 50 · 2.0 RZ touches/G · 1.5 inside-10/G · 4 TD this season*

Josh Allen is the Bills' clearest goal-line weapon, with 1.5 touches a game inside the 10 and a score in 100% of his games. Inside-the-10 work is the most repeatable path to an anytime touchdown, and he owns it here.

## Amon-Ra St. Brown, Lions WR

*TD Score 50 · 3.0 RZ touches/G · 1.5 inside-10/G · 4 TD this season*

Nobody on the Lions sees the goal line like Amon-Ra St. Brown: 1.5 touches a game inside the 10, which has already produced a touchdown in 100% of his games. That is exactly the usage you want in a TD prop.

> **Want the full board?** All skill players ranked on the [Anytime TD Dashboard](/nfl/anytime-td), or see cross-sport plays on [Top Plays](/top-plays).

## Jahmyr Gibbs, Lions RB

*TD Score 50 · 6.5 RZ touches/G · 3.0 inside-10/G · 3 TD this season*

Jahmyr Gibbs is the Lions' clearest goal-line weapon, with 3.0 touches a game inside the 10 and a score in 100% of his games. Inside-the-10 work is the most repeatable path to an anytime touchdown, and he owns it here.

## Josh Palmer, Bills WR

*TD Score 50 · 0.0 RZ touches/G · 0.0 inside-10/G · 2 TD this season*

Scoring in 100% of his games, Josh Palmer is not living on luck. The Bills funnel 0.0 red-zone touches a game his way, which is what turns a hot rate into a repeatable one.

## James Cook, Bills RB

*TD Score 35 · 4.0 RZ touches/G · 2.0 inside-10/G · 1 TD this season*

Nobody on the Bills sees the goal line like James Cook: 2.0 touches a game inside the 10, which has already produced a touchdown in 50% of his games. That is exactly the usage you want in a TD prop.

## Dawson Knox, Bills TE

*TD Score 35 · 0.5 RZ touches/G · 0.5 inside-10/G · 1 TD this season*

Dawson Knox has found the end zone in 50% of his games this season, and 0.5 red-zone touches a game for the Bills is the volume feeding it. A rate like that holds up when the usage is real.

## Week 2 Anytime TD Board

| # | Player | Team | Pos | TD Score | Anytime TD% | RZ Touches/G | Inside-10/G |
|---|--------|------|-----|----------|-------------|--------------|-------------|
| 1 | Josh Allen | BUF | QB | 50 | 100% | 2.0 | 1.5 |
| 2 | Amon-Ra St. Brown | DET | WR | 50 | 100% | 3.0 | 1.5 |
| 3 | Jahmyr Gibbs | DET | RB | 50 | 100% | 6.5 | 3.0 |
| 4 | Josh Palmer | BUF | WR | 50 | 100% | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| 5 | James Cook | BUF | RB | 35 | 50% | 4.0 | 2.0 |
| 6 | Dawson Knox | BUF | TE | 35 | 50% | 0.5 | 0.5 |
| 7 | Dalton Kincaid | BUF | TE | 35 | 50% | 0.5 | 0.0 |
| 8 | Sam LaPorta | DET | TE | 35 | 50% | 2.0 | 1.5 |
| 9 | DJ Moore | BUF | WR | 35 | 50% | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| 10 | Jared Goff | DET | QB | 21 | 0% | 0.5 | 0.0 |
| 11 | Jacob Saylors | DET | RB | 21 | 0% | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| 12 | Sione Vaki | DET | RB | 21 | 0% | 0.5 | 0.0 |

TD Score is a red-zone-usage and touchdown-rate ranking, shrunk toward the league average so a small-sample fluke does not top the board. Anytime TD% is the observed share of games with at least one touchdown.

## Related NFL research

- [Anytime Touchdown Props Guide](/blog/nfl-anytime-touchdown-props-guide) — how red-zone role and usage drive TD probability.
- [Passing / Rushing / Receiving Yards Guides](/blog/nfl-rushing-receiving-yards-props-guide) — reading volume and matchup for yardage props.
- [Defense vs Position Guide](/blog/nfl-defense-vs-position-guide) — how to use the matchup ranks in these picks.
- [NFL Player Prop Strategy](/blog/nfl-player-prop-strategy-guide) — the full research workflow.

## Before You Lock

Touchdowns are volatile, so treat this as a shortlist, not a lock sheet. Confirm the player is active and in his usual role, since a healthy backfield or a change at quarterback can move red-zone touches fast. Check the game total: more expected points means more trips to the red zone and more shots at a score. The board is ranked on season-long role and rate, which is the repeatable signal, so pair it with this week's news before you bet.

## Related Resources

- Parent hub: [NFL Props Hub](/blog/topic/nfl-props)
- Author: [HeatCheck HQ](/blog/author/heatcheck-hq)
- Browse all posts: [Sports Betting Insights & Guides](/blog)


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