# MLB NRFI Picks Today (May 22, 2026) - Best No Run First Inning Bets > MLB NRFI picks for May 22, 2026 - 15 games scored for first-inning scoreless probability. Tobias Myers vs Eury Pérez leads the board. Updated daily. **Date:** 2026-05-22 **Author:** Jason Bowman **Tags:** NRFI, MLB, First Inning, Daily Picks, Betting Strategy, No Run First Inning **Full article:** https://heatcheckhq.io/blog/mlb-nrfi-picks-may-22-2026 **Live picks & dashboards:** https://heatcheckhq.io --- **Today's best MLB NRFI (No Run First Inning) picks for Friday, May 22, 2026** are NYM @ MIA (Score: 65 — 70% combined NRFI rate, Tobias Myers vs Eury Pérez), ATH @ SD (Score: 63 — 69% combined NRFI rate, Jeffrey Springs vs Walker Buehler), WSH @ ATL (Score: 61 — 71.5% combined NRFI rate, Miles Mikolas vs Bryce Elder). Rankings are generated by HeatCheck HQ's 8-factor NRFI scoring model, updated daily. # MLB NRFI Picks Today - May 22, 2026 15 games, every starter evaluated. These are tonight's best NRFI plays. > [NRFI Dashboard](/mlb/nrfi) - live pitcher data, updated as starters confirm. > **Yesterday's NRFI picks:** [MLB NRFI Bets - May 21](/blog/mlb-nrfi-picks-may-21-2026) ## Tonight's Slate - NYM @ MIA (Tobias Myers vs Eury Pérez) - 7:10 PM - ATH @ SD (Jeffrey Springs vs Walker Buehler) - 9:40 PM - WSH @ ATL (Miles Mikolas vs Bryce Elder) - 7:15 PM - LAD @ MIL (Justin Wrobleski vs Logan Henderson) - 7:40 PM - MIN @ BOS (Connor Prielipp vs Payton Tolle) - 7:10 PM - STL @ CIN (Kyle Leahy vs Chris Paddack) - 6:40 PM - COL @ AZ (Tomoyuki Sugano vs Michael Soroka) - 9:40 PM - SEA @ KC (Logan Gilbert vs Noah Cameron) - 7:40 PM - CWS @ SF (Davis Martin vs Trevor McDonald) - 10:15 PM ## Pick 1: NYM @ MIA — loanDepot park (Indoor) *70% combined NRFI · 7:10 PM ET* - **Tobias Myers** (RHP) — 100% NRFI, 3.41 ERA, 1.03 WHIP, streak +1 - **Eury Pérez** (RHP) — 40% NRFI, 5.33 ERA, 1.41 WHIP, streak -1 Tobias Myers is the anchor here — a 100% NRFI rate that does most of the work for this play. Eury Pérez on the other side is fine at 40%, but it's the elite arm carrying the lean. Tobias Myers's last-five ERA (0.00) is meaningfully better than his season 3.41 — the form is trending the right way. Tobias Myers's 1.03 WHIP means very few first-inning baserunners. ## Pick 2: ATH @ SD — Petco Park (15ft) *69% combined NRFI · 9:40 PM ET* - **Jeffrey Springs** (LHP) — 60% NRFI, 3.93 ERA, 1.20 WHIP, streak +1 - **Walker Buehler** (RHP) — 78% NRFI, 5.01 ERA, 1.35 WHIP, streak +2 Walker Buehler's 78% scoreless-first rate is what makes this game playable. The other half — Jeffrey Springs at 60% — is the mild risk to size against, but it's the kind of mild that wins more often than not. Calm conditions (1 mph wind) keep balls from carrying. > **Want the full board?** See all of today's plays on [Top Plays](/top-plays), or dive deeper on the [NRFI dashboard](/mlb/nrfi). ## Pick 3: WSH @ ATL — Truist Park (1,050ft) *71.5% combined NRFI · 7:15 PM ET* - **Miles Mikolas** (RHP) — 83% NRFI, 6.91 ERA, 1.49 WHIP, streak +4 - **Bryce Elder** (RHP) — 60% NRFI, 2.01 ERA, 0.99 WHIP, streak -1 When one starter is this lockdown in the first, you ride them. Miles Mikolas sits at 83% NRFI; Bryce Elder (60%) just needs to be average for the bet to cash. Miles Mikolas brings a 4-game NRFI streak into tonight. Worth noting: Miles Mikolas's last-five ERA (8.86) is well above his season number (6.91). The trend has cooled. ## Honorable Mentions - **LAD @ MIL** — Logan Henderson sitting at 75% NRFI. - **MIN @ BOS** — combined 50% rate. - **STL @ CIN** — combined 62% rate. ## Games to Avoid These matchups have the highest first-inning scoring risk on tonight's slate: **COL @ AZ** — Michael Soroka's 33% NRFI rate is the weak link here. Combined with Tomoyuki Sugano on the other side, this game has too many ways to score in the first. **SEA @ KC** — Skip this one: 47.5% combined NRFI rate, with Logan Gilbert the obvious weak link at 20%. **CWS @ SF** — Trevor McDonald's 33% NRFI rate is the weak link here. Combined with Davis Martin on the other side, this game has too many ways to score in the first. ## Related Guides - [How to Use the NRFI Dashboard](/blog/how-to-use-nrfi-dashboard) - [MLB Weather Betting Guide](/blog/mlb-weather-betting-guide) - [MLB Stats Explained](/blog/mlb-stats-explained) ## Before You Lock Confirm starting pitchers on the [NRFI dashboard](/mlb/nrfi) - a bullpen game kills NRFI value immediately. Check weather at first pitch and be careful at altitude (Coors in particular). NRFI bets land at 55-65% historically; you need ~52.4% to break even at -110. For the complete NRFI methodology - including pitcher evaluation, venue factors, and bankroll sizing - see the [NRFI Strategy Guide](/blog/nrfi-betting-strategy-guide). **More from HeatCheck HQ:** - [Live NRFI Dashboard](/mlb/nrfi) - real-time pitcher data and matchup grades - [Dinger of the Day](/blog/mlb-dinger-of-the-day-may-22-2026) - today's best HR picks - [MLB Streaks](/mlb/streaks) - pitchers and hitters on hot streaks - [NRFI Strategy Guide](/blog/nrfi-betting-strategy-guide) - full methodology breakdown *Picks update as starters confirm. Full slate at [heatcheckhq.io](https://heatcheckhq.io).* ## Related Resources - Parent hub: [MLB Props Hub](/blog/topic/mlb-props) - Daily stream: [MLB NRFI Picks](/blog/stream/mlb-nrfi-picks) - Author: [Jason Bowman](/blog/author/jason-bowman) - Browse all posts: [Sports Betting Insights & Guides](/blog) --- *Data powered by HeatCheck HQ — sports analytics platform. Free tools at https://heatcheckhq.io*