Today's best MLB batter vs pitcher matchup picks for Sunday, September 6, 2026 are Javier Báez (Score: 83, 0.500 AVG, 1.667 OPS in 6 career AB vs Gavin Williams), Gunnar Henderson (Score: 78, 0.500 AVG, 1.500 OPS in 6 career AB vs Payton Tolle), Connor Wong (Score: 77, 0.400 AVG, 1.571 OPS in 5 career AB vs Kyle Bradish). Rankings are generated by HeatCheck HQ's five factor career H2H scoring model, updated daily.
MLB Batter vs Pitcher Matchups: September 6, 2026
Best H2H matchups from tonight's 15 game slate. 86 matchups evaluated on career AVG, OPS, power, and contact.
Hitters to Watch Today
- Javier Báez: .500 AVG & 1.667 OPS with 1 HR in 6 AB vs. Gavin Williams
- Gunnar Henderson: .500 AVG & 1.500 OPS with 0 HR in 6 AB vs. Payton Tolle | 1+ Hit (minus 177)
- Connor Wong: .400 AVG & 1.571 OPS with 1 HR in 5 AB vs. Kyle Bradish
- Jazz Chisholm Jr.: .400 AVG & 1.400 OPS with 1 HR in 5 AB vs. Michael King | 1+ Hit (minus 136)
- Bo Naylor: .417 AVG & 1.295 OPS with 1 HR in 12 AB vs. Brady Singer
- Drake Baldwin: .600 AVG & 1.267 OPS with 0 HR in 5 AB vs. Aaron Nola | 1+ Hit (minus 247)
Yesterday's H2H matchups: MLB H2H Matchups: September 5
Tonight's Slate
| Matchup | Pitchers | Time |
|---|---|---|
| Milwaukee Brewers at Cincinnati Reds | Kyle Harrison vs Brady Singer | 12:10 PM ET |
| Atlanta Braves at Philadelphia Phillies | Tyler Mahle vs Aaron Nola | 1:10 PM ET |
| Boston Red Sox at Baltimore Orioles | Payton Tolle vs Kyle Bradish | 1:35 PM ET |
| Los Angeles Angels at Pittsburgh Pirates | Walbert Ureña vs Paul Skenes | 1:35 PM ET |
| Detroit Tigers at Cleveland Guardians | Jackson Jobe vs Gavin Williams | 1:40 PM ET |
| San Francisco Giants at New York Mets | Cesar Perdomo vs Christian Scott | 1:40 PM ET |
| Chicago Cubs at Miami Marlins | Matthew Boyd vs Tyler Phillips | 1:40 PM ET |
| Arizona Diamondbacks at Houston Astros | Eduardo Rodriguez vs Peter Lambert | 2:10 PM ET |
| Toronto Blue Jays at Kansas City Royals | Spencer Arrighetti vs Randy Dobnak | 2:10 PM ET |
| Tampa Bay Rays at Texas Rangers | Ian Seymour vs MacKenzie Gore | 2:35 PM ET |
| St. Louis Cardinals at Colorado Rockies | Kyle Leahy vs Tanner Gordon | 3:10 PM ET |
| Athletics at Seattle Mariners | Gage Jump vs Bryan Woo | 4:10 PM ET |
| New York Yankees at San Diego Padres | Gerrit Cole vs Michael King | 4:10 PM ET |
| Minnesota Twins at Chicago White Sox | Bailey Ober vs Bryan Hudson | 6:20 PM ET |
| Washington Nationals at Los Angeles Dodgers | Andrew Alvarez vs Justin Wrobleski | 10:10 PM ET |
1. Javier Báez (DET) vs Gavin Williams (RHP)
0.500 AVG, 1.667 OPS in 6 career AB | Progressive Field
Career: 3-for-6 · .500 · 1 HR · 2 XBH · 1.667 OPS · 2 K
When OPS hits 1.667 in a career H2H sample, you take it seriously. Báez is 3-for-6 against Williams with the kind of contact that drives runs.
Small sample, but the dominance is notable. A home run every 6 at bats in this matchup is well above league pace.
The take is simple. History sides hard with Báez here. I want him in my lineup tonight.
2. Gunnar Henderson (BAL) vs Payton Tolle (LHP)
0.500 AVG, 1.500 OPS in 6 career AB | Oriole Park at Camden Yards | 1+ Hit (minus 177)
Career: 3-for-6 · .500 · 3 XBH · 1.500 OPS
When OPS hits 1.500 in a career H2H sample, you take it seriously. Henderson is 3-for-6 against Tolle with the kind of contact that drives runs.
Small sample, but the dominance is notable. Currently listed at 1+ Hit (minus 177).
When the sample says this much, you trust it. Henderson has Tolle's number. I'm on his hit prop tonight.
3. Connor Wong (BOS) vs Kyle Bradish (RHP)
0.400 AVG, 1.571 OPS in 5 career AB | Oriole Park at Camden Yards
Career: 2-for-5 · .400 · 1 HR · 1 XBH · 1.571 OPS · 1 K · 2 BB
Wong is 2-for-5 (.400) lifetime against Bradish. He sees this pitcher well and the at bats keep coming back as hits.
Tiny sample, so treat it as directional, not definitive. A home run every 5 at bats in this matchup is well above league pace.
When the sample says this much, you trust it. Wong has Bradish's number. I want him in my lineup tonight.
Look up any pitcher vs batter career history on the Hitter vs Pitcher dashboard.
4. Jazz Chisholm Jr. (NYY) vs Michael King (RHP)
0.400 AVG, 1.400 OPS in 5 career AB | Petco Park | 1+ Hit (minus 136)
Career: 2-for-5 · .400 · 1 HR · 1 XBH · 1.400 OPS · 3 K
Career batting average against King: .400 in 5 AB. Jr. has the kind of pitch recognition on this arm that does not show up against the rest of the league.
Tiny sample, so treat it as directional, not definitive. A home run every 5 at bats in this matchup is well above league pace. Currently listed at 1+ Hit (minus 136).
The take is simple. History sides hard with Jr. here. I'm on his hit prop tonight.
5. Bo Naylor (MIL) vs Brady Singer (RHP)
0.417 AVG, 1.295 OPS in 12 career AB | Great American Ball Park
Career: 5-for-12 · .417 · 1 HR · 3 XBH · 1.295 OPS · 2 K · 1 BB
Naylor's slash line against Singer translates to a 1.295 OPS over 12 AB. That is the kind of split that turns a prop into a play.
Moderate sample, and a real pattern is emerging. A home run every 12 at bats in this matchup is well above league pace. 3 extra base hits in 12 AB. When he connects, the ball gets out of the infield in a hurry.
The take is simple. History sides hard with Naylor here. I want him in my lineup tonight.
6. Drake Baldwin (ATL) vs Aaron Nola (RHP)
0.600 AVG, 1.267 OPS in 5 career AB | Citizens Bank Park | 1+ Hit (minus 247)
Career: 3-for-5 · .600 · 1.267 OPS · 1 BB
.600 is a real number when it holds up over 5 at bats. Baldwin sees something against Nola that other hitters do not.
Tiny sample, so treat it as directional, not definitive. Played at Citizens Bank Park, a plus environment for hitters. Currently listed at 1+ Hit (minus 247).
Verdict: give me Baldwin every time he steps in against Nola. I'm on his hit prop tonight.
7. Yordan Alvarez (HOU) vs Eduardo Rodriguez (LHP)
0.533 AVG, 1.278 OPS in 15 career AB | Daikin Park | 1+ Hit (minus 276)
Career: 8-for-15 · .533 · 2 XBH · 1.278 OPS · 3 K · 3 BB
When OPS hits 1.278 in a career H2H sample, you take it seriously. Alvarez is 8-for-15 against Rodriguez with the kind of contact that drives runs.
Moderate sample, and a real pattern is emerging. 3 walks in 15 AB show he reads this arm well even when he is not swinging. Currently listed at 1+ Hit (minus 276).
Bottom line: Alvarez owns this matchup against Rodriguez. I'm on his hit prop tonight.
8. Austin Riley (ATL) vs Aaron Nola (RHP)
0.367 AVG, 1.147 OPS in 60 career AB | Citizens Bank Park | 1+ Hit (minus 150)
Career: 22-for-60 · .367 · 6 HR · 11 XBH · 1.147 OPS · 20 K · 3 BB
6 HR in 60 AB is what a real H2H edge looks like. Riley has been the bat Nola cannot put away, and tonight is another swing at it.
Large career sample, high confidence matchup data. 11 extra base hits in 60 AB. When he connects, the ball gets out of the infield in a hurry. 3 walks in 60 AB show he reads this arm well even when he is not swinging.
The take is simple. History sides hard with Riley here. I'm on his hit prop tonight.
Hit Props to Consider
- Gunnar Henderson 1+ Hit (minus 177): 0.500 career AVG vs Payton Tolle (6 AB). Implied: 64%.
- Jazz Chisholm Jr. 1+ Hit (minus 136): 0.400 career AVG vs Michael King (5 AB). Implied: 58%.
- Drake Baldwin 1+ Hit (minus 247): 0.600 career AVG vs Aaron Nola (5 AB). Implied: 71%.
- Yordan Alvarez 1+ Hit (minus 276): 0.533 career AVG vs Eduardo Rodriguez (15 AB). Implied: 73%.
- Austin Riley 1+ Hit (minus 150): 0.367 career AVG vs Aaron Nola (60 AB). Implied: 60%.
Lines via Draftkings. Always shop for the best number. Confirm starting pitcher before betting.
Related Guides
Find More Matchups
These are today's top career advantages, but every game has matchups worth looking into. Check out the Hitter vs Pitcher dashboard to search any batter vs pitcher career history, view full lineup matchups, and explore Statcast data for every game on the slate.
Always confirm lineups and starting pitchers before placing any bets. A different arm on the mound changes the entire matchup profile, and career sample size matters. Matchups with 10 or more at bats carry significantly more weight than those with only five or six.
Dinger of the Day Picks | NRFI Picks | Top Plays
Updated as lineups confirm. Full slate at heatcheckhq.io.
Related Resources
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- Author: HeatCheck HQ
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