# MLB NRFI Picks Today (May 29, 2026) - Best No Run First Inning Bets > Data-driven NRFI picks for tonight's 15-game MLB slate. Pitching matchups, venue conditions, and weather scored across 8 factors to find the best scoreless firs **Date:** 2026-05-29 **Author:** Jason Bowman **Tags:** NRFI, MLB, First Inning, Daily Picks, Betting Strategy, No Run First Inning **Full article:** https://heatcheckhq.io/blog/mlb-nrfi-picks-may-29-2026 **Live picks & dashboards:** https://heatcheckhq.io --- **Today's best MLB NRFI (No Run First Inning) picks for Friday, May 29, 2026** are LAA @ TB (Score: 83 — 70.5% combined NRFI rate, Walbert Ureña vs Nick Martinez), MIA @ NYM (Score: 73 — 59% combined NRFI rate, Max Meyer vs Freddy Peralta), CHC @ STL (Score: 66 — 56.5% combined NRFI rate, Shota Imanaga vs Andre Pallante). Rankings are generated by HeatCheck HQ's 8-factor NRFI scoring model, updated daily. # MLB NRFI Picks Today - May 29, 2026 Tonight's 15-game slate, ranked by first-inning scoreless probability. > [NRFI Dashboard](/mlb/nrfi) - live pitcher data, updated as starters confirm. > **Yesterday's NRFI picks:** [MLB NRFI Bets - May 28](/blog/mlb-nrfi-picks-may-28-2026) ## Tonight's Slate - LAA @ TB (Walbert Ureña vs Nick Martinez) - 7:10 PM - MIA @ NYM (Max Meyer vs Freddy Peralta) - 7:10 PM - CHC @ STL (Shota Imanaga vs Andre Pallante) - 7:15 PM - ATL @ CIN (Grant Holmes vs Chris Paddack) - 6:40 PM - PHI @ LAD (Zack Wheeler vs Justin Wrobleski) - 10:15 PM - NYY @ ATH (Carlos Rodón vs Luis Severino) - 9:40 PM - BOS @ CLE (Tyler Samaniego vs Slade Cecconi) - 7:10 PM - KC @ TEX (Stephen Kolek vs MacKenzie Gore) - 8:05 PM - SF @ COL (Logan Webb vs Michael Lorenzen) - 8:40 PM ## Pick 1: LAA @ TB — Tropicana Field (Indoor) *70.5% combined NRFI · 7:10 PM ET* - **Walbert Ureña** (RHP) — 71% NRFI, 2.58 ERA, 1.38 WHIP, streak -1 - **Nick Martinez** (RHP) — 70% NRFI, 1.51 ERA, 1.11 WHIP, streak +2 Both arms can pitch a clean first. Walbert Ureña is at 71% NRFI on the season, Nick Martinez at 70% — combined 70.5%, top-tier on the slate. Walbert Ureña's last-five ERA (1.67) is meaningfully better than his season 2.58 — the form is trending the right way. Nick Martinez's 1.11 WHIP keeps the bases empty early. ## Pick 2: MIA @ NYM — Citi Field (20ft) *59% combined NRFI · 7:10 PM ET* - **Max Meyer** (RHP) — 45% NRFI, 2.52 ERA, 1.05 WHIP, streak +2 - **Freddy Peralta** (RHP) — 73% NRFI, 3.52 ERA, 1.27 WHIP, streak +3 Freddy Peralta is the anchor here — a 73% NRFI rate that does most of the work for this play. Max Meyer on the other side is fine at 45%, but it's the elite arm carrying the lean. Max Meyer's last-five ERA (1.79) is meaningfully better than his season 2.52 — the form is trending the right way. Max Meyer's 1.05 WHIP means very few first-inning baserunners. > **Want the full board?** See all of today's plays on [Top Plays](/top-plays), or dive deeper on the [NRFI dashboard](/mlb/nrfi). ## Pick 3: CHC @ STL — Busch Stadium (455ft) *56.5% combined NRFI · 7:15 PM ET* - **Shota Imanaga** (LHP) — 73% NRFI, 4.04 ERA, 1.07 WHIP, streak +5 - **Andre Pallante** (RHP) — 40% NRFI, 3.76 ERA, 1.25 WHIP, streak +1 When one starter is this lockdown in the first, you ride them. Shota Imanaga sits at 73% NRFI; Andre Pallante (40%) just needs to be average for the bet to cash. Shota Imanaga brings a 5-game NRFI streak into tonight. Worth noting: Shota Imanaga's last-five ERA (5.38) is well above his season number (4.04). The trend has cooled. ## Honorable Mentions - **ATL @ CIN** — combined 61.5% rate. - **PHI @ LAD** — combined 37.5% rate. - **NYY @ ATH** — combined 39% rate. ## Games to Avoid These matchups have the highest first-inning scoring risk on tonight's slate: **BOS @ CLE** — Skip this one: 22.5% combined NRFI rate, with Tyler Samaniego the obvious weak link at 0%. **KC @ TEX** — Stephen Kolek has allowed a first-inning run in 4 straight starts. The trend matters more than the season 0% rate, and tonight is not the spot to fade it. **SF @ COL** — Coors at 5,200 feet does what Coors does — even the better arm here (Logan Webb at 63%) loses NRFI margin in this air. Pass. ## Related Guides - [How to Use the NRFI Dashboard](/blog/how-to-use-nrfi-dashboard) - [MLB Weather Betting Guide](/blog/mlb-weather-betting-guide) - [MLB Stats Explained](/blog/mlb-stats-explained) ## Before You Lock Confirm starting pitchers on the [NRFI dashboard](/mlb/nrfi) - a bullpen game kills NRFI value immediately. Check weather at first pitch and be careful at altitude (Coors in particular). NRFI bets land at 55-65% historically; you need ~52.4% to break even at -110. For the complete NRFI methodology - including pitcher evaluation, venue factors, and bankroll sizing - see the [NRFI Strategy Guide](/blog/nrfi-betting-strategy-guide). **More from HeatCheck HQ:** - [Live NRFI Dashboard](/mlb/nrfi) - real-time pitcher data and matchup grades - [Dinger of the Day](/blog/mlb-dinger-of-the-day-may-29-2026) - today's best HR picks - [MLB Streaks](/mlb/streaks) - pitchers and hitters on hot streaks - [NRFI Strategy Guide](/blog/nrfi-betting-strategy-guide) - full methodology breakdown *Picks update as starters confirm. Full slate at [heatcheckhq.io](https://heatcheckhq.io).* ## Related Resources - Parent hub: [MLB Props Hub](/blog/topic/mlb-props) - Daily stream: [MLB NRFI Picks](/blog/stream/mlb-nrfi-picks) - Author: [Jason Bowman](/blog/author/jason-bowman) - Browse all posts: [Sports Betting Insights & Guides](/blog) --- *Data powered by HeatCheck HQ — sports analytics platform. Free tools at https://heatcheckhq.io*