# NBA DVP Mismatches Today: October 29, 2026 (Every Game)

> Tonight's best NBA DVP mismatch for each of 3 games: the weakest defense at each position, matched to the player who fills that stat. Trey Murphy III leads.

**Date:** 2026-10-29  
**Author:** HeatCheck HQ  
**Tags:** DVP, Defense vs Position, NBA, Player Props, Daily Picks, Betting Strategy  
**Full article:** https://heatcheckhq.io/blog/nba-dvp-mismatches-oct-29-2026  
**Live picks & dashboards:** https://heatcheckhq.io

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**Today's best NBA defense vs position mismatch picks for Thursday, October 29, 2026** are Trey Murphy III (Score: 67, the Kings allow the most threes to SFs, he averages 2.3), Jarrett Allen (Score: 46, the Hawks allow the 3rd most points to Cs, he averages 13.3), Ty Jerome (Score: 18, the Trail Blazers allow the 4th most points to PGs, he averages 29.8). Rankings are generated by HeatCheck HQ's eight factor DVP mismatch scoring model, updated daily.

# NBA DVP Mismatches Today: October 29, 2026

There are 3 NBA games tonight, and I went through each one for the softest defense vs position spot. A bad defensive rank only matters if the player on the other end actually fills that stat, so every lean below pairs the matchup with the player's own averages. The best of the night is Trey Murphy III threes made against the Kings. It is early in the season, so the defensive ranks are built on a handful of games and will move.

> [DVP Dashboard](/nba/defense-vs-position): full 30 team rankings at every position.

> **Yesterday's picks:** [NBA DVP Mismatches: October 28](/blog/nba-dvp-mismatches-oct-28-2026)

## Tonight's DVP Mismatches at a Glance

| Game | Tip (ET) | Player | Lean | Opp Rank Allowed | Player Avg |
|------|----------|--------|------|------------------|------------|
| CLE @ ATL | 8:00 PM | Jarrett Allen (CLE C) | points over | 3rd most | 13.3 |
| SAC @ NO | 8:00 PM | Trey Murphy III (NO SF) | threes made over | 1st most | 2.3 |
| MEM @ POR | 10:00 PM | Ty Jerome (MEM PG) | points over | 4th most | 29.8 |

Opp Rank Allowed is where the defense ranks in that stat allowed to the player's position (1st = most allowed).

## Cavaliers vs. Hawks DVP Mismatch

*8:00 PM ET · NBA TV · Total 237.5*

Cs have feasted on the Hawks, who allow 25.2 points a game at the position (the 3rd most). Jarrett Allen is averaging 13.3 points on 7.8 shots a night, so the volume is there to take advantage.

On the other side, Evan Mobley draws the Hawks, who allow the 4th most points to PFs. He averages 20.0 points.

**Lean:** Jarrett Allen (CLE) points over

**Also consider:** Evan Mobley (CLE) points over

## Kings vs. Pelicans DVP Mismatch

*8:00 PM ET · NBA League Pass · Total 235.5 · Top play of the night*

The Kings are giving up 4.0 threes a game to opposing SFs, the most in the league. Trey brings 2.3 threes a game into it in 32.5 minutes, which is the production that makes the matchup matter. There is a second angle too, the same defense ranks 2nd worst in points allowed to the position, so points works as a backup play.

On the other side, Domantas Sabonis draws the Pelicans, who allow the most points to Cs. He averages 19.0 points.

**Lean:** Trey Murphy III (NO) threes made over

**Also consider:** Domantas Sabonis (SAC) points over

## Grizzlies vs. Trail Blazers DVP Mismatch

*10:00 PM ET · NBA League Pass · Total 232.5*

PGs have feasted on the Trail Blazers, who allow 31.9 points a game at the position (the 4th most). Ty Jerome is averaging 29.8 points on 19.8 shots a night, so the volume is there to take advantage.

**Lean:** Ty Jerome (MEM) points over

> **Want the full board?** See all of today's plays on [Top Plays](/top-plays), or dive deeper on the [Defense vs Position dashboard](/nba/defense-vs-position).

## Related Guides

- [Defense vs Position Guide](/blog/nba-defense-vs-position-guide)
- [NBA DVP Matchups Explained](/blog/nba-dvp-matchups-explained)
- [NBA Back-to-Back Rest Analysis](/blog/nba-back-to-back-rest-analysis)

## Before You Lock

Check the [Defense vs Position dashboard](/nba/defense-vs-position) for full 1 to 30 rankings at every position and stat. Confirm lineups before tip: if a starter sits, the backup will not move the needle the same way, and a rotation change can flip which player draws the soft matchup.

For full team-level defensive rankings and how to use DVP data in your process, see the [DVP Betting Guide](/blog/nba-defense-vs-position-guide).

**More from HeatCheck HQ:**
- [First Basket Picks Tonight](/blog/nba-first-basket-picks-oct-29-2026): tipoff scoring leaders
- [Live DVP Dashboard](/nba/defense-vs-position): full 30 team rankings
- [Streak Plays](/nba/streaks): players clearing their lines consistently
- [DVP Betting Guide](/blog/nba-defense-vs-position-guide): how to use matchup data

*Updated as lineups confirm. Full slate at [heatcheckhq.io](https://heatcheckhq.io).*

## Related Resources

- Parent hub: [NBA Props Hub](/blog/topic/nba-props)
- Daily stream: [NBA DVP Mismatches](/blog/stream/nba-dvp-mismatches)
- Author: [HeatCheck HQ](/blog/author/heatcheck-hq)
- Browse all posts: [Sports Betting Insights & Guides](/blog)


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*Data powered by HeatCheck HQ — sports analytics platform. Free tools at https://heatcheckhq.io*