# NBA DVP Mismatches Today: November 4, 2026 (Every Game)

> Tonight's best NBA DVP mismatch for each of 14 games: the weakest defense at each position, matched to the player who fills that stat. Landry Shamet leads.

**Date:** 2026-11-04  
**Author:** HeatCheck HQ  
**Tags:** DVP, Defense vs Position, NBA, Player Props, Daily Picks, Betting Strategy  
**Full article:** https://heatcheckhq.io/blog/nba-dvp-mismatches-nov-4-2026  
**Live picks & dashboards:** https://heatcheckhq.io

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**Today's best NBA defense vs position mismatch picks for Wednesday, November 4, 2026** are Landry Shamet (Score: 84, the Bulls allow the 3rd most threes to SFs, he averages 2.3), Keyonte George (Score: 68, the Pelicans allow the most points to PGs, he averages 19.6), Jalen Johnson (Score: 61, the Wizards allow the most rebounds to PFs, he averages 9.0). Rankings are generated by HeatCheck HQ's eight factor DVP mismatch scoring model, updated daily.

# NBA DVP Mismatches Today: November 4, 2026

There are 14 NBA games tonight, and I went through each one for the softest defense vs position spot. A bad defensive rank only matters if the player on the other end actually fills that stat, so every lean below pairs the matchup with the player's own averages. The best of the night is Landry Shamet threes made against the Bulls. It is early in the season, so the defensive ranks are built on a handful of games and will move. I passed on 1 game without a matchup worth betting.

> [DVP Dashboard](/nba/defense-vs-position): full 30 team rankings at every position.

## Tonight's DVP Mismatches at a Glance

| Game | Tip (ET) | Player | Lean | Opp Rank Allowed | Player Avg |
|------|----------|--------|------|------------------|------------|
| PHI @ DET | 7:00 PM | LeBron James (PHI PF) | rebounds over | 2nd most | 7.0 |
| ATL @ WSH | 7:00 PM | Jalen Johnson (ATL PF) | rebounds over | 1st most | 9.0 |
| MIL @ BOS | 7:30 PM | Jaime Jaquez Jr. (MIL SF) | rebounds over | 2nd most | 7.3 |
| CHA @ BKN | 7:30 PM | Naz Reid (CHA PF) | threes made over | 4th most | 2.4 |
| CHI @ NY | 7:30 PM | Landry Shamet (NY SF) | threes made over | 3rd most | 2.3 |
| IND @ MEM | 8:00 PM | Zach Edey (MEM C) | rebounds over | 2nd most | 7.3 |
| UTAH @ NO | 8:00 PM | Keyonte George (UTAH PG) | points over | 1st most | 19.6 |
| CLE @ OKC | 8:00 PM | Meleek Thomas (CLE SF) | threes made over | 2nd most | 2.5 |
| TOR @ DEN | 9:00 PM | Ja'Kobe Walter (TOR SF) | threes made over | 4th most | 2.4 |
| POR @ PHX | 9:00 PM | Toumani Camara (POR SF) | threes made over | 5th most | 3.8 |
| DAL @ SA | 9:30 PM | Dylan Harper (SA SF) | points over | 5th most | 18.3 |
| LAL @ SAC | 10:00 PM | Walker Kessler (LAL C) | points over | 1st most | 14.4 |
| MIA @ LAC | 10:30 PM | Darius Garland (LAC PG) | points over | 2nd most | 20.1 |

Opp Rank Allowed is where the defense ranks in that stat allowed to the player's position (1st = most allowed).

## 76ers vs. Pistons DVP Mismatch

*7:00 PM ET · ESPN · Total 219.5*

The Pistons are giving up 13.3 rebounds a game to opposing PFs, the 2nd most in the league. LeBron brings 7.0 rebounds a game into it in 33.0 minutes, which is the production that makes the matchup matter. There is a second angle too, the same defense ranks 4th worst in points allowed to the position, so points works as a backup play.

On the other side, Paul Reed draws the 76ers, who allow the 4th most rebounds to Cs. He averages 6.7 rebounds.

**Lean:** LeBron James (PHI) rebounds over

**Also consider:** Paul Reed (DET) rebounds over

## Hawks vs. Wizards DVP Mismatch

*7:00 PM ET · MNMT · Total 230.5*

PFs have feasted on the Wizards, who allow 13.9 rebounds a game at the position (the most). Jalen Johnson is averaging 9.0 rebounds in 32.7 minutes a night, so the volume is there to take advantage. There is a second angle too, the same defense ranks 2nd worst in points allowed to the position, so points works as a backup play.

On the other side, Nickeil Alexander-Walker draws the Wizards, who allow the 2nd most points to SGs. He averages 21.1 points.

**Lean:** Jalen Johnson (ATL) rebounds over

**Also consider:** Nickeil Alexander-Walker (ATL) points over

## Bucks vs. Celtics DVP Mismatch

*7:30 PM ET · MyMi · Total 221.5*

The Celtics are giving up 11.7 rebounds a game to opposing SFs, the 2nd most in the league. Jaime brings 7.3 rebounds a game into it in 28.0 minutes, which is the production that makes the matchup matter. There is a second angle too, the same defense ranks 4th worst in points allowed to the position, so points works as a backup play.

On the other side, Derrick White draws the Bucks, who allow the 2nd most assists to PGs. He averages 4.9 assists.

**Lean:** Jaime Jaquez Jr. (MIL) rebounds over

**Also consider:** Derrick White (BOS) assists over

> **Want the full board?** See all of today's plays on [Top Plays](/top-plays), or dive deeper on the [Defense vs Position dashboard](/nba/defense-vs-position).

## Hornets vs. Nets DVP Mismatch

*7:30 PM ET · DAZN (YES) · Total 212.5*

Few defenses have been kinder to PFs: the Nets allow 3.3 threes a game, the 4th most in the league. That lines up with what Naz already does: 2.4 threes a game in 28.9 minutes.

On the other side, Julius Randle draws the Hornets, who allow the 5th most rebounds to PFs. He averages 7.7 rebounds.

**Lean:** Naz Reid (CHA) threes made over

**Also consider:** Julius Randle (BKN) rebounds over

## Bulls vs. Knicks DVP Mismatch

*7:30 PM ET · Total 233.5 · Top play of the night*

SFs have feasted on the Bulls, who allow 3.5 threes a game at the position (the 3rd most). Landry Shamet is averaging 2.3 threes in 24.9 minutes a night, so the volume is there to take advantage.

**Lean:** Landry Shamet (NY) threes made over

## Pacers vs. Grizzlies DVP Mismatch

*8:00 PM ET · DAZN MEM · Total 228.5*

The Pacers are giving up 17.1 rebounds a game to opposing Cs, the 2nd most in the league. Zach brings 7.3 rebounds a game into it in 20.0 minutes, which is the production that makes the matchup matter.

On the other side, Cameron Boozer draws the Pacers, who allow the 2nd most assists to PFs. He averages 5.6 assists.

**Lean:** Zach Edey (MEM) rebounds over

**Also consider:** Cameron Boozer (MEM) assists over

## Jazz vs. Pelicans DVP Mismatch

*8:00 PM ET · GCSEN · Total 231.5*

Few defenses have been kinder to PGs: the Pelicans allow 33.7 points a game, the most in the league. That lines up with what Keyonte already does: 19.6 points a game on 14.7 shots. There is a second angle too, the same defense ranks 3rd worst in assists allowed to the position, so assists works as a backup play.

On the other side, Jeremiah Fears draws the Jazz, who allow the most assists to SGs. He averages 4.9 assists.

**Lean:** Keyonte George (UTAH) points over

**Also consider:** Jeremiah Fears (NO) assists over

## Cavaliers vs. Thunder DVP Mismatch

*8:00 PM ET · KSBI · Total 226.5*

The Thunder are giving up 3.6 threes a game to opposing SFs, the 2nd most in the league. Meleek brings 2.5 threes a game into it in 22.0 minutes, which is the production that makes the matchup matter. There is a second angle too, the same defense ranks 3rd worst in points allowed to the position, so points works as a backup play.

On the other side, Isaiah Hartenstein draws the Cavaliers, who allow the 3rd most rebounds to Cs. He averages 9.9 rebounds.

**Lean:** Meleek Thomas (CLE) threes made over

**Also consider:** Isaiah Hartenstein (OKC) rebounds over

## Raptors vs. Nuggets DVP Mismatch

*9:00 PM ET · Total 231.5*

SFs have feasted on the Nuggets, who allow 3.2 threes a game at the position (the 4th most). Ja'Kobe Walter is averaging 2.4 threes in 29.4 minutes a night, so the volume is there to take advantage.

On the other side, RJ Barrett draws the Nuggets, who allow the 2nd most assists to SGs. He averages 4.0 assists.

**Lean:** Ja'Kobe Walter (TOR) threes made over

**Also consider:** RJ Barrett (TOR) assists over

## Trail Blazers vs. Suns DVP Mismatch

*9:00 PM ET · KUNP 16 · Total 227.5*

SFs have feasted on the Suns, who allow 3.2 threes a game at the position (the 5th most). Toumani Camara is averaging 3.8 threes in 27.0 minutes a night, so the volume is there to take advantage.

**Lean:** Toumani Camara (POR) threes made over

## Mavericks vs. Spurs DVP Mismatch

*9:30 PM ET · ESPN · Total 226.5*

Few defenses have been kinder to SFs: the Mavericks allow 23.7 points a game, the 5th most in the league. That lines up with what Dylan already does: 18.3 points a game on 14.4 shots.

**Lean:** Dylan Harper (SA) points over

## Lakers vs. Kings DVP Mismatch

*10:00 PM ET · Spectrum Sports Net · Total 233.5*

Cs have feasted on the Kings, who allow 29.2 points a game at the position (the most). Walker Kessler is averaging 14.4 points on 8.8 shots a night, so the volume is there to take advantage.

On the other side, Darius Acuff Jr. draws the Lakers, who allow the 3rd most points to PGs. He averages 26.1 points.

**Lean:** Walker Kessler (LAL) points over

**Also consider:** Darius Acuff Jr. (SAC) points over

## Heat vs. Clippers DVP Mismatch

*10:30 PM ET · ClipperVision · Total 233.5*

The Heat are giving up 33.4 points a game to opposing PGs, the 2nd most in the league. Darius brings 20.1 points a game into it on 16.4 shots, which is the production that makes the matchup matter. There is a second angle too, the same defense ranks 2nd worst in threes allowed to the position, so threes made works as a backup play.

On the other side, Davion Mitchell draws the Clippers, who allow the 5th most points to PGs. He averages 16.0 points.

**Lean:** Darius Garland (LAC) points over

**Also consider:** Davion Mitchell (MIA) points over

## Related Guides

- [Defense vs Position Guide](/blog/nba-defense-vs-position-guide)
- [NBA DVP Matchups Explained](/blog/nba-dvp-matchups-explained)
- [NBA Back-to-Back Rest Analysis](/blog/nba-back-to-back-rest-analysis)

## Before You Lock

Check the [Defense vs Position dashboard](/nba/defense-vs-position) for full 1 to 30 rankings at every position and stat. Confirm lineups before tip: if a starter sits, the backup will not move the needle the same way, and a rotation change can flip which player draws the soft matchup.

For full team-level defensive rankings and how to use DVP data in your process, see the [DVP Betting Guide](/blog/nba-defense-vs-position-guide).

**More from HeatCheck HQ:**
- [First Basket Picks Tonight](/blog/nba-first-basket-picks-nov-4-2026): tipoff scoring leaders
- [Live DVP Dashboard](/nba/defense-vs-position): full 30 team rankings
- [Streak Plays](/nba/streaks): players clearing their lines consistently
- [DVP Betting Guide](/blog/nba-defense-vs-position-guide): how to use matchup data

*Updated as lineups confirm. Full slate at [heatcheckhq.io](https://heatcheckhq.io).*

## Related Resources

- Parent hub: [NBA Props Hub](/blog/topic/nba-props)
- Daily stream: [NBA DVP Mismatches](/blog/stream/nba-dvp-mismatches)
- Author: [HeatCheck HQ](/blog/author/heatcheck-hq)
- Browse all posts: [Sports Betting Insights & Guides](/blog)


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