# MLB NRFI Picks Today (April 25, 2026) - Best No Run First Inning Bets > MLB NRFI picks for April 25, 2026 - 15 games scored for first-inning scoreless probability. Joey Cantillo vs Kevin Gausman leads the board. Updated daily. **Date:** 2026-04-25 **Author:** Jason Bowman **Tags:** NRFI, MLB, First Inning, Daily Picks, Betting Strategy, No Run First Inning **Full article:** https://heatcheckhq.io/blog/mlb-nrfi-picks-apr-25-2026 **Live picks & dashboards:** https://heatcheckhq.io --- **Today's best MLB NRFI (No Run First Inning) picks for Saturday, April 25, 2026** are CLE @ TOR (Score: 60 — 70% combined NRFI rate, Joey Cantillo vs Kevin Gausman), SEA @ STL (Score: 58 — 70% combined NRFI rate, Bryan Woo vs Matthew Liberatore), PIT @ MIL (Score: 51 — 60% combined NRFI rate, Mitch Keller vs Jacob Misiorowski). Rankings are generated by HeatCheck HQ's 8-factor NRFI scoring model, updated daily. # MLB NRFI Picks Today - April 25, 2026 15 games, every starter evaluated. These are tonight's best NRFI plays. > [NRFI Dashboard](/mlb/nrfi) - live pitcher data, updated as starters confirm. > **Yesterday's NRFI picks:** [MLB NRFI Bets - April 24](/blog/mlb-nrfi-picks-apr-24-2026) ## Tonight's Slate - CLE @ TOR (Joey Cantillo vs Kevin Gausman) - 3:07 PM - SEA @ STL (Bryan Woo vs Matthew Liberatore) - 2:15 PM - PIT @ MIL (Mitch Keller vs Jacob Misiorowski) - 7:10 PM - BOS @ BAL (Garrett Crochet vs Trevor Rogers) - 12:05 PM - PHI @ ATL (Zack Wheeler vs Bryce Elder) - 7:15 PM - ATH @ TEX (Jeffrey Springs vs MacKenzie Gore) - 7:05 PM - NYY @ HOU (Ryan Weathers vs Mike Burrows) - 7:10 PM - MIA @ SF (Eury Pérez vs Robbie Ray) - 4:05 PM - DET @ CIN (Jack Flaherty vs Brady Singer) - 7:15 PM ## Pick 1: CLE @ TOR — Rogers Centre (Indoor) *70% combined NRFI · 3:07 PM ET* - **Joey Cantillo** (LHP) — 60% NRFI, 3.20 ERA, 1.30 WHIP, streak +1 - **Kevin Gausman** (RHP) — 80% NRFI, 2.54 ERA, 0.95 WHIP, streak -1 When one starter is this lockdown in the first, you ride them. Kevin Gausman sits at 80% NRFI; Joey Cantillo (60%) just needs to be average for the bet to cash. Kevin Gausman's 0.95 WHIP keeps the bases empty early. The roof at Rogers Centre takes weather out of the equation entirely. ## Pick 2: SEA @ STL — Busch Stadium (455ft) *70% combined NRFI · 2:15 PM ET* - **Bryan Woo** (RHP) — 80% NRFI, 2.25 ERA, 0.88 WHIP, streak -1 - **Matthew Liberatore** (LHP) — 60% NRFI, 3.67 ERA, 1.41 WHIP, streak +1 Bryan Woo's 80% scoreless-first rate is what makes this game playable. The other half — Matthew Liberatore at 60% — is the mild risk to size against, but it's the kind of mild that wins more often than not. Bryan Woo's 0.88 WHIP means very few first-inning baserunners. Calm conditions (2 mph wind) keep balls from carrying. > **Want the full board?** See all of today's plays on [Top Plays](/top-plays), or dive deeper on the [NRFI dashboard](/mlb/nrfi). ## Pick 3: PIT @ MIL — American Family Field (Indoor) *60% combined NRFI · 7:10 PM ET* - **Mitch Keller** (RHP) — 60% NRFI, 2.79 ERA, 1.10 WHIP, streak -2 - **Jacob Misiorowski** (RHP) — 60% NRFI, 3.04 ERA, 1.09 WHIP, streak -1 Neither starter lets traffic on base. Mitch Keller carries a 1.10 WHIP, Jacob Misiorowski a 1.09 — that means few first-inning baserunners, which means few first-inning runs. The roof at American Family Field takes weather out of the equation entirely. ## Honorable Mentions - **BOS @ BAL** — Trevor Rogers riding a 5-game NRFI streak. - **PHI @ ATL** — combined 57% rate. - **ATH @ TEX** — combined 60% rate. ## Games to Avoid These matchups have the highest first-inning scoring risk on tonight's slate: **NYY @ HOU** — Mike Burrows's 6.75 ERA tells the story — he is vulnerable early and often, and the matchup math doesn't pencil out. **MIA @ SF** — Combined NRFI rate sits at 50% — bottom of the slate. Eury Pérez (40%) is the bigger risk, but neither arm gives confidence in a clean first. **DET @ CIN** — Brady Singer's 5.32 ERA tells the story — he is vulnerable early and often, and the matchup math doesn't pencil out. ## Related Guides - [How to Use the NRFI Dashboard](/blog/how-to-use-nrfi-dashboard) - [MLB Weather Betting Guide](/blog/mlb-weather-betting-guide) - [MLB Stats Explained](/blog/mlb-stats-explained) ## Before You Lock Confirm starting pitchers on the [NRFI dashboard](/mlb/nrfi) - a bullpen game kills NRFI value immediately. Check weather at first pitch and be careful at altitude (Coors in particular). NRFI bets land at 55-65% historically; you need ~52.4% to break even at -110. For the complete NRFI methodology - including pitcher evaluation, venue factors, and bankroll sizing - see the [NRFI Strategy Guide](/blog/nrfi-betting-strategy-guide). **More from HeatCheck HQ:** - [Live NRFI Dashboard](/mlb/nrfi) - real-time pitcher data and matchup grades - [Dinger of the Day](/blog/mlb-dinger-of-the-day-apr-25-2026) - today's best HR picks - [MLB Streaks](/mlb/streaks) - pitchers and hitters on hot streaks - [NRFI Strategy Guide](/blog/nrfi-betting-strategy-guide) - full methodology breakdown *Picks update as starters confirm. Full slate at [heatcheckhq.io](https://heatcheckhq.io).* ## Related Resources - Parent hub: [MLB Props Hub](/blog/topic/mlb-props) - Daily stream: [MLB NRFI Picks](/blog/stream/mlb-nrfi-picks) - Author: [Jason Bowman](/blog/author/jason-bowman) - Browse all posts: [Sports Betting Insights & Guides](/blog) --- *Data powered by HeatCheck HQ — sports analytics platform. Free tools at https://heatcheckhq.io*