Today's best MLB strikeout prop picks for Sunday, September 13, 2026 are Dylan Cease (Score: 84, 12.68 K/9, 33.6% whiff rate), Cam Schlittler (Score: 78, 11.11 K/9, 28.9% whiff rate), Chase Burns (Score: 73, 10.70 K/9, 31.6% whiff rate). Rankings are generated by HeatCheck HQ's six factor pitcher K scoring model, updated daily.
MLB Strikeout Props Today: September 13, 2026
30 probable starters scored across 15 games. These are today's top strikeout prop targets.
Pitching Stats Dashboard: full pitcher arsenals and K metrics for every starter.
Yesterday's K picks: MLB Strikeout Picks: September 12
Today's Slate
- COL at DET (Gabriel Hughes vs Jackson Jobe), 12:10 PM ET
- LAA at WSH (Grayson Rodriguez vs Riley Cornelio), 1:35 PM ET
- PHI at ATL (Andrew Painter vs Grant Holmes), 1:35 PM ET
- NYM at NYY (Christian Scott vs Cam Schlittler), 1:35 PM ET
- BAL at TOR (Trevor Rogers vs Dylan Cease), 1:37 PM ET
- HOU at TB (Hayden Wesneski vs Freddy Peralta), 1:40 PM ET
- LAD at MIA (Emmet Sheehan vs Eury Pérez), 1:40 PM ET
- CLE at MIN (Tanner Bibee vs Joe Ryan), 2:10 PM ET
- CIN at MIL (Chase Burns vs Robert Gasser), 2:10 PM ET
- CWS at STL (David Sandlin vs Michael McGreevy), 2:15 PM ET
- PIT at CHC (Bubba Chandler vs Matthew Boyd), 2:20 PM ET
- KC at BOS (Noah Cameron vs Payton Tolle), 3:05 PM ET
- SEA at ATH (Bryce Miller vs Jacob Lopez), 4:05 PM ET
- TEX at AZ (Cal Quantrill vs Eduardo Rodriguez), 4:10 PM ET
- SD at SF (Nick Pivetta vs Logan Webb), 7:20 PM ET
Pick 1: Dylan Cease, TOR vs BAL
RHP | 227 K on season | Rogers Centre
227 K · 12.68 K/9 · 33.6% whiff · 2.40 ERA · 1.04 WHIP · 22.0% opp K rate
Top K play tonight. Dylan Cease's 12.68 K/9 puts him in elite strikeout territory, the kind of arm that punches out a batter every nine pitches he's in the game. Tonight against BAL he keeps adding to the season total.
The 33.6% whiff rate underneath confirms the stuff is real, not BABIP fueled. The changeup (50.0% whiff) is the put away offering when he needs it. Ride Dylan Cease to clear his K number.
Dig deeper into pitcher arsenals on the Pitching Stats dashboard: see pitch mix, whiff rates, and velocity for every starter.
Pick 2: Cam Schlittler, NYY vs NYM
RHP | 220 K on season | Yankee Stadium
220 K · 11.11 K/9 · 28.9% whiff · 2.01 ERA · 0.92 WHIP · 22.0% opp K rate
11.11 K/9 is among the best in the game. Cam Schlittler faces NYM tonight, and if the strike zone cooperates, the K total piles up fast.
The 28.9% whiff rate underneath confirms the stuff is real, not BABIP fueled. The 4-seam fastball (34.5% whiff) is the put away offering when he needs it. Lock Cam Schlittler for the strikeout over.
Pick 3: Chase Burns, CIN vs MIL
RHP | 176 K on season | American Family Field
176 K · 10.70 K/9 · 31.6% whiff · 2.73 ERA · 1.14 WHIP · 22.0% opp K rate
When swings result in whiffs at this rate (31.6%), Ks follow. Chase Burns brings exactly that profile against MIL.
The slider (51.6% whiff) is the put away offering when he needs it. The 10.70 K/9 is the season long anchor. Take Chase Burns over his K prop.
Honorable Mentions
- Payton Tolle (BOS) vs KC: 10.45 K/9, 27.6% whiff, 3.15 ERA, 159 K
- Emmet Sheehan (LAD) vs MIA: 10.51 K/9, 31.4% whiff, 5.08 ERA, 118 K
- Joe Ryan (MIN) vs CLE: 10.10 K/9, 25.8% whiff, 3.68 ERA, 145 K
Related Guides
Before You Lock
Check the Pitching Stats dashboard for full arsenal breakdowns and the Hitting Stats page for pitch mix analysis showing which lineups are most vulnerable to certain pitch types. Confirm lineups and starting pitchers before betting, because a bullpen game changes everything. K/9 and whiff rate together are the strongest predictors of strikeout volume.
Our strikeout model scores probable starters across 6 factors: K/9, whiff rate, opposing team K tendency, pitcher quality, workload pace, and venue. Full pitcher profiles on the Pitching Stats dashboard.
More from HeatCheck HQ:
- Pitching Stats Dashboard: pitcher arsenals, K rates, and advanced metrics
- Hitting Stats Dashboard: batter K vulnerability and pitch mix analysis
- Dinger Picks Today: Statcast driven home run picks
- NRFI Picks Today: no run first inning best bets
Updated as lineups confirm. Full slate at heatcheckhq.io.
Related Resources
- Parent hub: MLB Props Hub
- Daily stream: MLB Strikeout Picks
- Author: HeatCheck HQ
- Browse all posts: Sports Betting Insights & Guides