# Best NBA Player Props Today - DVP Mismatches March 13, 2026

> Tonight's best player prop angles across 8 NBA games - Deni Avdija leads the DVP mismatch board for March 13, 2026. Updated daily with model-backed context and

**Date:** 2026-03-13  
**Author:** HeatCheck HQ  
**Tags:** DVP, Defense vs Position, NBA, Player Props, Daily Picks, Betting Strategy  
**Full article:** https://heatcheckhq.io/blog/nba-dvp-mismatches-mar-13-2026  
**Live picks & dashboards:** https://heatcheckhq.io

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# Best NBA Player Props Today - DVP Mismatches March 13, 2026

Start with Deni Avdija - the data is clear.

> [DVP Dashboard](/nba/defense-vs-position) - full 30-team rankings at every position.

> **Yesterday's picks:** [NBA DVP Mismatches - March 12](/blog/nba-dvp-mismatches-mar-12-2026)

## Tonight's Slate

- MEM @ DET
- NY @ IND
- PHX @ TOR
- CLE @ DAL
- NO @ HOU
- MIN @ GS
- UTAH @ POR
- CHI @ LAC

## Pick 1: Deni Avdija (SF) - UTAH @ POR (Home)

Top-5 DVP in 3 categories

- **Assists:** 1st in league (5.7 avg allowed)
- **3-Pointers Made:** 1st in league (3.2 avg allowed)
- **Points:** 2nd in league (26.1 avg allowed)

Why Deni Avdija tonight? UTAH ranks bottom-five against SFs in 3 stat categories. It's the clearest edge on the slate. 26.1 PPG allowed to SFs puts UTAH at 2nd in the league - clear points-over territory. When a defense is this porous across 3 stats, PRA combos are the move.

## Pick 2: Jrue Holiday (PG) - UTAH @ POR (Home)

Top-5 DVP in 4 categories

- **Points:** 1st in league (27.2 avg allowed)
- **3-Pointers Made:** 1st in league (3.8 avg allowed)
- **Steals:** 2nd in league (2.2 avg allowed)
- **Blocks:** 3rd in league (0.8 avg allowed)

Another matchup worth targeting: Jrue Holiday vs. UTAH, who are weak against PGs across 4 categories. UTAH allows the 1st most points to PGs (27.2 PPG) - the points over is the primary angle. A 4-category mismatch opens up PRA and combo prop angles.

## Pick 3: Toumani Camara (SG) - UTAH @ POR (Home)

Top-5 DVP in 4 categories

- **3-Pointers Made:** 1st in league (3.8 avg allowed)
- **Points:** 3rd in league (23.4 avg allowed)
- **Assists:** 3rd in league (5.6 avg allowed)
- **Rebounds:** 5th in league (7.0 avg allowed)

Toumani Camara vs UTAH is a spot worth exploiting - bottom-five DVP in 4 categories at SG. On points, UTAH is hemorrhaging - 3rd in the league at 23.4 PPG allowed to SGs. Assists over is also in play: 5.6 APG allowed to SGs (3rd in league). 4 exploitable categories makes this a natural PRA combo play.

## Honorable Mentions

- **Tari Eason** (SG) - HOU vs NO, top-5 DVP in 3 categories, best rank: 1st
- **Jalen Brunson** (PG) - NY vs IND, top-5 DVP in 2 categories, best rank: 1st
- **Evan Mobley** (C) - CLE vs DAL, top-5 DVP in 3 categories, best rank: 2nd
- **Derrick Jones Jr.** (PF) - LAC vs CHI, top-5 DVP in 1 category, best rank: 1st
- **Jerami Grant** (PF) - POR vs UTAH, top-5 DVP in 2 categories, best rank: 1st

Tari Eason was close. NO's weakness in points, 3-pointers made, assists is real, but the overall mismatch wasn't quite as broad as tonight's top three.

## Before You Lock

Check the [Defense vs Position dashboard](/nba/defense-vs-position) for full 1-30 rankings at every position and stat. Confirm lineups before tip - if a starter is resting or injured, the backup may not exploit the matchup the same way. Stack DVP mismatches with recent form and pace-of-play for the strongest angles.

For full team-level defensive rankings and how to use DVP data in your process, see the [DVP Betting Guide](/blog/nba-defense-vs-position-guide).

**More from HeatCheck HQ:**
- [First Basket Picks Tonight](/blog/nba-first-basket-picks-mar-13-2026) - tipoff scoring leaders
- [Live DVP Dashboard](/nba/defense-vs-position) - full 30-team rankings
- [Streak Plays](/nba/streaks) - players clearing their lines consistently
- [DVP Betting Guide](/blog/nba-defense-vs-position-guide) - how to use matchup data

*Updated as lineups confirm. Full slate at [heatcheckhq.io](https://heatcheckhq.io).*

## Related Resources

- Parent hub: [NBA Props Hub](/blog/topic/nba-props)
- Daily stream: [NBA DVP Mismatches](/blog/stream/nba-dvp-mismatches)
- Author: [HeatCheck HQ](/blog/author/heatcheck-hq)
- Browse all posts: [Sports Betting Insights & Guides](/blog)


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*Data powered by HeatCheck HQ — sports analytics platform. Free tools at https://heatcheckhq.io*