Today's best MLB strikeout prop picks for Sunday, September 27, 2026 are Jacob Misiorowski (Score: 85, 13.15 K/9, 37.2% whiff rate), Zack Wheeler (Score: 70, 10.85 K/9, 31.4% whiff rate), Jared Jones (Score: 67, 10.93 K/9, 32.6% whiff rate). Rankings are generated by HeatCheck HQ's six factor pitcher K scoring model, updated daily.
MLB Strikeout Props Today: September 27, 2026
Every probable starter scored across 6 K factors. 29 candidates, 15 games. Here are the plays.
Pitching Stats Dashboard: full pitcher arsenals and K metrics for every starter.
Yesterday's K picks: MLB Strikeout Picks: September 26
Today's Slate
- NYM at WSH (Sean Manaea vs DJ Herz), 1:05 PM ET
- BAL at NYY (Shane Baz vs Elmer Rodríguez), 1:05 PM ET
- TB at PHI (Nick Martinez vs Zack Wheeler), 2:30 PM ET
- CHC at BOS (Shota Imanaga vs Tanner Houck), 3:05 PM ET
- HOU at ATH (Peter Lambert vs Seth Johnson), 3:05 PM ET
- LAD at SF (Jack Dreyer vs Carson Seymour), 3:05 PM ET
- CIN at TOR (Brandon Williamson vs Max Scherzer), 3:07 PM ET
- CLE at KC (Parker Messick vs Daniel Lynch IV), 3:10 PM ET
- PIT at DET (Jared Jones vs River Ryan), 3:10 PM ET
- AZ at SD (Michael Soroka vs Randy Vásquez), 3:10 PM ET
- LAA at SEA (Yusei Kikuchi vs Logan Gilbert), 3:10 PM ET
- TEX at MIN (MacKenzie Gore vs Dean Kremer), 3:10 PM ET
- COL at CWS (Kyle Freeland vs Anthony Kay), 3:10 PM ET
- ATL at MIA (JR Ritchie vs Janson Junk), 3:10 PM ET
- STL at MIL (Andre Pallante vs Jacob Misiorowski), 3:10 PM ET
Pick 1: Jacob Misiorowski, MIL vs STL
RHP | 247 K on season | American Family Field
247 K · 13.15 K/9 · 37.2% whiff · 1.86 ERA · 0.80 WHIP · 22.0% opp K rate
Top K play tonight. Jacob Misiorowski's 13.15 K/9 puts him in elite strikeout territory, the kind of arm that punches out a batter every nine pitches he's in the game. Tonight against STL he keeps adding to the season total.
The 37.2% whiff rate underneath confirms the stuff is real, not BABIP fueled. The curveball (44.5% whiff) is the put away offering when he needs it. Lock Jacob Misiorowski for the strikeout over.
Dig deeper into pitcher arsenals on the Pitching Stats dashboard: see pitch mix, whiff rates, and velocity for every starter.
Pick 2: Zack Wheeler, PHI vs TB
RHP | 188 K on season | Citizens Bank Park
188 K · 10.85 K/9 · 31.4% whiff · 3.06 ERA · 1.06 WHIP · 22.0% opp K rate
A 31.4% whiff rate is in territory only a handful of starters in the league reach. Zack Wheeler brings that to the mound against TB tonight.
The split-finger (46.9% whiff) is the put away offering when he needs it. The 10.85 K/9 is the season long anchor. Zack Wheeler is the K play I trust most in this spot.
Pick 3: Jared Jones, PIT vs DET
RHP | 118 K on season | Comerica Park
118 K · 10.93 K/9 · 32.6% whiff · 3.87 ERA · 1.12 WHIP · 22.0% opp K rate
Jared Jones runs a elite 32.6% whiff rate (90th+ percentile). Swing and miss stuff is the foundation of strikeout production, and his is the foundation of tonight's lean.
The slider (41.3% whiff) is the put away offering when he needs it. The 10.93 K/9 is the season long anchor. Jared Jones is the K play I trust most in this spot.
Honorable Mentions
- Logan Gilbert (SEA) vs LAA: 9.74 K/9, 30.4% whiff, 3.81 ERA, 197 K
- Parker Messick (CLE) vs KC: 9.39 K/9, 25.7% whiff, 2.55 ERA, 191 K
- Shota Imanaga (CHC) vs BOS: 8.89 K/9, 29.6% whiff, 3.74 ERA, 171 K
Related Guides
Before You Lock
Check the Pitching Stats dashboard for full arsenal breakdowns and the Hitting Stats page for pitch mix analysis showing which lineups are most vulnerable to certain pitch types. Confirm lineups and starting pitchers before betting, because a bullpen game changes everything. K/9 and whiff rate together are the strongest predictors of strikeout volume.
Our strikeout model scores probable starters across 6 factors: K/9, whiff rate, opposing team K tendency, pitcher quality, workload pace, and venue. Full pitcher profiles on the Pitching Stats dashboard.
More from HeatCheck HQ:
- Pitching Stats Dashboard: pitcher arsenals, K rates, and advanced metrics
- Hitting Stats Dashboard: batter K vulnerability and pitch mix analysis
- Dinger Picks Today: Statcast driven home run picks
- NRFI Picks Today: no run first inning best bets
Updated as lineups confirm. Full slate at heatcheckhq.io.
Related Resources
- Parent hub: MLB Props Hub
- Daily stream: MLB Strikeout Picks
- Author: HeatCheck HQ
- Browse all posts: Sports Betting Insights & Guides