# NBA DVP Mismatches Today: October 31, 2026 (Every Game)

> NBA defense vs position mismatches for every game on tonight's 7 game slate. The softest matchup by position, backed by each player's averages.

**Date:** 2026-10-31  
**Author:** HeatCheck HQ  
**Tags:** DVP, Defense vs Position, NBA, Player Props, Daily Picks, Betting Strategy  
**Full article:** https://heatcheckhq.io/blog/nba-dvp-mismatches-oct-31-2026  
**Live picks & dashboards:** https://heatcheckhq.io

---

**Today's best NBA defense vs position mismatch picks for Saturday, October 31, 2026** are Jaylen Wells (Score: 70, the Kings allow the most points to SFs, he averages 13.8), CJ McCollum (Score: 56, the Pelicans allow the 4th most points to PGs, he averages 14.5), Damian Lillard (Score: 52, the Jazz allow the most points to PGs, he averages 18.5). Rankings are generated by HeatCheck HQ's eight factor DVP mismatch scoring model, updated daily.

# NBA DVP Mismatches Today: October 31, 2026

There are 7 NBA games tonight, and I went through each one for the softest defense vs position spot. A bad defensive rank only matters if the player on the other end actually fills that stat, so every lean below pairs the matchup with the player's own averages. The best of the night is Jaylen Wells points against the Kings. It is early in the season, so the defensive ranks are built on a handful of games and will move. I passed on 1 game without a matchup worth betting.

> [DVP Dashboard](/nba/defense-vs-position): full 30 team rankings at every position.

> **Yesterday's picks:** [NBA DVP Mismatches: October 30](/blog/nba-dvp-mismatches-oct-30-2026)

## Tonight's DVP Mismatches at a Glance

| Game | Tip (ET) | Player | Lean | Opp Rank Allowed | Player Avg |
|------|----------|--------|------|------------------|------------|
| POR @ UTAH | 3:00 PM | Damian Lillard (POR PG) | points over | 1st most | 18.5 |
| PHI @ CHA | 6:00 PM | Moussa Diabaté (CHA C) | rebounds over | 1st most | 9.8 |
| ATL @ NO | 7:00 PM | CJ McCollum (ATL PG) | points over | 4th most | 14.5 |
| SAC @ MEM | 8:00 PM | Jaylen Wells (MEM SF) | points over | 1st most | 13.8 |
| CLE @ MIL | 8:00 PM | Tyler Herro (MIL SG) | points over | 2nd most | 23.4 |
| OKC @ HOU | 8:30 PM | Kevin Durant (HOU SF) | threes made over | 2nd most | 1.8 |

Opp Rank Allowed is where the defense ranks in that stat allowed to the player's position (1st = most allowed).

## Trail Blazers vs. Jazz DVP Mismatch

*3:00 PM ET · NBA League Pass · Total 232.5*

PGs have feasted on the Jazz, who allow 36.5 points a game at the position (the most). Damian Lillard is averaging 18.5 points on 13.8 shots a night, so the volume is there to take advantage.

**Lean:** Damian Lillard (POR) points over

## 76ers vs. Hornets DVP Mismatch

*6:00 PM ET · NBA TV · Total 213.5*

The 76ers are giving up 18.8 rebounds a game to opposing Cs, the most in the league. Moussa brings 9.8 rebounds a game into it in 29.7 minutes, which is the production that makes the matchup matter.

On the other side, Naz Reid draws the 76ers, who allow the 5th most rebounds to PFs. He averages 9.2 rebounds.

**Lean:** Moussa Diabaté (CHA) rebounds over

**Also consider:** Naz Reid (CHA) rebounds over

## Hawks vs. Pelicans DVP Mismatch

*7:00 PM ET · NBA League Pass · Total 240.5*

Few defenses have been kinder to PGs: the Pelicans allow 32.5 points a game, the 4th most in the league. That lines up with what CJ already does: 14.5 points a game on 11.0 shots. There is a second angle too, the same defense ranks 5th worst in threes allowed to the position, so threes made works as a backup play.

On the other side, Zion Williamson draws the Hawks, who allow the 5th most points to PFs. He averages 21.8 points.

**Lean:** CJ McCollum (ATL) points over

**Also consider:** Zion Williamson (NO) points over

> **Want the full board?** See all of today's plays on [Top Plays](/top-plays), or dive deeper on the [Defense vs Position dashboard](/nba/defense-vs-position).

## Kings vs. Grizzlies DVP Mismatch

*8:00 PM ET · NBA League Pass · Total 230.5 · Top play of the night*

SFs have feasted on the Kings, who allow 27.9 points a game at the position (the most). Jaylen Wells is averaging 13.8 points on 8.8 shots a night, so the volume is there to take advantage. There is a second angle too, the same defense ranks 3rd worst in threes allowed to the position, so threes made works as a backup play.

**Lean:** Jaylen Wells (MEM) points over

## Cavaliers vs. Bucks DVP Mismatch

*8:00 PM ET · NBA League Pass · Total 235.5*

The Cavaliers are giving up 27.9 points a game to opposing SGs, the 2nd most in the league. Tyler brings 23.4 points a game into it on 17.2 shots, which is the production that makes the matchup matter.

On the other side, Donovan Mitchell draws the Bucks, who allow the 3rd most points to SGs. He averages 24.2 points.

**Lean:** Tyler Herro (MIL) points over

**Also consider:** Donovan Mitchell (CLE) points over

## Thunder vs. Rockets DVP Mismatch

*8:30 PM ET · NBA TV · Total 219.5*

SFs have feasted on the Thunder, who allow 3.8 threes a game at the position (the 2nd most). Kevin Durant is averaging 1.8 threes in 34.8 minutes a night, so the volume is there to take advantage.

On the other side, Amen Thompson draws the Thunder, who allow the 3rd most rebounds to SGs. He averages 7.2 rebounds.

**Lean:** Kevin Durant (HOU) threes made over

**Also consider:** Amen Thompson (HOU) rebounds over

## Related Guides

- [Defense vs Position Guide](/blog/nba-defense-vs-position-guide)
- [NBA DVP Matchups Explained](/blog/nba-dvp-matchups-explained)
- [NBA Back-to-Back Rest Analysis](/blog/nba-back-to-back-rest-analysis)

## Before You Lock

Check the [Defense vs Position dashboard](/nba/defense-vs-position) for full 1 to 30 rankings at every position and stat. Confirm lineups before tip: if a starter sits, the backup will not move the needle the same way, and a rotation change can flip which player draws the soft matchup.

For full team-level defensive rankings and how to use DVP data in your process, see the [DVP Betting Guide](/blog/nba-defense-vs-position-guide).

**More from HeatCheck HQ:**
- [First Basket Picks Tonight](/blog/nba-first-basket-picks-oct-31-2026): tipoff scoring leaders
- [Live DVP Dashboard](/nba/defense-vs-position): full 30 team rankings
- [Streak Plays](/nba/streaks): players clearing their lines consistently
- [DVP Betting Guide](/blog/nba-defense-vs-position-guide): how to use matchup data

*Updated as lineups confirm. Full slate at [heatcheckhq.io](https://heatcheckhq.io).*

## Related Resources

- Parent hub: [NBA Props Hub](/blog/topic/nba-props)
- Daily stream: [NBA DVP Mismatches](/blog/stream/nba-dvp-mismatches)
- Author: [HeatCheck HQ](/blog/author/heatcheck-hq)
- Browse all posts: [Sports Betting Insights & Guides](/blog)


---

*Data powered by HeatCheck HQ — sports analytics platform. Free tools at https://heatcheckhq.io*