# MLB NRFI Picks Today (June 26, 2026) - Best No Run First Inning Bets > Data-driven NRFI picks for tonight's 15-game MLB slate. Pitching matchups, venue conditions, and weather scored across 8 factors to find the best scoreless firs **Date:** 2026-06-26 **Author:** Jason Bowman **Tags:** NRFI, MLB, First Inning, Daily Picks, Betting Strategy, No Run First Inning **Full article:** https://heatcheckhq.io/blog/mlb-nrfi-picks-jun-26-2026 **Live picks & dashboards:** https://heatcheckhq.io --- **Today's best MLB NRFI (No Run First Inning) picks for Friday, June 26, 2026** are LAD @ SD (Score: 72 — 74.5% combined NRFI rate, Roki Sasaki vs Walker Buehler), WSH @ BAL (Score: 69 — 69.5% combined NRFI rate, Andrew Alvarez vs Trevor Rogers), ATH @ LAA (Score: 62 — 54% combined NRFI rate, J.T. Ginn vs Walbert Ureña). Rankings are generated by HeatCheck HQ's 8-factor NRFI scoring model, updated daily. # MLB NRFI Picks Today - June 26, 2026 Tonight's 15-game slate, ranked by first-inning scoreless probability. > [NRFI Dashboard](/mlb/nrfi) - live pitcher data, updated as starters confirm. > **Yesterday's NRFI picks:** [MLB NRFI Bets - June 25](/blog/mlb-nrfi-picks-jun-25-2026) ## Tonight's Slate - LAD @ SD (Roki Sasaki vs Walker Buehler) - 9:45 PM - WSH @ BAL (Andrew Alvarez vs Trevor Rogers) - 7:05 PM - ATH @ LAA (J.T. Ginn vs Walbert Ureña) - 9:38 PM - MIA @ STL (Max Meyer vs Michael McGreevy) - 8:15 PM - CHC @ MIL (Colin Rea vs Jacob Misiorowski) - 7:45 PM - NYY @ BOS (Will Warren vs Payton Tolle) - 7:10 PM - ATL @ SF (Reynaldo López vs Trevor McDonald) - 10:15 PM - COL @ MIN (Tomoyuki Sugano vs Taj Bradley) - 8:10 PM - AZ @ TB (Zac Gallen vs Nick Martinez) - 7:10 PM ## Pick 1: LAD @ SD — Petco Park (15ft) *74.5% combined NRFI · 9:45 PM ET* - **Roki Sasaki** (RHP) — 69% NRFI, 4.76 ERA, 1.29 WHIP, streak -2 - **Walker Buehler** (RHP) — 80% NRFI, 3.96 ERA, 1.32 WHIP, streak +5 When one starter is this lockdown in the first, you ride them. Walker Buehler sits at 80% NRFI; Roki Sasaki (69%) just needs to be average for the bet to cash. Walker Buehler has gone NRFI in 5 straight starts. Walker Buehler's recent ERA (2.13 over his last five) is sharper than his season 3.96. ## Pick 2: WSH @ BAL — Oriole Park at Camden Yards (30ft) *69.5% combined NRFI · 7:05 PM ET* - **Andrew Alvarez** (LHP) — 75% NRFI, 3.34 ERA, 1.39 WHIP, streak +2 - **Trevor Rogers** (LHP) — 64% NRFI, 5.30 ERA, 1.36 WHIP, streak +2 Andrew Alvarez is the anchor here — a 75% NRFI rate that does most of the work for this play. Trevor Rogers on the other side is fine at 64%, but it's the elite arm carrying the lean. Andrew Alvarez's last-five ERA (2.78) is meaningfully better than his season 3.34 — the form is trending the right way. Trevor Rogers's 5.30 season ERA is a concern beyond the first — the play is specifically about the opening frame, not the full game. > **Want the full board?** See all of today's plays on [Top Plays](/top-plays), or dive deeper on the [NRFI dashboard](/mlb/nrfi). ## Pick 3: ATH @ LAA — Angel Stadium (160ft) *54% combined NRFI · 9:38 PM ET* - **J.T. Ginn** (RHP) — 50% NRFI, 3.16 ERA, 1.21 WHIP, streak +2 - **Walbert Ureña** (RHP) — 58% NRFI, 2.41 ERA, 1.31 WHIP, streak +1 Walbert Ureña is the anchor here — a 58% NRFI rate that does most of the work for this play. J.T. Ginn on the other side is fine at 50%, but it's the elite arm carrying the lean. Calm conditions (3 mph wind) keep balls from carrying. ## Honorable Mentions - **MIA @ STL** — Michael McGreevy sitting at 73% NRFI. - **CHC @ MIL** — combined 47.5% rate. - **NYY @ BOS** — Payton Tolle riding a 3-game NRFI streak. ## Games to Avoid These matchups have the highest first-inning scoring risk on tonight's slate: **ATL @ SF** — Reynaldo López has allowed a first-inning run in 4 straight starts. The trend matters more than the season 20% rate, and tonight is not the spot to fade it. **COL @ MIN** — Tomoyuki Sugano has allowed a first-inning run in 3 straight starts. The trend matters more than the season 33% rate, and tonight is not the spot to fade it. **AZ @ TB** — Zac Gallen has allowed a first-inning run in 3 straight starts. The trend matters more than the season 31% rate, and tonight is not the spot to fade it. ## Related Guides - [How to Use the NRFI Dashboard](/blog/how-to-use-nrfi-dashboard) - [MLB Weather Betting Guide](/blog/mlb-weather-betting-guide) - [MLB Stats Explained](/blog/mlb-stats-explained) ## Before You Lock Confirm starting pitchers on the [NRFI dashboard](/mlb/nrfi) - a bullpen game kills NRFI value immediately. Check weather at first pitch and be careful at altitude (Coors in particular). NRFI bets land at 55-65% historically; you need ~52.4% to break even at -110. For the complete NRFI methodology - including pitcher evaluation, venue factors, and bankroll sizing - see the [NRFI Strategy Guide](/blog/nrfi-betting-strategy-guide). **More from HeatCheck HQ:** - [Live NRFI Dashboard](/mlb/nrfi) - real-time pitcher data and matchup grades - [Dinger of the Day](/blog/mlb-dinger-of-the-day-jun-26-2026) - today's best HR picks - [MLB Streaks](/mlb/streaks) - pitchers and hitters on hot streaks - [NRFI Strategy Guide](/blog/nrfi-betting-strategy-guide) - full methodology breakdown *Picks update as starters confirm. Full slate at [heatcheckhq.io](https://heatcheckhq.io).* ## Related Resources - Parent hub: [MLB Props Hub](/blog/topic/mlb-props) - Daily stream: [MLB NRFI Picks](/blog/stream/mlb-nrfi-picks) - Author: [Jason Bowman](/blog/author/jason-bowman) - Browse all posts: [Sports Betting Insights & Guides](/blog) --- *Data powered by HeatCheck HQ — sports analytics platform. Free tools at https://heatcheckhq.io*