# MLB NRFI Picks Today (June 12, 2026) - Best No Run First Inning Bets > MLB NRFI picks for June 12, 2026 - 15 games scored for first-inning scoreless probability. Javier Assad vs Landen Roupp leads the board. Updated daily. **Date:** 2026-06-12 **Author:** Jason Bowman **Tags:** NRFI, MLB, First Inning, Daily Picks, Betting Strategy, No Run First Inning **Full article:** https://heatcheckhq.io/blog/mlb-nrfi-picks-jun-12-2026 **Live picks & dashboards:** https://heatcheckhq.io --- **Today's best MLB NRFI (No Run First Inning) picks for Friday, June 12, 2026** are CHC @ SF (Score: 69 — 72% combined NRFI rate, Javier Assad vs Landen Roupp), PHI @ MIL (Score: 65 — 59% combined NRFI rate, Andrew Painter vs Jacob Misiorowski), STL @ MIN (Score: 61 — 58.5% combined NRFI rate, Kyle Leahy vs Joe Ryan). Rankings are generated by HeatCheck HQ's 8-factor NRFI scoring model, updated daily. # MLB NRFI Picks Today - June 12, 2026 15-game slate scored for NRFI value. The best first-inning scoreless spots on the board. > [NRFI Dashboard](/mlb/nrfi) - live pitcher data, updated as starters confirm. > **Yesterday's NRFI picks:** [MLB NRFI Bets - June 11](/blog/mlb-nrfi-picks-jun-11-2026) ## Tonight's Slate - CHC @ SF (Javier Assad vs Landen Roupp) - 10:15 PM - PHI @ MIL (Andrew Painter vs Jacob Misiorowski) - 7:40 PM - STL @ MIN (Kyle Leahy vs Joe Ryan) - 8:10 PM - LAD @ CWS (Roki Sasaki vs Anthony Kay) - 7:40 PM - DET @ CLE (Jack Flaherty vs Tanner Bibee) - 7:10 PM - MIA @ PIT (Sandy Alcantara vs Braxton Ashcraft) - 6:40 PM - ATL @ NYM (Spencer Strider vs Nolan McLean) - 7:15 PM - HOU @ KC (Tatsuya Imai vs Luinder Avila) - 8:10 PM - TB @ LAA (Shane McClanahan vs Sam Aldegheri) - 9:38 PM ## Pick 1: CHC @ SF — Oracle Park (5ft) *72% combined NRFI · 10:15 PM ET* - **Javier Assad** (RHP) — 67% NRFI, 4.73 ERA, 1.08 WHIP, streak +1 - **Landen Roupp** (RHP) — 77% NRFI, 4.00 ERA, 1.29 WHIP, streak +3 When one starter is this lockdown in the first, you ride them. Landen Roupp sits at 77% NRFI; Javier Assad (67%) just needs to be average for the bet to cash. Worth noting: Javier Assad's last-five ERA (6.21) is well above his season number (4.73). The trend has cooled. Javier Assad's 1.08 WHIP means very few first-inning baserunners. ## Pick 2: PHI @ MIL — American Family Field (Indoor) *59% combined NRFI · 7:40 PM ET* - **Andrew Painter** (RHP) — 64% NRFI, 6.21 ERA, 1.57 WHIP, streak -1 - **Jacob Misiorowski** (RHP) — 54% NRFI, 1.50 ERA, 0.81 WHIP, streak -1 When one starter is this lockdown in the first, you ride them. Andrew Painter sits at 64% NRFI; Jacob Misiorowski (54%) just needs to be average for the bet to cash. Andrew Painter's last-five ERA (5.53) is meaningfully better than his season 6.21 — the form is trending the right way. Jacob Misiorowski's 0.81 WHIP keeps the bases empty early. > **Want the full board?** See all of today's plays on [Top Plays](/top-plays), or dive deeper on the [NRFI dashboard](/mlb/nrfi). ## Pick 3: STL @ MIN — Target Field (815ft) *58.5% combined NRFI · 8:10 PM ET* - **Kyle Leahy** (RHP) — 67% NRFI, 4.42 ERA, 1.58 WHIP, streak -1 - **Joe Ryan** (RHP) — 50% NRFI, 3.07 ERA, 1.00 WHIP, streak -2 Kyle Leahy's 67% scoreless-first rate is what makes this game playable. The other half — Joe Ryan at 50% — is the mild risk to size against, but it's the kind of mild that wins more often than not. Kyle Leahy's last-five ERA (3.73) is meaningfully better than his season 4.42 — the form is trending the right way. Joe Ryan's 1.00 WHIP keeps the bases empty early. ## Honorable Mentions - **LAD @ CWS** — Roki Sasaki sitting at 82% NRFI. - **DET @ CLE** — combined 60.5% rate. - **MIA @ PIT** — combined 59.5% rate. ## Games to Avoid These matchups have the highest first-inning scoring risk on tonight's slate: **ATL @ NYM** — Spencer Strider has allowed a first-inning run in 7 straight starts. The trend matters more than the season 0% rate, and tonight is not the spot to fade it. **HOU @ KC** — Luinder Avila has allowed a first-inning run in 3 straight starts. The trend matters more than the season 0% rate, and tonight is not the spot to fade it. **TB @ LAA** — Combined NRFI rate sits at 25% — bottom of the slate. Sam Aldegheri (0%) is the bigger risk, but neither arm gives confidence in a clean first. ## Related Guides - [How to Use the NRFI Dashboard](/blog/how-to-use-nrfi-dashboard) - [MLB Weather Betting Guide](/blog/mlb-weather-betting-guide) - [MLB Stats Explained](/blog/mlb-stats-explained) ## Before You Lock Confirm starting pitchers on the [NRFI dashboard](/mlb/nrfi) - a bullpen game kills NRFI value immediately. Check weather at first pitch and be careful at altitude (Coors in particular). NRFI bets land at 55-65% historically; you need ~52.4% to break even at -110. For the complete NRFI methodology - including pitcher evaluation, venue factors, and bankroll sizing - see the [NRFI Strategy Guide](/blog/nrfi-betting-strategy-guide). **More from HeatCheck HQ:** - [Live NRFI Dashboard](/mlb/nrfi) - real-time pitcher data and matchup grades - [Dinger of the Day](/blog/mlb-dinger-of-the-day-jun-12-2026) - today's best HR picks - [MLB Streaks](/mlb/streaks) - pitchers and hitters on hot streaks - [NRFI Strategy Guide](/blog/nrfi-betting-strategy-guide) - full methodology breakdown *Picks update as starters confirm. Full slate at [heatcheckhq.io](https://heatcheckhq.io).* ## Related Resources - Parent hub: [MLB Props Hub](/blog/topic/mlb-props) - Daily stream: [MLB NRFI Picks](/blog/stream/mlb-nrfi-picks) - Author: [Jason Bowman](/blog/author/jason-bowman) - Browse all posts: [Sports Betting Insights & Guides](/blog) --- *Data powered by HeatCheck HQ — sports analytics platform. Free tools at https://heatcheckhq.io*