Today's best MLB batter vs pitcher matchup picks for Sunday, September 27, 2026 are Brady House (Score: 91, 0.571 AVG, 2.196 OPS in 7 career AB vs Sean Manaea), Jake Bauers (Score: 81, 0.714 AVG, 2.104 OPS in 7 career AB vs Andre Pallante), Jonathan Aranda (Score: 81, 0.600 AVG, 2.067 OPS in 5 career AB vs Zack Wheeler). Rankings are generated by HeatCheck HQ's five factor career H2H scoring model, updated daily.
MLB Batter vs Pitcher Matchups: September 27, 2026
Every qualified batter pitcher matchup scored across 5 factors. 97 matchups, 15 games. Here are the plays.
Hitters to Watch Today
- Brady House: .571 AVG & 2.196 OPS with 2 HR in 7 AB vs. Sean Manaea | 1+ Hit (minus 182)
- Jake Bauers: .714 AVG & 2.104 OPS with 1 HR in 7 AB vs. Andre Pallante | 1+ Hit (minus 169)
- Jonathan Aranda: .600 AVG & 2.067 OPS with 1 HR in 5 AB vs. Zack Wheeler | 1+ Hit (minus 174)
- Francisco Lindor: .500 AVG & 1.667 OPS with 1 HR in 6 AB vs. DJ Herz | 1+ Hit (minus 229)
- Nasim Nuñez: .500 AVG & 1.625 OPS with 1 HR in 6 AB vs. Sean Manaea | 1+ Hit (minus 117)
- Bryson Stott: .600 AVG & 1.600 OPS with 0 HR in 5 AB vs. Nick Martinez | 1+ Hit (minus 171)
Yesterday's H2H matchups: MLB H2H Matchups: September 26
Tonight's Slate
| Matchup | Pitchers | Time |
|---|---|---|
| New York Mets at Washington Nationals | Sean Manaea vs DJ Herz | 1:05 PM ET |
| Baltimore Orioles at New York Yankees | Shane Baz vs Elmer Rodríguez | 1:05 PM ET |
| Tampa Bay Rays at Philadelphia Phillies | Nick Martinez vs Zack Wheeler | 2:30 PM ET |
| Chicago Cubs at Boston Red Sox | Shota Imanaga vs Tanner Houck | 3:05 PM ET |
| Houston Astros at Athletics | Peter Lambert vs Seth Johnson | 3:05 PM ET |
| Los Angeles Dodgers at San Francisco Giants | Jack Dreyer vs Carson Seymour | 3:05 PM ET |
| Cincinnati Reds at Toronto Blue Jays | Brandon Williamson vs Max Scherzer | 3:07 PM ET |
| Cleveland Guardians at Kansas City Royals | Parker Messick vs Daniel Lynch IV | 3:10 PM ET |
| Pittsburgh Pirates at Detroit Tigers | Jared Jones vs River Ryan | 3:10 PM ET |
| Arizona Diamondbacks at San Diego Padres | Michael Soroka vs Randy Vásquez | 3:10 PM ET |
| Los Angeles Angels at Seattle Mariners | Yusei Kikuchi vs Logan Gilbert | 3:10 PM ET |
| Texas Rangers at Minnesota Twins | MacKenzie Gore vs Dean Kremer | 3:10 PM ET |
| Colorado Rockies at Chicago White Sox | Kyle Freeland vs Anthony Kay | 3:10 PM ET |
| Atlanta Braves at Miami Marlins | JR Ritchie vs Janson Junk | 3:10 PM ET |
| St. Louis Cardinals at Milwaukee Brewers | Andre Pallante vs Jacob Misiorowski | 3:10 PM ET |
1. Brady House (WSH) vs Sean Manaea (LHP)
0.571 AVG, 2.196 OPS in 7 career AB | Nationals Park | 1+ Hit (minus 182)
Career: 4-for-7 · .571 · 2 HR · 3 XBH · 2.196 OPS · 1 K · 1 BB
When OPS hits 2.196 in a career H2H sample, you take it seriously. House is 4-for-7 against Manaea with the kind of contact that drives runs.
Small sample, but the dominance is notable. A home run every 4 at bats in this matchup is well above league pace. Currently listed at 1+ Hit (minus 182).
Verdict: give me House every time he steps in against Manaea. I'm on his hit prop tonight.
2. Jake Bauers (MIL) vs Andre Pallante (RHP)
0.714 AVG, 2.104 OPS in 7 career AB | American Family Field | 1+ Hit (minus 169)
Career: 5-for-7 · .714 · 1 HR · 2 XBH · 2.104 OPS · 2 K · 4 BB
When OPS hits 2.104 in a career H2H sample, you take it seriously. Bauers is 5-for-7 against Pallante with the kind of contact that drives runs.
Small sample, but the dominance is notable. A home run every 7 at bats in this matchup is well above league pace. Currently listed at 1+ Hit (minus 169).
Verdict: give me Bauers every time he steps in against Pallante. I'm on his hit prop tonight.
3. Jonathan Aranda (TB) vs Zack Wheeler (RHP)
0.600 AVG, 2.067 OPS in 5 career AB | Citizens Bank Park | 1+ Hit (minus 174)
Career: 3-for-5 · .600 · 1 HR · 2 XBH · 2.067 OPS · 2 K · 1 BB
.600 is a real number when it holds up over 5 at bats. Aranda sees something against Wheeler that other hitters do not.
Tiny sample, so treat it as directional, not definitive. A home run every 5 at bats in this matchup is well above league pace. Played at Citizens Bank Park, a plus environment for hitters.
When the sample says this much, you trust it. Aranda has Wheeler's number. I'm on his hit prop tonight.
Look up any pitcher vs batter career history on the Hitter vs Pitcher dashboard.
4. Francisco Lindor (NYM) vs DJ Herz (LHP)
0.500 AVG, 1.667 OPS in 6 career AB | Nationals Park | 1+ Hit (minus 229)
Career: 3-for-6 · .500 · 1 HR · 2 XBH · 1.667 OPS
When OPS hits 1.667 in a career H2H sample, you take it seriously. Lindor is 3-for-6 against Herz with the kind of contact that drives runs.
Small sample, but the dominance is notable. A home run every 6 at bats in this matchup is well above league pace. Currently listed at 1+ Hit (minus 229).
The take is simple. History sides hard with Lindor here. I'm on his hit prop tonight.
5. Nasim Nuñez (WSH) vs Sean Manaea (LHP)
0.500 AVG, 1.625 OPS in 6 career AB | Nationals Park | 1+ Hit (minus 117)
Career: 3-for-6 · .500 · 1 HR · 1 XBH · 1.625 OPS · 2 BB
A 1.625 career OPS against a single pitcher is rare, and Nuñez owns it against Manaea across 6 at bats. That is run producing dominance, not noise.
Small sample, but the dominance is notable. A home run every 6 at bats in this matchup is well above league pace. Currently listed at 1+ Hit (minus 117).
When the sample says this much, you trust it. Nuñez has Manaea's number. I'm on his hit prop tonight.
6. Bryson Stott (PHI) vs Nick Martinez (RHP)
0.600 AVG, 1.600 OPS in 5 career AB | Citizens Bank Park | 1+ Hit (minus 171)
Career: 3-for-5 · .600 · 1 XBH · 1.600 OPS
.600 is a real number when it holds up over 5 at bats. Stott sees something against Martinez that other hitters do not.
Tiny sample, so treat it as directional, not definitive. Played at Citizens Bank Park, a plus environment for hitters. Currently listed at 1+ Hit (minus 171).
Bottom line: Stott owns this matchup against Martinez. I'm on his hit prop tonight.
7. Mauricio Dubón (ATL) vs Janson Junk (RHP)
0.600 AVG, 1.400 OPS in 5 career AB | loanDepot park | 1+ Hit (minus 210)
Career: 3-for-5 · .600 · 1 XBH · 1.400 OPS
Career batting average against Junk: .600 in 5 AB. Dubón has the kind of pitch recognition on this arm that does not show up against the rest of the league.
Tiny sample, so treat it as directional, not definitive. Currently listed at 1+ Hit (minus 210).
Bottom line: Dubón owns this matchup against Junk. I'm on his hit prop tonight.
8. Danny Jansen (TEX) vs Dean Kremer (RHP)
0.286 AVG, 1.587 OPS in 7 career AB | Target Field | 1+ Hit (minus 140)
Career: 2-for-7 · .286 · 2 HR · 2 XBH · 1.587 OPS · 3 K · 2 BB
When OPS hits 1.587 in a career H2H sample, you take it seriously. Jansen is 2-for-7 against Kremer with the kind of contact that drives runs.
Small sample, but the dominance is notable. A home run every 4 at bats in this matchup is well above league pace. Currently listed at 1+ Hit (minus 140).
When the sample says this much, you trust it. Jansen has Kremer's number. I'm on his hit prop tonight.
Hit Props to Consider
- Brady House 1+ Hit (minus 182): 0.571 career AVG vs Sean Manaea (7 AB). Implied: 65%.
- Jake Bauers 1+ Hit (minus 169): 0.714 career AVG vs Andre Pallante (7 AB). Implied: 63%.
- Jonathan Aranda 1+ Hit (minus 174): 0.600 career AVG vs Zack Wheeler (5 AB). Implied: 64%.
- Francisco Lindor 1+ Hit (minus 229): 0.500 career AVG vs DJ Herz (6 AB). Implied: 70%.
- Nasim Nuñez 1+ Hit (minus 117): 0.500 career AVG vs Sean Manaea (6 AB). Implied: 54%.
- Bryson Stott 1+ Hit (minus 171): 0.600 career AVG vs Nick Martinez (5 AB). Implied: 63%.
- Mauricio Dubón 1+ Hit (minus 210): 0.600 career AVG vs Janson Junk (5 AB). Implied: 68%.
- Danny Jansen 1+ Hit (minus 140): 0.286 career AVG vs Dean Kremer (7 AB). Implied: 58%.
Lines via Draftkings. Always shop for the best number. Confirm starting pitcher before betting.
Related Guides
Find More Matchups
These are today's top career advantages, but every game has matchups worth looking into. Check out the Hitter vs Pitcher dashboard to search any batter vs pitcher career history, view full lineup matchups, and explore Statcast data for every game on the slate.
Always confirm lineups and starting pitchers before placing any bets. A different arm on the mound changes the entire matchup profile, and career sample size matters. Matchups with 10 or more at bats carry significantly more weight than those with only five or six.
Dinger of the Day Picks | NRFI Picks | Top Plays
Updated as lineups confirm. Full slate at heatcheckhq.io.
Related Resources
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- Author: HeatCheck HQ
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