# MLB Batter vs Pitcher Matchups: September 26, 2026 > MLB batter vs pitcher matchups for September 26, 2026: Cole Young leads the board across 14 games. Career head to head data analyzed and scored. **Date:** 2026-09-26 **Author:** HeatCheck HQ **Tags:** MLB, Batter vs Pitcher, H2H Matchups, MLB Props, Daily Picks, Player Props **Full article:** https://heatcheckhq.io/blog/mlb-h2h-matchups-sep-26-2026 **Live picks & dashboards:** https://heatcheckhq.io --- **Today's best MLB batter vs pitcher matchup picks for Saturday, September 26, 2026** are Cole Young (Score: 95, 0.600 AVG, 1.800 OPS in 5 career AB vs Ryan Johnson), Vinnie Pasquantino (Score: 92, 0.611 AVG, 1.849 OPS in 18 career AB vs Tanner Bibee), Manny Machado (Score: 79, 0.500 AVG, 1.571 OPS in 6 career AB vs Corbin Burnes). Rankings are generated by HeatCheck HQ's five factor career H2H scoring model, updated daily. # MLB Batter vs Pitcher Matchups: September 26, 2026 75 batter pitcher matchups with 5+ career AB scored across 14 games. These are tonight's biggest H2H advantages. ## Hitters to Watch Today - **Cole Young**: .600 AVG & 1.800 OPS with 1 HR in 5 AB vs. Ryan Johnson | 1+ Hit (minus 155) - **Vinnie Pasquantino**: .611 AVG & 1.849 OPS with 2 HR in 18 AB vs. Tanner Bibee | 1+ Hit (minus 163) - **Manny Machado**: .500 AVG & 1.571 OPS with 1 HR in 6 AB vs. Corbin Burnes - **David Fry**: .444 AVG & 1.333 OPS with 1 HR in 9 AB vs. Michael Wacha | 1+ Hit (minus 134) - **Miguel Vargas**: .333 AVG & 1.262 OPS with 1 HR in 6 AB vs. Jose Quintana | 2+ Hits (+190) - **Ryan O'Hearn**: .600 AVG & 1.400 OPS with 0 HR in 5 AB vs. Justin Verlander | 1+ Hit (minus 166) > **Yesterday's H2H matchups:** [MLB H2H Matchups: September 25](/blog/mlb-h2h-matchups-sep-25-2026) ## Tonight's Slate | Matchup | Pitchers | Time | |---------|----------|------| | Pittsburgh Pirates at Detroit Tigers | Lake Bachar vs Justin Verlander | 1:10 PM ET | | Cincinnati Reds at Toronto Blue Jays | Rhett Lowder vs Spencer Miles | 3:07 PM ET | | New York Mets at Washington Nationals | Jonah Tong vs Jake Irvin | 4:05 PM ET | | Los Angeles Dodgers at San Francisco Giants | Blake Snell vs Matt Wilkinson | 4:05 PM ET | | Texas Rangers at Minnesota Twins | TBD vs Bailey Ober | 4:10 PM ET | | Atlanta Braves at Miami Marlins | TBD vs Sandy Alcantara | 4:10 PM ET | | Cleveland Guardians at Kansas City Royals | Tanner Bibee vs Michael Wacha | 7:10 PM ET | | Colorado Rockies at Chicago White Sox | Jose Quintana vs Davis Martin | 7:10 PM ET | | St. Louis Cardinals at Milwaukee Brewers | Quinn Mathews vs Dustin May | 7:10 PM ET | | Chicago Cubs at Boston Red Sox | Matthew Boyd vs TBD | 7:15 PM ET | | Tampa Bay Rays at Philadelphia Phillies | Griffin Jax vs TBD | 7:15 PM ET | | Arizona Diamondbacks at San Diego Padres | Corbin Burnes vs TBD | 8:40 PM ET | | Houston Astros at Athletics | Hayden Wesneski vs Jack Perkins | 9:40 PM ET | | Los Angeles Angels at Seattle Mariners | Ryan Johnson vs Kade Anderson | 9:40 PM ET | ## 1. Cole Young (SEA) vs Ryan Johnson (RHP) 0.600 AVG, 1.800 OPS in 5 career AB | T-Mobile Park | **1+ Hit (minus 155)** *Career: 3-for-5 · .600 · 1 HR · 1 XBH · 1.800 OPS* .600 is a real number when it holds up over 5 at bats. Young sees something against Johnson that other hitters do not. Tiny sample, so treat it as directional, not definitive. A home run every 5 at bats in this matchup is well above league pace. Currently listed at 1+ Hit (minus 155). When the sample says this much, you trust it. Young has Johnson's number. I'm on his hit prop tonight. ## 2. Vinnie Pasquantino (KC) vs Tanner Bibee (RHP) 0.611 AVG, 1.849 OPS in 18 career AB | Kauffman Stadium | **1+ Hit (minus 163)** *Career: 11-for-18 · .611 · 2 HR · 5 XBH · 1.849 OPS · 1 K · 3 BB* When OPS hits 1.849 in a career H2H sample, you take it seriously. Pasquantino is 11-for-18 against Bibee with the kind of contact that drives runs. Moderate sample, and a real pattern is emerging. A home run every 9 at bats in this matchup is well above league pace. Only 1 strikeout in 18 AB shows the eye is dialed in here. Verdict: give me Pasquantino every time he steps in against Bibee. I'm on his hit prop tonight. ## 3. Manny Machado (SD) vs Corbin Burnes (RHP) 0.500 AVG, 1.571 OPS in 6 career AB | Petco Park *Career: 3-for-6 · .500 · 1 HR · 1 XBH · 1.571 OPS · 1 K · 1 BB* When OPS hits 1.571 in a career H2H sample, you take it seriously. Machado is 3-for-6 against Burnes with the kind of contact that drives runs. Small sample, but the dominance is notable. A home run every 6 at bats in this matchup is well above league pace. When the sample says this much, you trust it. Machado has Burnes's number. I want him in my lineup tonight. > Look up any pitcher vs batter career history on the [Hitter vs Pitcher dashboard](/mlb/hitting-stats). ## 4. David Fry (CLE) vs Michael Wacha (RHP) 0.444 AVG, 1.333 OPS in 9 career AB | Kauffman Stadium | **1+ Hit (minus 134)** *Career: 4-for-9 · .444 · 1 HR · 2 XBH · 1.333 OPS · 3 K* Fry's slash line against Wacha translates to a 1.333 OPS over 9 AB. That is the kind of split that turns a prop into a play. Small sample, but the dominance is notable. A home run every 9 at bats in this matchup is well above league pace. Currently listed at 1+ Hit (minus 134). The take is simple. History sides hard with Fry here. I'm on his hit prop tonight. ## 5. Miguel Vargas (CWS) vs Jose Quintana (LHP) 0.333 AVG, 1.262 OPS in 6 career AB | Rate Field | **2+ Hits (+190)** *Career: 2-for-6 · .333 · 1 HR · 1 XBH · 1.262 OPS · 1 K · 1 BB* A 1.262 career OPS against a single pitcher is rare, and Vargas owns it against Quintana across 6 at bats. That is run producing dominance, not noise. Small sample, but the dominance is notable. A home run every 6 at bats in this matchup is well above league pace. Currently listed at 2+ Hits (+190). Bottom line: Vargas owns this matchup against Quintana. I'm on his hit prop tonight. ## 6. Ryan O'Hearn (PIT) vs Justin Verlander (RHP) 0.600 AVG, 1.400 OPS in 5 career AB | Comerica Park | **1+ Hit (minus 166)** *Career: 3-for-5 · .600 · 1 XBH · 1.400 OPS · 2 K* .600 is a real number when it holds up over 5 at bats. O'Hearn sees something against Verlander that other hitters do not. Tiny sample, so treat it as directional, not definitive. Currently listed at 1+ Hit (minus 166). The take is simple. History sides hard with O'Hearn here. I'm on his hit prop tonight. ## 7. Brenton Doyle (CWS) vs Jose Quintana (LHP) 0.333 AVG, 1.166 OPS in 6 career AB | Rate Field *Career: 2-for-6 · .333 · 1 HR · 1 XBH · 1.166 OPS · 1 K* Doyle's slash line against Quintana translates to a 1.166 OPS over 6 AB. That is the kind of split that turns a prop into a play. Small sample, but the dominance is notable. A home run every 6 at bats in this matchup is well above league pace. Bottom line: Doyle owns this matchup against Quintana. I want him in my lineup tonight. ## 8. Brett Baty (NYM) vs Jake Irvin (RHP) 0.231 AVG, 1.055 OPS in 13 career AB | Nationals Park *Career: 3-for-13 · .231 · 2 HR · 3 XBH · 1.055 OPS · 2 K · 1 BB* 3 XBH in 13 AB tells you what kind of contact Baty makes when he sees Irvin. Loud, not soft. Moderate sample, and a real pattern is emerging. A home run every 7 at bats in this matchup is well above league pace. The 1.055 career OPS against this pitcher backs up the rest. The take is simple. History sides hard with Baty here. I want him in my lineup tonight. ## Hit Props to Consider - **Cole Young 1+ Hit (minus 155)**: 0.600 career AVG vs Ryan Johnson (5 AB). Implied: 61%. - **Vinnie Pasquantino 1+ Hit (minus 163)**: 0.611 career AVG vs Tanner Bibee (18 AB). Implied: 62%. - **David Fry 1+ Hit (minus 134)**: 0.444 career AVG vs Michael Wacha (9 AB). Implied: 57%. - **Miguel Vargas 2+ Hits (+190)**: 0.333 career AVG vs Jose Quintana (6 AB). Implied: 34%. - **Ryan O'Hearn 1+ Hit (minus 166)**: 0.600 career AVG vs Justin Verlander (5 AB). Implied: 62%. *Lines via Betmgm. Always shop for the best number. Confirm starting pitcher before betting.* ## Related Guides - [Hitter vs Pitcher Matchup Guide](/blog/hitter-vs-pitcher-matchup-guide) - [Finding Undervalued HR Hitters](/blog/finding-undervalued-home-run-hitters) - [MLB Stats Explained](/blog/mlb-stats-explained) ## Find More Matchups These are today's top career advantages, but every game has matchups worth looking into. Check out the [Hitter vs Pitcher dashboard](/mlb/hitting-stats) to search any batter vs pitcher career history, view full lineup matchups, and explore Statcast data for every game on the slate. Always confirm lineups and starting pitchers before placing any bets. A different arm on the mound changes the entire matchup profile, and career sample size matters. Matchups with 10 or more at bats carry significantly more weight than those with only five or six. [Dinger of the Day Picks](/blog/mlb-dinger-of-the-day-sep-26-2026) | [NRFI Picks](/blog/mlb-nrfi-picks-sep-26-2026) | [Top Plays](/top-plays) *Updated as lineups confirm. Full slate at [heatcheckhq.io](https://heatcheckhq.io).* ## Related Resources - Parent hub: [MLB Props Hub](/blog/topic/mlb-props) - Daily stream: [MLB H2H Matchup Previews](/blog/stream/mlb-h2h-matchups) - Author: [HeatCheck HQ](/blog/author/heatcheck-hq) - Browse all posts: [Sports Betting Insights & Guides](/blog) --- *Data powered by HeatCheck HQ — sports analytics platform. Free tools at https://heatcheckhq.io*