# MLB Strikeout Props Today (May 11, 2026) — Best Pitcher K Picks > Best MLB K props today: Ryan Weathers tops our 6-factor model across 6 games. Whiff rates, K/9, and opposing team K tendency scored. Updated daily. **Date:** 2026-05-11 **Author:** HeatCheck HQ **Tags:** MLB, Strikeouts, Pitcher Props, K Props, Daily Picks, Player Props **Full article:** https://heatcheckhq.io/blog/mlb-strikeout-picks-may-11-2026 **Live picks & dashboards:** https://heatcheckhq.io --- **Today's best MLB strikeout prop picks for Monday, May 11, 2026** are Ryan Weathers (Score: 75 — 10.60 K/9, 28.1% whiff rate), Nathan Eovaldi (Score: 68 — 8.96 K/9, 30.7% whiff rate), Michael Soroka (Score: 66 — 10.22 K/9, 23.6% whiff rate). Rankings are generated by HeatCheck HQ's 6-factor pitcher K scoring model, updated daily. # MLB Strikeout Props Today — May 11, 2026 6 games on the board. These arms have the swing-and-miss stuff to cash K props. > [Pitching Stats Dashboard](/mlb/pitching-stats) — full pitcher arsenals and K metrics for every starter. > **Yesterday's K picks:** [MLB Strikeout Picks - May 10](/blog/mlb-strikeout-picks-may-10-2026) ## Today's Slate - LAA @ CLE (TBD vs Joey Cantillo) - 6:10 PM ET - NYY @ BAL (Ryan Weathers vs Brandon Young) - 6:35 PM ET - TB @ TOR (Drew Rasmussen vs Kevin Gausman) - 7:07 PM ET - AZ @ TEX (Michael Soroka vs Nathan Eovaldi) - 8:05 PM ET - SEA @ HOU (George Kirby vs Peter Lambert) - 8:10 PM ET - SF @ LAD (Trevor McDonald vs Roki Sasaki) - 10:10 PM ET ## Pick 1: Ryan Weathers — NYY vs BAL LHP | 45 K on season | Oriole Park at Camden Yards *45 K · 10.60 K/9 · 28.1% whiff · 3.03 ERA · 1.19 WHIP · 22.0% opp K rate* **Top K play tonight.** Ryan Weathers's sweeper is a put-away pitch — a 48.7% whiff rate on the season. He throws it 20% of the time, which means BAL's hitters see it constantly. The 28.1% whiff rate underneath confirms the stuff is real, not BABIP-fueled. The 10.60 K/9 is the season-long anchor. > **Dig deeper into pitcher arsenals** on the [Pitching Stats dashboard](/mlb/pitching-stats) — see pitch mix, whiff rates, and velocity for every starter. ## Pick 2: Nathan Eovaldi — TEX vs AZ RHP | 47 K on season | Globe Life Field *47 K · 8.96 K/9 · 30.7% whiff · 4.15 ERA · 1.17 WHIP · 22.0% opp K rate* A 30.7% whiff rate is in territory only a handful of starters in the league reach. Nathan Eovaldi brings that to the mound against AZ tonight. The curveball (37.5% whiff) is the put-away offering when he needs it. The 8.96 K/9 is the season-long anchor. ## Pick 3: Michael Soroka — AZ vs TEX RHP | 42 K on season | Globe Life Field *42 K · 10.22 K/9 · 23.6% whiff · 4.14 ERA · 1.43 WHIP · 22.0% opp K rate* Michael Soroka has a strikeout pitch in his slurve (33.3% whiff rate, 32% usage). TEX is going to see it every other at-bat. The 10.22 K/9 is the season-long anchor. Caveat: a 1.43 WHIP means baserunners pile up early — that can shorten the outing before he gets to his K ceiling. ## Honorable Mentions - **Kevin Gausman** (TOR) vs TB — 8.38 K/9, 27.5% whiff, 3.09 ERA, 43 K - **Drew Rasmussen** (TB) vs TOR — 9.20 K/9, 23.1% whiff, 2.95 ERA, 37 K - **Joey Cantillo** (CLE) vs LAA — 8.52 K/9, 26.9% whiff, 3.43 ERA, 37 K ## Related Guides - [MLB Stats Explained](/blog/mlb-stats-explained) - [Hitter vs Pitcher Matchup Guide](/blog/hitter-vs-pitcher-matchup-guide) - [MLB Weather Betting Guide](/blog/mlb-weather-betting-guide) ## Before You Lock Check the [Pitching Stats dashboard](/mlb/pitching-stats) for full arsenal breakdowns and the [Hitting Stats page](/mlb/hitting-stats) for pitch mix analysis showing which lineups are most vulnerable to certain pitch types. Confirm lineups and starting pitchers before betting — a bullpen game changes everything. K/9 and whiff rate together are the strongest predictors of strikeout volume. Our strikeout model scores probable starters across 6 factors — K/9, whiff rate, opposing team K tendency, pitcher quality, workload pace, and venue. Full pitcher profiles on the [Pitching Stats dashboard](/mlb/pitching-stats). **More from HeatCheck HQ:** - [Pitching Stats Dashboard](/mlb/pitching-stats) — pitcher arsenals, K rates, and advanced metrics - [Hitting Stats Dashboard](/mlb/hitting-stats) — batter K vulnerability and pitch mix analysis - [Dinger Picks Today](/blog/mlb-dinger-of-the-day-may-11-2026) — Statcast-driven home run picks - [NRFI Picks Today](/blog/mlb-nrfi-picks-may-11-2026) — no run first inning best bets *Updated as lineups confirm. Full slate at [heatcheckhq.io](https://heatcheckhq.io).* ## Related Resources - Parent hub: [MLB Props Hub](/blog/topic/mlb-props) - Daily stream: [MLB Strikeout Picks](/blog/stream/mlb-strikeout-picks) - Author: [HeatCheck HQ](/blog/author/heatcheck-hq) - Browse all posts: [Sports Betting Insights & Guides](/blog) --- *Data powered by HeatCheck HQ — sports analytics platform. Free tools at https://heatcheckhq.io*