# MLB NRFI Picks: July 24, 2026 (No Run First Inning) > MLB NRFI picks for July 24, 2026. 15 games scored for first inning scoreless probability, with Cam Schlittler vs Jesús Luzardo leading the board. **Date:** 2026-07-24 **Author:** HeatCheck HQ **Tags:** NRFI, MLB, First Inning, Daily Picks, Betting Strategy, No Run First Inning **Full article:** https://heatcheckhq.io/blog/mlb-nrfi-picks-jul-24-2026 **Live picks & dashboards:** https://heatcheckhq.io --- **Today's best MLB NRFI (No Run First Inning) picks for Friday, July 24, 2026** are NYY @ PHI (Score: 73, 73% NRFI probability, Cam Schlittler vs Jesús Luzardo), CLE @ TB (Score: 65, 65% NRFI probability, Joey Cantillo vs Shane McClanahan), TOR @ BOS (Score: 64, 63% NRFI probability, Trey Yesavage vs Patrick Sandoval). Rankings are generated by HeatCheck HQ's joint-probability NRFI scoring model, updated daily. # MLB NRFI Picks Today: July 24, 2026 A slate of 15 games, scored for NRFI value. These are the cleanest first inning spots on the board. > [NRFI Dashboard](/mlb/nrfi): live pitcher data, updated as starters confirm. > **Yesterday's NRFI picks:** [MLB NRFI Bets for July 23](/blog/mlb-nrfi-picks-jul-23-2026) ## Tonight's Slate - NYY at PHI (Cam Schlittler vs Jesús Luzardo), 6:45 PM - CLE at TB (Joey Cantillo vs Shane McClanahan), 7:10 PM - TOR at BOS (Trey Yesavage vs Patrick Sandoval), 7:15 PM - HOU at CWS (Spencer Arrighetti vs Davis Martin), 7:40 PM - SEA at TEX (Bryce Miller vs MacKenzie Gore), 8:05 PM - ATL at BAL (Grant Holmes vs Trevor Rogers), 7:05 PM - AZ at WSH (Eduardo Rodriguez vs Carson Palmquist), 6:45 PM - CIN at STL (Rhett Lowder vs Dustin May), 8:15 PM - LAD at NYM (Roki Sasaki vs Sean Manaea), 7:10 PM ## New York Yankees at Philadelphia Phillies *Cam Schlittler (RHP): 57% NRFI, 2.20 ERA, 0.96 WHIP, 10.6 K/9, 1.8 BB/9, NRFI streak of 1. Jesús Luzardo (LHP): 55% NRFI, 3.43 ERA, 1.21 WHIP, 11.2 K/9, 2.9 BB/9. First pitch 6:45 PM ET at Citizens Bank Park (20 ft).* Cam Schlittler can end the first inning without the ball ever leaving the infield, missing bats at a 10.6 K/9 clip, and swing and miss is the cleanest path to a scoreless opening frame. Jesús Luzardo is the softer side at 55% NRFI, but he only has to be ordinary in the first for this to cash. Cam Schlittler's 1.8 BB/9 means the leadoff man rarely reaches, and empty bases in the first almost always mean a zero. Both arms protect the opening frame, so NRFI is the call. ## Cleveland Guardians at Tampa Bay Rays *Joey Cantillo (LHP): 62% NRFI, 3.74 ERA, 1.42 WHIP, 9.5 K/9, 4.4 BB/9, NRFI streak of 1. Shane McClanahan (LHP): 50% NRFI, 3.16 ERA, 1.15 WHIP, 8.4 K/9, 3.1 BB/9, NRFI streak of 2. First pitch 7:10 PM ET at Tropicana Field, indoor.* Joey Cantillo anchors this one at 62% NRFI, and the combined 65% rate keeps the game in play as a lean. Shane McClanahan is the softer side at 50% NRFI, but he only has to be ordinary in the first for this to cash. Joey Cantillo is trending up as well, a 2.77 ERA across his last five starts against a 3.74 season mark. We will take NRFI here, a lean rather than a lock. > **Want the full board?** See all of today's plays on [Top Plays](/top-plays), or go deeper on the [NRFI dashboard](/mlb/nrfi). ## Toronto Blue Jays at Boston Red Sox *Trey Yesavage (RHP): 47% NRFI, 3.78 ERA, 1.16 WHIP, 8.7 K/9, 4.6 BB/9, NRFI streak of 1. Patrick Sandoval (LHP): 100% NRFI, 4.82 ERA, 1.71 WHIP, 9.9 K/9, 2.0 BB/9, NRFI streak of 2. First pitch 7:15 PM ET at Fenway Park (20 ft).* Patrick Sandoval is the reason to look here, a 100% scoreless rate in the first that carries most of the weight for this lean. Trey Yesavage is the softer side at 47% NRFI, but he only has to be ordinary in the first for this to cash. Patrick Sandoval's 2.0 BB/9 means the leadoff man rarely reaches, and empty bases in the first almost always mean a zero. The loose thread is Trey Yesavage's 4.6 BB/9; an early walk is how this inning gets away. NRFI is the side, with a touch of caution. ## Honorable Mentions - **Houston Astros at Chicago White Sox:** Davis Martin riding a run of 5 scoreless first innings. - **Seattle Mariners at Texas Rangers:** Bryce Miller riding a run of 3 scoreless first innings. - **Atlanta Braves at Baltimore Orioles:** a combined 62% NRFI rate. ## Games to Avoid These matchups carry the highest first inning scoring risk on tonight's slate. **Arizona Diamondbacks at Washington Nationals.** Carson Palmquist has surrendered a run in the first in 4 straight starts, and that trend matters more than the 0% season rate. We are passing here. **Cincinnati Reds at St. Louis Cardinals.** Rhett Lowder has not shown the early command to trust, a 4.4 BB/9 that invites first inning traffic. Not a first inning to trust. **Los Angeles Dodgers at New York Mets.** Sean Manaea is the weak link at 43% NRFI, and the combined 42% rate sits near the bottom of the slate. We are passing here. ## Related Guides - [How to Use the NRFI Dashboard](/blog/how-to-use-nrfi-dashboard) - [MLB Weather Betting Guide](/blog/mlb-weather-betting-guide) - [MLB Stats Explained](/blog/mlb-stats-explained) ## Before You Lock Confirm the starting pitchers on the [NRFI dashboard](/mlb/nrfi). A bullpen game kills NRFI value immediately. Check the weather at first pitch and be careful at altitude, Coors in particular. NRFI bets land 55% to 65% of the time historically, and you need roughly 52.4% to break even at minus 110 odds. For the complete NRFI methodology, including pitcher evaluation, venue factors, and bankroll sizing, see the [NRFI Strategy Guide](/blog/nrfi-betting-strategy-guide). **More from HeatCheck HQ:** - [Live NRFI Dashboard](/mlb/nrfi): real time pitcher data and matchup grades - [Dinger of the Day](/blog/mlb-dinger-of-the-day-jul-24-2026): today's best HR picks - [MLB Streaks](/mlb/streaks): pitchers and hitters on hot streaks - [NRFI Strategy Guide](/blog/nrfi-betting-strategy-guide): full methodology breakdown *Picks update as starters confirm. Full slate at [heatcheckhq.io](https://heatcheckhq.io).* ## Related Resources - Parent hub: [MLB Props Hub](/blog/topic/mlb-props) - Daily stream: [MLB NRFI Picks](/blog/stream/mlb-nrfi-picks) - Author: [HeatCheck HQ](/blog/author/heatcheck-hq) - Browse all posts: [Sports Betting Insights & Guides](/blog) --- *Data powered by HeatCheck HQ — sports analytics platform. Free tools at https://heatcheckhq.io*