# NBA DVP Mismatches Today: November 9, 2026 (Every Game) > NBA defense vs position mismatches for every game on tonight's 8 game slate. The softest matchup by position, backed by each player's averages. **Date:** 2026-11-09 **Author:** HeatCheck HQ **Tags:** DVP, Defense vs Position, NBA, Player Props, Daily Picks, Betting Strategy **Full article:** https://heatcheckhq.io/blog/nba-dvp-mismatches-nov-9-2026 **Live picks & dashboards:** https://heatcheckhq.io --- **Today's best NBA defense vs position mismatch picks for Monday, November 9, 2026** are Stephen Curry (Score: 68, the Pelicans allow the most points to PGs, he averages 31.3), Duncan Robinson (Score: 46, the Wizards allow the 2nd most points to SGs, he averages 18.2), Evan Mobley (Score: 42, the Hornets allow the 2nd most points to PFs, he averages 18.4). Rankings are generated by HeatCheck HQ's eight factor DVP mismatch scoring model, updated daily. # NBA DVP Mismatches Today: November 9, 2026 There are 8 NBA games tonight, and I went through each one for the softest defense vs position spot. A bad defensive rank only matters if the player on the other end actually fills that stat, so every lean below pairs the matchup with the player's own averages. The best of the night is Stephen Curry points against the Pelicans. It is early in the season, so the defensive ranks are built on a handful of games and will move. I passed on 2 games without a matchup worth betting. > [DVP Dashboard](/nba/defense-vs-position): full 30 team rankings at every position. > **Yesterday's picks:** [NBA DVP Mismatches: November 8](/blog/nba-dvp-mismatches-nov-8-2026) ## Tonight's DVP Mismatches at a Glance | Game | Tip (ET) | Player | Lean | Opp Rank Allowed | Player Avg | |------|----------|--------|------|------------------|------------| | LAL @ ATL | 7:00 PM | Dyson Daniels (ATL SF) | rebounds over | 3rd most | 7.2 | | CLE @ CHA | 7:00 PM | Evan Mobley (CLE PF) | points over | 2nd most | 18.4 | | WSH @ DET | 7:00 PM | Duncan Robinson (DET SG) | points over | 2nd most | 18.2 | | DEN @ HOU | 8:30 PM | Jabari Smith Jr. (HOU PF) | threes made over | 4th most | 2.8 | | SA @ PHX | 9:00 PM | Victor Wembanyama (SA C) | points over | 3rd most | 29.1 | | NO @ GS | 10:00 PM | Stephen Curry (GS PG) | points over | 1st most | 31.3 | Opp Rank Allowed is where the defense ranks in that stat allowed to the player's position (1st = most allowed). ## Lakers vs. Hawks DVP Mismatch *7:00 PM ET · Spectrum Sports Net · Total 233.5* The Lakers are giving up 9.7 rebounds a game to opposing SFs, the 3rd most in the league. Dyson brings 7.2 rebounds a game into it in 30.3 minutes, which is the production that makes the matchup matter. **Lean:** Dyson Daniels (ATL) rebounds over ## Cavaliers vs. Hornets DVP Mismatch *7:00 PM ET · DAZN CLE · Total 215.5* The Hornets are giving up 27.8 points a game to opposing PFs, the 2nd most in the league. Evan brings 18.4 points a game into it on 12.4 shots, which is the production that makes the matchup matter. **Lean:** Evan Mobley (CLE) points over ## Wizards vs. Pistons DVP Mismatch *7:00 PM ET · NBCSN · Total 218.5* The Wizards are giving up 26.6 points a game to opposing SGs, the 2nd most in the league. Duncan brings 18.2 points a game into it on 11.9 shots, which is the production that makes the matchup matter. There is a second angle too, the same defense ranks 4th worst in threes allowed to the position, so threes made works as a backup play. On the other side, Anthony Davis draws the Pistons, who allow the most rebounds to PFs. He averages 9.3 rebounds. **Lean:** Duncan Robinson (DET) points over **Also consider:** Anthony Davis (WSH) rebounds over > **Want the full board?** See all of today's plays on [Top Plays](/top-plays), or dive deeper on the [Defense vs Position dashboard](/nba/defense-vs-position). ## Nuggets vs. Rockets DVP Mismatch *8:30 PM ET · ALT2/KTVD · Total 223.5* Few defenses have been kinder to PFs: the Nuggets allow 3.1 threes a game, the 4th most in the league. That lines up with what Jabari already does: 2.8 threes a game in 35.0 minutes. **Lean:** Jabari Smith Jr. (HOU) threes made over ## Spurs vs. Suns DVP Mismatch *9:00 PM ET · Arizona's Family 3TV · Total 226.5* The Suns are giving up 26.6 points a game to opposing Cs, the 3rd most in the league. Victor brings 29.1 points a game into it on 20.6 shots, which is the production that makes the matchup matter. There is a second angle too, the same defense ranks 3rd worst in rebounds allowed to the position, so rebounds works as a backup play. On the other side, Stephon Castle draws the Suns, who allow the most threes to SGs. He averages 2.2 threes. **Lean:** Victor Wembanyama (SA) points over **Also consider:** Stephon Castle (SA) threes made over ## Pelicans vs. Warriors DVP Mismatch *10:00 PM ET · NBA TV · Total 229.5 · Top play of the night* The Pelicans are giving up 33.9 points a game to opposing PGs, the most in the league. Stephen brings 31.3 points a game into it on 18.4 shots, which is the production that makes the matchup matter. There is a second angle too, the same defense ranks 3rd worst in assists allowed to the position, so assists works as a backup play. **Lean:** Stephen Curry (GS) points over ## Related Guides - [Defense vs Position Guide](/blog/nba-defense-vs-position-guide) - [NBA DVP Matchups Explained](/blog/nba-dvp-matchups-explained) - [NBA Back-to-Back Rest Analysis](/blog/nba-back-to-back-rest-analysis) ## Before You Lock Check the [Defense vs Position dashboard](/nba/defense-vs-position) for full 1 to 30 rankings at every position and stat. Confirm lineups before tip: if a starter sits, the backup will not move the needle the same way, and a rotation change can flip which player draws the soft matchup. For full team-level defensive rankings and how to use DVP data in your process, see the [DVP Betting Guide](/blog/nba-defense-vs-position-guide). **More from HeatCheck HQ:** - [First Basket Picks Tonight](/blog/nba-first-basket-picks-nov-9-2026): tipoff scoring leaders - [Live DVP Dashboard](/nba/defense-vs-position): full 30 team rankings - [Streak Plays](/nba/streaks): players clearing their lines consistently - [DVP Betting Guide](/blog/nba-defense-vs-position-guide): how to use matchup data *Updated as lineups confirm. Full slate at [heatcheckhq.io](https://heatcheckhq.io).* ## Related Resources - Parent hub: [NBA Props Hub](/blog/topic/nba-props) - Daily stream: [NBA DVP Mismatches](/blog/stream/nba-dvp-mismatches) - Author: [HeatCheck HQ](/blog/author/heatcheck-hq) - Browse all posts: [Sports Betting Insights & Guides](/blog) --- *Data powered by HeatCheck HQ — sports analytics platform. Free tools at https://heatcheckhq.io*