# MLB Strikeout Props: August 13, 2026 (Pitcher K Picks)

> MLB strikeout prop picks for August 13, 2026: Jacob deGrom leads the board across 9 games. Six factor scoring model ranks pitchers by K likelihood.

**Date:** 2026-08-13  
**Author:** HeatCheck HQ  
**Tags:** MLB, Strikeouts, Pitcher Props, K Props, Daily Picks, Player Props  
**Full article:** https://heatcheckhq.io/blog/mlb-strikeout-picks-aug-13-2026  
**Live picks & dashboards:** https://heatcheckhq.io

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**Today's best MLB strikeout prop picks for Thursday, August 13, 2026** are Jacob deGrom (Score: 82, 10.96 K/9, 33.3% whiff rate), Logan Gilbert (Score: 72, 9.38 K/9, 29.9% whiff rate), Payton Tolle (Score: 71, 10.43 K/9, 28.2% whiff rate). Rankings are generated by HeatCheck HQ's six factor pitcher K scoring model, updated daily.

# MLB Strikeout Props Today: August 13, 2026

Every probable starter scored across 6 K factors. 18 candidates, 9 games. Here are the plays.

> [Pitching Stats Dashboard](/mlb/pitching-stats): full pitcher arsenals and K metrics for every starter.

> **Yesterday's K picks:** [MLB Strikeout Picks: August 12](/blog/mlb-strikeout-picks-aug-12-2026)

## Today's Slate

- CLE at DET (Parker Messick vs Keider Montero), 1:10 PM ET
- PIT at MIA (Braxton Ashcraft vs Tyler Phillips), 1:10 PM ET
- SEA at NYY (Logan Gilbert vs Max Fried), 1:35 PM ET
- CIN at CWS (Andrew Abbott vs Davis Martin), 2:10 PM ET
- BOS at TOR (Payton Tolle vs Max Scherzer), 3:07 PM ET
- CHC at WSH (Kevin Gausman vs Cade Cavalli), 4:05 PM ET
- PHI at MIN (Aaron Nola vs Taj Bradley), 7:30 PM ET
- TEX at LAA (Jacob deGrom vs Walbert Ureña), 10:07 PM ET
- MIL at LAD (Shane Drohan vs Roki Sasaki), 10:10 PM ET

## Pick 1: Jacob deGrom, TEX vs LAA

RHP | 144 K on season | Angel Stadium

*144 K · 10.96 K/9 · 33.3% whiff · 3.87 ERA · 1.13 WHIP · 22.0% opp K rate*

**Top K play tonight.** A 33.3% whiff rate is in territory only a handful of starters in the league reach. Jacob deGrom brings that to the mound against LAA tonight.

The changeup (43.2% whiff) is the put away offering when he needs it. The 10.96 K/9 is the season long anchor. Ride Jacob deGrom to clear his K number.

> **Dig deeper into pitcher arsenals** on the [Pitching Stats dashboard](/mlb/pitching-stats): see pitch mix, whiff rates, and velocity for every starter.

## Pick 2: Logan Gilbert, SEA vs NYY

RHP | 145 K on season | Yankee Stadium

*145 K · 9.38 K/9 · 29.9% whiff · 3.42 ERA · 1.00 WHIP · 22.0% opp K rate*

Logan Gilbert's slider is a put away pitch, a 36.0% whiff rate on the season. He throws it 25% of the time, which means NYY's hitters see it constantly.

The 29.9% whiff rate underneath confirms the stuff is real, not BABIP fueled. The 9.38 K/9 is the season long anchor. Ride Logan Gilbert to clear his K number.

## Pick 3: Payton Tolle, BOS vs TOR

LHP | 124 K on season | Rogers Centre

*124 K · 10.43 K/9 · 28.2% whiff · 3.20 ERA · 1.10 WHIP · 22.0% opp K rate*

When the K/9 is 10.43, the projection writes itself. Payton Tolle is a strikeout artist by trade, and TOR's lineup is the next set of victims.

The 28.2% whiff rate underneath confirms the stuff is real, not BABIP fueled. The cutter (31.8% whiff) is the put away offering when he needs it. Ride Payton Tolle to clear his K number.

## Honorable Mentions

- **Taj Bradley** (MIN) vs PHI: 10.15 K/9, 26.3% whiff, 3.76 ERA, 148 K
- **Braxton Ashcraft** (PIT) vs MIA: 9.88 K/9, 26.2% whiff, 4.08 ERA, 145 K
- **Parker Messick** (CLE) vs DET: 8.99 K/9, 25.6% whiff, 2.57 ERA, 136 K

## Related Guides

- [MLB Stats Explained](/blog/mlb-stats-explained)
- [Hitter vs Pitcher Matchup Guide](/blog/hitter-vs-pitcher-matchup-guide)
- [MLB Weather Betting Guide](/blog/mlb-weather-betting-guide)

## Before You Lock

Check the [Pitching Stats dashboard](/mlb/pitching-stats) for full arsenal breakdowns and the [Hitting Stats page](/mlb/hitting-stats) for pitch mix analysis showing which lineups are most vulnerable to certain pitch types. Confirm lineups and starting pitchers before betting, because a bullpen game changes everything. K/9 and whiff rate together are the strongest predictors of strikeout volume.

Our strikeout model scores probable starters across 6 factors: K/9, whiff rate, opposing team K tendency, pitcher quality, workload pace, and venue. Full pitcher profiles on the [Pitching Stats dashboard](/mlb/pitching-stats).

**More from HeatCheck HQ:**
- [Pitching Stats Dashboard](/mlb/pitching-stats): pitcher arsenals, K rates, and advanced metrics
- [Hitting Stats Dashboard](/mlb/hitting-stats): batter K vulnerability and pitch mix analysis
- [Dinger Picks Today](/blog/mlb-dinger-of-the-day-aug-13-2026): Statcast driven home run picks
- [NRFI Picks Today](/blog/mlb-nrfi-picks-aug-13-2026): no run first inning best bets

*Updated as lineups confirm. Full slate at [heatcheckhq.io](https://heatcheckhq.io).*

## Related Resources

- Parent hub: [MLB Props Hub](/blog/topic/mlb-props)
- Daily stream: [MLB Strikeout Picks](/blog/stream/mlb-strikeout-picks)
- Author: [HeatCheck HQ](/blog/author/heatcheck-hq)
- Browse all posts: [Sports Betting Insights & Guides](/blog)


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*Data powered by HeatCheck HQ — sports analytics platform. Free tools at https://heatcheckhq.io*