# MLB Strikeout Props: August 31, 2026 (Pitcher K Picks) > MLB strikeout prop picks for August 31, 2026: Jacob deGrom leads the board across 12 games. Six factor scoring model ranks pitchers by K likelihood. **Date:** 2026-08-31 **Author:** HeatCheck HQ **Tags:** MLB, Strikeouts, Pitcher Props, K Props, Daily Picks, Player Props **Full article:** https://heatcheckhq.io/blog/mlb-strikeout-picks-aug-31-2026 **Live picks & dashboards:** https://heatcheckhq.io --- **Today's best MLB strikeout prop picks for Monday, August 31, 2026** are Jacob deGrom (Score: 81, 11.00 K/9, 33.4% whiff rate), Kyle Harrison (Score: 80, 11.09 K/9, 29.1% whiff rate), Ian Seymour (Score: 75, 10.77 K/9, 29.0% whiff rate). Rankings are generated by HeatCheck HQ's six factor pitcher K scoring model, updated daily. # MLB Strikeout Props Today: August 31, 2026 18 pitchers, 12 games. Here's where the strikeout stuff and matchup align. > [Pitching Stats Dashboard](/mlb/pitching-stats): full pitcher arsenals and K metrics for every starter. > **Yesterday's K picks:** [MLB Strikeout Picks: August 30](/blog/mlb-strikeout-picks-aug-30-2026) ## Today's Slate - SF at ATL (TBD vs Bryce Elder), 6:05 PM ET - SD at CIN (Michael King vs Brady Singer), 6:40 PM ET - NYM at TB (Robert Stock vs Ian Seymour), 6:40 PM ET - SEA at BOS (George Kirby vs Payton Tolle), 6:45 PM ET - MIA at WSH (Ryan Gusto vs TBD), 6:45 PM ET - DET at MIN (Jackson Jobe vs Taj Bradley), 7:40 PM ET - MIL at CHC (Kyle Harrison vs Clay Holmes), 7:40 PM ET - ATH at TEX (Gage Jump vs Jacob deGrom), 8:05 PM ET - CWS at HOU (TBD vs TBD), 8:10 PM ET - BAL at COL (Kyle Bradish vs Tanner Gordon), 8:40 PM ET - NYY at LAA (Elmer Rodríguez vs George Klassen), 9:38 PM ET - PHI at AZ (TBD vs TBD), 9:40 PM ET ## Pick 1: Jacob deGrom, TEX vs ATH RHP | 159 K on season | Globe Life Field *159 K · 11.00 K/9 · 33.4% whiff · 4.21 ERA · 1.18 WHIP · 22.0% opp K rate* **Top K play tonight.** 11.00 K/9 is among the best in the game. Jacob deGrom faces ATH tonight, and if the strike zone cooperates, the K total piles up fast. The 33.4% whiff rate underneath confirms the stuff is real, not BABIP fueled. The changeup (46.1% whiff) is the put away offering when he needs it. Ride Jacob deGrom to clear his K number. > **Dig deeper into pitcher arsenals** on the [Pitching Stats dashboard](/mlb/pitching-stats): see pitch mix, whiff rates, and velocity for every starter. ## Pick 2: Kyle Harrison, MIL vs CHC LHP | 127 K on season | Wrigley Field *127 K · 11.09 K/9 · 29.1% whiff · 2.79 ERA · 1.12 WHIP · 22.0% opp K rate* When the K/9 is 11.09, the projection writes itself. Kyle Harrison is a strikeout artist by trade, and CHC's lineup is the next set of victims. The 29.1% whiff rate underneath confirms the stuff is real, not BABIP fueled. The 4-seam fastball (30.1% whiff) is the put away offering when he needs it. Ride Kyle Harrison to clear his K number. ## Pick 3: Ian Seymour, TB vs NYM LHP | 128 K on season | Tropicana Field *128 K · 10.77 K/9 · 29.0% whiff · 4.21 ERA · 1.15 WHIP · 22.0% opp K rate* Ian Seymour has a strikeout pitch in his changeup (39.3% whiff rate, 30% usage). NYM is going to see it every other at bat. The 29.0% whiff rate underneath confirms the stuff is real, not BABIP fueled. The 10.77 K/9 is the season long anchor. Ride Ian Seymour to clear his K number. ## Honorable Mentions - **Payton Tolle** (BOS) vs SEA: 10.14 K/9, 27.4% whiff, 3.09 ERA, 141 K - **Taj Bradley** (MIN) vs DET: 10.34 K/9, 26.6% whiff, 3.97 ERA, 169 K - **Gage Jump** (ATH) vs TEX: 9.91 K/9, 24.9% whiff, 4.69 ERA, 97 K ## Related Guides - [MLB Stats Explained](/blog/mlb-stats-explained) - [Hitter vs Pitcher Matchup Guide](/blog/hitter-vs-pitcher-matchup-guide) - [MLB Weather Betting Guide](/blog/mlb-weather-betting-guide) ## Before You Lock Check the [Pitching Stats dashboard](/mlb/pitching-stats) for full arsenal breakdowns and the [Hitting Stats page](/mlb/hitting-stats) for pitch mix analysis showing which lineups are most vulnerable to certain pitch types. Confirm lineups and starting pitchers before betting, because a bullpen game changes everything. K/9 and whiff rate together are the strongest predictors of strikeout volume. Our strikeout model scores probable starters across 6 factors: K/9, whiff rate, opposing team K tendency, pitcher quality, workload pace, and venue. Full pitcher profiles on the [Pitching Stats dashboard](/mlb/pitching-stats). **More from HeatCheck HQ:** - [Pitching Stats Dashboard](/mlb/pitching-stats): pitcher arsenals, K rates, and advanced metrics - [Hitting Stats Dashboard](/mlb/hitting-stats): batter K vulnerability and pitch mix analysis - [Dinger Picks Today](/blog/mlb-dinger-of-the-day-aug-31-2026): Statcast driven home run picks - [NRFI Picks Today](/blog/mlb-nrfi-picks-aug-31-2026): no run first inning best bets *Updated as lineups confirm. Full slate at [heatcheckhq.io](https://heatcheckhq.io).* ## Related Resources - Parent hub: [MLB Props Hub](/blog/topic/mlb-props) - Daily stream: [MLB Strikeout Picks](/blog/stream/mlb-strikeout-picks) - Author: [HeatCheck HQ](/blog/author/heatcheck-hq) - Browse all posts: [Sports Betting Insights & Guides](/blog) --- *Data powered by HeatCheck HQ — sports analytics platform. Free tools at https://heatcheckhq.io*