# MLB NRFI Picks: September 24, 2026 (No Run First Inning) > No Run First Inning picks for September 24, 2026. 12 games scored for joint first-inning scoreless probability to find tonight's best NRFI spots. **Date:** 2026-09-24 **Author:** HeatCheck HQ **Tags:** NRFI, MLB, First Inning, Daily Picks, Betting Strategy, No Run First Inning **Full article:** https://heatcheckhq.io/blog/mlb-nrfi-picks-sep-24-2026 **Live picks & dashboards:** https://heatcheckhq.io --- **Today's best MLB NRFI (No Run First Inning) picks for Thursday, September 24, 2026** are SD @ LAD (Score: 63, 63% NRFI probability, Nick Pivetta vs Tyler Glasnow), CLE @ BOS (Score: 58, 58% NRFI probability, Joey Cantillo vs Ranger Suarez), TB @ NYY (Score: 57, 56% NRFI probability, Freddy Peralta vs Cam Schlittler). Rankings are generated by HeatCheck HQ's joint-probability NRFI scoring model, updated daily. # MLB NRFI Picks Today: September 24, 2026 12 games, every starter evaluated. These are tonight's best NRFI plays. > [NRFI Dashboard](/mlb/nrfi): live pitcher data, updated as starters confirm. > **Yesterday's NRFI picks:** [MLB NRFI Bets for September 23](/blog/mlb-nrfi-picks-sep-23-2026) ## Tonight's Slate - SD at LAD (Nick Pivetta vs Tyler Glasnow), 10:10 PM - CLE at BOS (Joey Cantillo vs Ranger Suarez), 6:45 PM - TB at NYY (Freddy Peralta vs Cam Schlittler), 7:05 PM - STL at PIT (Kyle Leahy vs Paul Skenes), 12:35 PM - LAA at SEA (Grayson Rodriguez vs Bryan Woo), 9:40 PM - CIN at ATL (Brady Singer vs Tyler Mahle), 7:15 PM ## San Diego Padres at Los Angeles Dodgers *Nick Pivetta (RHP): 86% NRFI, 3.30 ERA, 1.00 WHIP, 10.5 K/9, 2.1 BB/9, NRFI streak of 6. Tyler Glasnow (RHP): 75% NRFI, 3.46 ERA, 0.96 WHIP, 11.7 K/9, 3.1 BB/9, NRFI streak of 4. First pitch 10:10 PM ET at UNIQLO Field at Dodger Stadium (515 ft).* Nick Pivetta can end the first inning without the ball ever leaving the infield, missing bats at a 10.5 K/9 clip, and swing and miss is the cleanest path to a scoreless opening frame. Tyler Glasnow holds up his end too, a 75% scoreless rate that only needs to match the moment. Nick Pivetta is trending up as well, a 2.05 ERA across his last five starts against a 3.30 season mark. The pressure point is the Los Angeles Dodgers lineup, which has handled RHP well this year at a .752 OPS in that split, so Nick Pivetta cannot afford a sloppy first. The lean is NRFI, carried by the stronger arm. ## Cleveland Guardians at Boston Red Sox *Joey Cantillo (LHP): 70% NRFI, 3.74 ERA, 1.44 WHIP, 9.8 K/9, 4.6 BB/9, NRFI streak of 1. Ranger Suarez (LHP): 78% NRFI, 3.27 ERA, 1.20 WHIP, 8.5 K/9, 2.8 BB/9. First pitch 6:45 PM ET at Fenway Park (20 ft).* Ranger Suarez anchors this one at 78% NRFI, and the combined 58% rate keeps the game in play as a lean. Joey Cantillo is the softer side at 70% NRFI, but he only has to be ordinary in the first for this to cash. Ranger Suarez is trending up as well, a 2.76 ERA across his last five starts against a 3.27 season mark. The pressure point is the Boston Red Sox lineup, which has handled LHP well this year at a .745 OPS in that split, so Joey Cantillo cannot afford a sloppy first. The loose thread is Joey Cantillo's 4.6 BB/9; an early walk is how this inning gets away. We will take NRFI here, a lean rather than a lock. > **Want the full board?** See all of today's plays on [Top Plays](/top-plays), or go deeper on the [NRFI dashboard](/mlb/nrfi). ## Tampa Bay Rays at New York Yankees *Freddy Peralta (RHP): 65% NRFI, 4.56 ERA, 1.33 WHIP, 8.4 K/9, 3.3 BB/9, NRFI streak of 2. Cam Schlittler (RHP): 88% NRFI, 1.94 ERA, 0.91 WHIP, 11.1 K/9, 2.2 BB/9, NRFI streak of 8. First pitch 7:05 PM ET at Yankee Stadium (55 ft).* Cam Schlittler can end the first inning without the ball ever leaving the infield, missing bats at a 11.1 K/9 clip, and swing and miss is the cleanest path to a scoreless opening frame. Freddy Peralta is the softer side at 65% NRFI, but he only has to be ordinary in the first for this to cash. Cam Schlittler is trending up as well, a 0.84 ERA across his last five starts against a 1.94 season mark. The pressure point is the Tampa Bay Rays lineup, which has handled RHP well this year at a .764 OPS in that split, so Cam Schlittler cannot afford a sloppy first. A thin NRFI lean at best. ## Honorable Mentions - **St. Louis Cardinals at Pittsburgh Pirates:** a combined 55% NRFI rate. - **Los Angeles Angels at Seattle Mariners:** a combined 46% NRFI rate. - **Cincinnati Reds at Atlanta Braves:** a combined 36% NRFI rate. ## Related Guides - [How to Use the NRFI Dashboard](/blog/how-to-use-nrfi-dashboard) - [MLB Weather Betting Guide](/blog/mlb-weather-betting-guide) - [MLB Stats Explained](/blog/mlb-stats-explained) ## Before You Lock Confirm the starting pitchers on the [NRFI dashboard](/mlb/nrfi). A bullpen game kills NRFI value immediately. Check the weather at first pitch and be careful at altitude, Coors in particular. NRFI bets land 55% to 65% of the time historically, and you need roughly 52.4% to break even at minus 110 odds. For the complete NRFI methodology, including pitcher evaluation, venue factors, and bankroll sizing, see the [NRFI Strategy Guide](/blog/nrfi-betting-strategy-guide). **More from HeatCheck HQ:** - [Live NRFI Dashboard](/mlb/nrfi): real time pitcher data and matchup grades - [Dinger of the Day](/blog/mlb-dinger-of-the-day-sep-24-2026): today's best HR picks - [MLB Streaks](/mlb/streaks): pitchers and hitters on hot streaks - [NRFI Strategy Guide](/blog/nrfi-betting-strategy-guide): full methodology breakdown *Picks update as starters confirm. Full slate at [heatcheckhq.io](https://heatcheckhq.io).* ## Related Resources - Parent hub: [MLB Props Hub](/blog/topic/mlb-props) - Daily stream: [MLB NRFI Picks](/blog/stream/mlb-nrfi-picks) - Author: [HeatCheck HQ](/blog/author/heatcheck-hq) - Browse all posts: [Sports Betting Insights & Guides](/blog) --- *Data powered by HeatCheck HQ — sports analytics platform. Free tools at https://heatcheckhq.io*