# MLB NRFI Picks Today (June 23, 2026) - Best No Run First Inning Bets > MLB NRFI picks for June 23, 2026 - 15 games scored for first-inning scoreless probability. Justin Wrobleski vs Kendry Rojas leads the board. **Date:** 2026-06-23 **Author:** Jason Bowman **Tags:** NRFI, MLB, First Inning, Daily Picks, Betting Strategy, No Run First Inning **Full article:** https://heatcheckhq.io/blog/mlb-nrfi-picks-jun-23-2026 **Live picks & dashboards:** https://heatcheckhq.io --- **Today's best MLB NRFI (No Run First Inning) picks for Tuesday, June 23, 2026** are LAD @ MIN (Score: 71 — 71% combined NRFI rate, Justin Wrobleski vs Kendry Rojas), HOU @ TOR (Score: 63 — 56% combined NRFI rate, Peter Lambert vs Shane Bieber), TEX @ MIA (Score: 60 — 57% combined NRFI rate, Cal Quantrill vs Sandy Alcantara). Rankings are generated by HeatCheck HQ's 8-factor NRFI scoring model, updated daily. # MLB NRFI Picks Today - June 23, 2026 15 games, every starter evaluated. These are tonight's best NRFI plays. > [NRFI Dashboard](/mlb/nrfi) - live pitcher data, updated as starters confirm. > **Yesterday's NRFI picks:** [MLB NRFI Bets - June 22](/blog/mlb-nrfi-picks-jun-22-2026) ## Tonight's Slate - LAD @ MIN (Justin Wrobleski vs Kendry Rojas) - 7:40 PM - HOU @ TOR (Peter Lambert vs Shane Bieber) - 4:07 PM - TEX @ MIA (Cal Quantrill vs Sandy Alcantara) - 6:40 PM - NYY @ DET (Carlos Rodón vs Casey Mize) - 6:40 PM - CLE @ CWS (Parker Messick vs Sean Burke) - 7:40 PM - AZ @ STL (Eduardo Rodriguez vs Kyle Leahy) - 7:45 PM - BAL @ LAA (Shane Baz vs Ryan Johnson) - 9:38 PM - KC @ TB (Luinder Avila vs Shane McClanahan) - 6:40 PM - ATL @ SD (JR Ritchie vs Griffin Canning) - 9:40 PM ## Pick 1: LAD @ MIN — Target Field (815ft) *71% combined NRFI · 7:40 PM ET* - **Justin Wrobleski** (LHP) — 42% NRFI, 2.72 ERA, 1.01 WHIP, streak +3 - **Kendry Rojas** (LHP) — 100% NRFI, 1.26 ERA, 1.47 WHIP, streak +1 Kendry Rojas's 100% scoreless-first rate is what makes this game playable. The other half — Justin Wrobleski at 42% — is the mild risk to size against, but it's the kind of mild that wins more often than not. Kendry Rojas's recent ERA (0.00 over his last five) is sharper than his season 1.26. Justin Wrobleski's 1.01 WHIP means very few first-inning baserunners. ## Pick 2: HOU @ TOR — Rogers Centre (Indoor) *56% combined NRFI · 4:07 PM ET* - **Peter Lambert** (RHP) — 55% NRFI, 3.23 ERA, 1.11 WHIP, streak +1 - **Shane Bieber** (RHP) — 57% NRFI, 3.57 ERA, 1.02 WHIP, streak -1 Two pitchers who don't allow free passes or cheap singles set up a clean first by default. Peter Lambert (1.11 WHIP) opposing Shane Bieber (1.02) is exactly that profile. The roof at Rogers Centre takes weather out of the equation entirely. > **Want the full board?** See all of today's plays on [Top Plays](/top-plays), or dive deeper on the [NRFI dashboard](/mlb/nrfi). ## Pick 3: TEX @ MIA — loanDepot park (Indoor) *57% combined NRFI · 6:40 PM ET* - **Cal Quantrill** (RHP) — 58% NRFI, 3.68 ERA, 1.26 WHIP, streak -1 - **Sandy Alcantara** (RHP) — 56% NRFI, 4.18 ERA, 1.24 WHIP, streak -1 Cal Quantrill's 58% scoreless-first rate is what makes this game playable. The other half — Sandy Alcantara at 56% — is the mild risk to size against, but it's the kind of mild that wins more often than not. The roof at loanDepot park takes weather out of the equation entirely. ## Honorable Mentions - **NYY @ DET** — Casey Mize sitting at 80% NRFI. - **CLE @ CWS** — combined 46% rate. - **AZ @ STL** — combined 48.5% rate. ## Games to Avoid These matchups have the highest first-inning scoring risk on tonight's slate: **BAL @ LAA** — Ryan Johnson's 12.83 ERA tells the story — he is vulnerable early and often, and the matchup math doesn't pencil out. **KC @ TB** — Luinder Avila has allowed a first-inning run in 5 straight starts. The trend matters more than the season 0% rate, and tonight is not the spot to fade it. **ATL @ SD** — JR Ritchie's 33% NRFI rate is the weak link here. Combined with Griffin Canning on the other side, this game has too many ways to score in the first. ## Related Guides - [How to Use the NRFI Dashboard](/blog/how-to-use-nrfi-dashboard) - [MLB Weather Betting Guide](/blog/mlb-weather-betting-guide) - [MLB Stats Explained](/blog/mlb-stats-explained) ## Before You Lock Confirm starting pitchers on the [NRFI dashboard](/mlb/nrfi) - a bullpen game kills NRFI value immediately. Check weather at first pitch and be careful at altitude (Coors in particular). NRFI bets land at 55-65% historically; you need ~52.4% to break even at -110. For the complete NRFI methodology - including pitcher evaluation, venue factors, and bankroll sizing - see the [NRFI Strategy Guide](/blog/nrfi-betting-strategy-guide). **More from HeatCheck HQ:** - [Live NRFI Dashboard](/mlb/nrfi) - real-time pitcher data and matchup grades - [Dinger of the Day](/blog/mlb-dinger-of-the-day-jun-23-2026) - today's best HR picks - [MLB Streaks](/mlb/streaks) - pitchers and hitters on hot streaks - [NRFI Strategy Guide](/blog/nrfi-betting-strategy-guide) - full methodology breakdown *Picks update as starters confirm. Full slate at [heatcheckhq.io](https://heatcheckhq.io).* ## Related Resources - Parent hub: [MLB Props Hub](/blog/topic/mlb-props) - Daily stream: [MLB NRFI Picks](/blog/stream/mlb-nrfi-picks) - Author: [Jason Bowman](/blog/author/jason-bowman) - Browse all posts: [Sports Betting Insights & Guides](/blog) --- *Data powered by HeatCheck HQ — sports analytics platform. Free tools at https://heatcheckhq.io*