# MLB NRFI Picks Today (May 13, 2026) - Best No Run First Inning Bets > No Run First Inning picks for May 13, 2026: 15 games analyzed through 8 pitching and venue factors - here are tonight's best NRFI spots. Updated daily. **Date:** 2026-05-13 **Author:** Jason Bowman **Tags:** NRFI, MLB, First Inning, Daily Picks, Betting Strategy, No Run First Inning **Full article:** https://heatcheckhq.io/blog/mlb-nrfi-picks-may-13-2026 **Live picks & dashboards:** https://heatcheckhq.io --- **Today's best MLB NRFI (No Run First Inning) picks for Wednesday, May 13, 2026** are SF @ LAD (Score: 80 — 87.5% combined NRFI rate, Robbie Ray vs Shohei Ohtani), SD @ MIL (Score: 71 — 75.5% combined NRFI rate, Michael King vs Jacob Misiorowski), TB @ TOR (Score: 70 — 75% combined NRFI rate, Griffin Jax vs Dylan Cease). Rankings are generated by HeatCheck HQ's 8-factor NRFI scoring model, updated daily. # MLB NRFI Picks Today - May 13, 2026 15-game slate scored for NRFI value. The best first-inning scoreless spots on the board. > [NRFI Dashboard](/mlb/nrfi) - live pitcher data, updated as starters confirm. > **Yesterday's NRFI picks:** [MLB NRFI Bets - May 12](/blog/mlb-nrfi-picks-may-12-2026) ## Tonight's Slate - SF @ LAD (Robbie Ray vs Shohei Ohtani) - 10:10 PM - SD @ MIL (Michael King vs Jacob Misiorowski) - 7:40 PM - TB @ TOR (Griffin Jax vs Dylan Cease) - 7:07 PM - NYY @ BAL (Max Fried vs Kyle Bradish) - 1:05 PM - PHI @ BOS (Andrew Painter vs Sonny Gray) - 6:45 PM - KC @ CWS (Seth Lugo vs Noah Schultz) - 7:40 PM - SEA @ HOU (Bryce Miller vs Lance McCullers Jr.) - 8:10 PM - AZ @ TEX (Ryne Nelson vs Kumar Rocker) - 8:05 PM - STL @ ATH (Matthew Liberatore vs J.T. Ginn) - 9:40 PM ## Pick 1: SF @ LAD — UNIQLO Field at Dodger Stadium (515ft) *87.5% combined NRFI · 10:10 PM ET* - **Robbie Ray** (LHP) — 75% NRFI, 2.76 ERA, 1.09 WHIP, streak +5 - **Shohei Ohtani** (RHP) — 100% NRFI, 0.97 ERA, 0.81 WHIP, streak +6 Two starters who are simply not giving up first-inning runs: Robbie Ray (75%) opposing Shohei Ohtani (100%). The 87.5% combined rate is the proof. Both starters are on active NRFI streaks (5 and 6 respectively). Robbie Ray's 1.09 WHIP means very few first-inning baserunners. ## Pick 2: SD @ MIL — American Family Field (Indoor) *75.5% combined NRFI · 7:40 PM ET* - **Michael King** (RHP) — 88% NRFI, 2.76 ERA, 1.05 WHIP, streak -1 - **Jacob Misiorowski** (RHP) — 63% NRFI, 2.45 ERA, 0.95 WHIP, streak +1 Michael King's 88% scoreless-first rate is what makes this game playable. The other half — Jacob Misiorowski at 63% — is the mild risk to size against, but it's the kind of mild that wins more often than not. Michael King's 1.05 WHIP means very few first-inning baserunners. The roof at American Family Field takes weather out of the equation entirely. > **Want the full board?** See all of today's plays on [Top Plays](/top-plays), or dive deeper on the [NRFI dashboard](/mlb/nrfi). ## Pick 3: TB @ TOR — Rogers Centre (Indoor) *75% combined NRFI · 7:07 PM ET* - **Griffin Jax** (RHP) — 100% NRFI, 5.00 ERA, 1.44 WHIP, streak +3 - **Dylan Cease** (RHP) — 50% NRFI, 2.58 ERA, 1.24 WHIP, streak +1 When one starter is this lockdown in the first, you ride them. Griffin Jax sits at 100% NRFI; Dylan Cease (50%) just needs to be average for the bet to cash. Griffin Jax's last-five ERA (2.17) is meaningfully better than his season 5.00 — the form is trending the right way. The roof at Rogers Centre takes weather out of the equation entirely. ## Honorable Mentions - **NYY @ BAL** — Kyle Bradish riding a 8-game NRFI streak. - **PHI @ BOS** — combined 67% rate. - **KC @ CWS** — Noah Schultz riding a 3-game NRFI streak. ## Games to Avoid These matchups have the highest first-inning scoring risk on tonight's slate: **SEA @ HOU** — Lance McCullers Jr. has allowed a first-inning run in 5 straight starts. The trend matters more than the season 14% rate, and tonight is not the spot to fade it. **AZ @ TEX** — Kumar Rocker has allowed a first-inning run in 5 straight starts. The trend matters more than the season 14% rate, and tonight is not the spot to fade it. **STL @ ATH** — J.T. Ginn has allowed a first-inning run in 5 straight starts. The trend matters more than the season 17% rate, and tonight is not the spot to fade it. ## Related Guides - [How to Use the NRFI Dashboard](/blog/how-to-use-nrfi-dashboard) - [MLB Weather Betting Guide](/blog/mlb-weather-betting-guide) - [MLB Stats Explained](/blog/mlb-stats-explained) ## Before You Lock Confirm starting pitchers on the [NRFI dashboard](/mlb/nrfi) - a bullpen game kills NRFI value immediately. Check weather at first pitch and be careful at altitude (Coors in particular). NRFI bets land at 55-65% historically; you need ~52.4% to break even at -110. For the complete NRFI methodology - including pitcher evaluation, venue factors, and bankroll sizing - see the [NRFI Strategy Guide](/blog/nrfi-betting-strategy-guide). **More from HeatCheck HQ:** - [Live NRFI Dashboard](/mlb/nrfi) - real-time pitcher data and matchup grades - [Dinger of the Day](/blog/mlb-dinger-of-the-day-may-13-2026) - today's best HR picks - [MLB Streaks](/mlb/streaks) - pitchers and hitters on hot streaks - [NRFI Strategy Guide](/blog/nrfi-betting-strategy-guide) - full methodology breakdown *Picks update as starters confirm. Full slate at [heatcheckhq.io](https://heatcheckhq.io).* ## Related Resources - Parent hub: [MLB Props Hub](/blog/topic/mlb-props) - Daily stream: [MLB NRFI Picks](/blog/stream/mlb-nrfi-picks) - Author: [Jason Bowman](/blog/author/jason-bowman) - Browse all posts: [Sports Betting Insights & Guides](/blog) --- *Data powered by HeatCheck HQ — sports analytics platform. Free tools at https://heatcheckhq.io*