Today's best MLB batter vs pitcher matchup picks for Thursday, September 24, 2026 are Andrew Benintendi (Score: 89, 0.600 AVG, 2.400 OPS in 5 career AB vs Randy Dobnak), Tyrone Taylor (Score: 82, 0.600 AVG, 2.067 OPS in 5 career AB vs Tyler Phillips), David Fry (Score: 81, 0.800 AVG, 2.033 OPS in 5 career AB vs Ranger Suarez). Rankings are generated by HeatCheck HQ's five factor career H2H scoring model, updated daily.
MLB Batter vs Pitcher Matchups: September 24, 2026
12 games on the board. These batters have dominated their opposing pitcher over their careers.
Hitters to Watch Today
- Andrew Benintendi: .600 AVG & 2.400 OPS with 2 HR in 5 AB vs. Randy Dobnak | 1+ Hit (minus 203)
- Tyrone Taylor: .600 AVG & 2.067 OPS with 1 HR in 5 AB vs. Tyler Phillips
- David Fry: .800 AVG & 2.033 OPS with 0 HR in 5 AB vs. Ranger Suarez
- Ronald Acuña Jr.: .600 AVG & 1.867 OPS with 1 HR in 5 AB vs. Brady Singer | 1+ Hit (minus 216)
- Sean Murphy: .455 AVG & 1.637 OPS with 2 HR in 11 AB vs. Brady Singer | 1+ Hit (minus 125)
- Ke'Bryan Hayes: .583 AVG & 1.560 OPS with 1 HR in 12 AB vs. Tyler Mahle
Yesterday's H2H matchups: MLB H2H Matchups: September 23
Tonight's Slate
| Matchup | Pitchers | Time |
|---|---|---|
| St. Louis Cardinals at Pittsburgh Pirates | Kyle Leahy vs Paul Skenes | 12:35 PM ET |
| Chicago White Sox at Kansas City Royals | TBD vs Randy Dobnak | 2:10 PM ET |
| Miami Marlins at Chicago Cubs | Tyler Phillips vs TBD | 2:20 PM ET |
| New York Mets at Texas Rangers | Zac Thornton vs TBD | 2:35 PM ET |
| Arizona Diamondbacks at Colorado Rockies | Eduardo Rodriguez vs TBD | 3:10 PM ET |
| Milwaukee Brewers at Philadelphia Phillies | TBD vs Tim Mayza | 6:05 PM ET |
| Cleveland Guardians at Boston Red Sox | Joey Cantillo vs Ranger Suarez | 6:45 PM ET |
| Tampa Bay Rays at New York Yankees | Ian Seymour vs Cam Schlittler | 7:05 PM ET |
| Cincinnati Reds at Atlanta Braves | Brady Singer vs Tyler Mahle | 7:15 PM ET |
| Houston Astros at Athletics | Peter Lambert vs TBD | 9:40 PM ET |
| Los Angeles Angels at Seattle Mariners | Grayson Rodriguez vs Bryan Woo | 9:40 PM ET |
| San Diego Padres at Los Angeles Dodgers | Nick Pivetta vs Tyler Glasnow | 10:10 PM ET |
1. Andrew Benintendi (CWS) vs Randy Dobnak (RHP)
0.600 AVG, 2.400 OPS in 5 career AB | Kauffman Stadium | 1+ Hit (minus 203)
Career: 3-for-5 · .600 · 2 HR · 2 XBH · 2.400 OPS · 1 K
History speaks plainly here: Benintendi has taken Dobnak deep 2 times across 5 at bats. The matchup is the matchup.
Tiny sample, so treat it as directional, not definitive. The 2.400 career OPS against this pitcher backs up the rest. Currently listed at 1+ Hit (minus 203).
When the sample says this much, you trust it. Benintendi has Dobnak's number. I'm on his hit prop tonight.
2. Tyrone Taylor (CHC) vs Tyler Phillips (RHP)
0.600 AVG, 2.067 OPS in 5 career AB | Wrigley Field
Career: 3-for-5 · .600 · 1 HR · 2 XBH · 2.067 OPS · 1 BB
.600 is a real number when it holds up over 5 at bats. Taylor sees something against Phillips that other hitters do not.
Tiny sample, so treat it as directional, not definitive. A home run every 5 at bats in this matchup is well above league pace. Played at Wrigley Field, where wind conditions can boost offense.
Bottom line: Taylor owns this matchup against Phillips. I want him in my lineup tonight.
3. David Fry (CLE) vs Ranger Suarez (LHP)
0.800 AVG, 2.033 OPS in 5 career AB | Fenway Park
Career: 4-for-5 · .800 · 2 XBH · 2.033 OPS · 1 BB
Career batting average against Suarez: .800 in 5 AB. Fry has the kind of pitch recognition on this arm that does not show up against the rest of the league.
Tiny sample, so treat it as directional, not definitive. Played at Fenway Park, where the Green Monster inflates extra base hit rates.
The take is simple. History sides hard with Fry here. I want him in my lineup tonight.
Look up any pitcher vs batter career history on the Hitter vs Pitcher dashboard.
4. Ronald Acuña Jr. (ATL) vs Brady Singer (RHP)
0.600 AVG, 1.867 OPS in 5 career AB | Truist Park | 1+ Hit (minus 216)
Career: 3-for-5 · .600 · 1 HR · 1 XBH · 1.867 OPS · 1 BB
Career batting average against Singer: .600 in 5 AB. Jr. has the kind of pitch recognition on this arm that does not show up against the rest of the league.
Tiny sample, so treat it as directional, not definitive. A home run every 5 at bats in this matchup is well above league pace. Currently listed at 1+ Hit (minus 216).
Bottom line: Jr. owns this matchup against Singer. I'm on his hit prop tonight.
5. Sean Murphy (ATL) vs Brady Singer (RHP)
0.455 AVG, 1.637 OPS in 11 career AB | Truist Park | 1+ Hit (minus 125)
Career: 5-for-11 · .455 · 2 HR · 4 XBH · 1.637 OPS · 3 K
When OPS hits 1.637 in a career H2H sample, you take it seriously. Murphy is 5-for-11 against Singer with the kind of contact that drives runs.
Moderate sample, and a real pattern is emerging. A home run every 6 at bats in this matchup is well above league pace. 4 extra base hits in 11 AB. When he connects, the ball gets out of the infield in a hurry.
The take is simple. History sides hard with Murphy here. I'm on his hit prop tonight.
6. Ke'Bryan Hayes (CIN) vs Tyler Mahle (RHP)
0.583 AVG, 1.560 OPS in 12 career AB | Truist Park
Career: 7-for-12 · .583 · 1 HR · 2 XBH · 1.560 OPS · 1 K · 2 BB
Hayes's slash line against Mahle translates to a 1.560 OPS over 12 AB. That is the kind of split that turns a prop into a play.
Moderate sample, and a real pattern is emerging. A home run every 12 at bats in this matchup is well above league pace. Only 1 strikeout in 12 AB shows the eye is dialed in here.
The take is simple. History sides hard with Hayes here. I want him in my lineup tonight.
7. Will Smith (LAD) vs Nick Pivetta (RHP)
0.429 AVG, 1.375 OPS in 7 career AB | UNIQLO Field at Dodger Stadium | 1+ Hit (minus 189)
Career: 3-for-7 · .429 · 1 HR · 2 XBH · 1.375 OPS · 2 K
A 1.375 career OPS against a single pitcher is rare, and Smith owns it against Pivetta across 7 at bats. That is run producing dominance, not noise.
Small sample, but the dominance is notable. A home run every 7 at bats in this matchup is well above league pace. Currently listed at 1+ Hit (minus 189).
Verdict: give me Smith every time he steps in against Pivetta. I'm on his hit prop tonight.
Hit Props to Consider
- Andrew Benintendi 1+ Hit (minus 203): 0.600 career AVG vs Randy Dobnak (5 AB). Implied: 67%.
- Ronald Acuña Jr. 1+ Hit (minus 216): 0.600 career AVG vs Brady Singer (5 AB). Implied: 68%.
- Sean Murphy 1+ Hit (minus 125): 0.455 career AVG vs Brady Singer (11 AB). Implied: 56%.
- Will Smith 1+ Hit (minus 189): 0.429 career AVG vs Nick Pivetta (7 AB). Implied: 65%.
Lines via Draftkings. Always shop for the best number. Confirm starting pitcher before betting.
Related Guides
Find More Matchups
These are today's top career advantages, but every game has matchups worth looking into. Check out the Hitter vs Pitcher dashboard to search any batter vs pitcher career history, view full lineup matchups, and explore Statcast data for every game on the slate.
Always confirm lineups and starting pitchers before placing any bets. A different arm on the mound changes the entire matchup profile, and career sample size matters. Matchups with 10 or more at bats carry significantly more weight than those with only five or six.
Dinger of the Day Picks | NRFI Picks | Top Plays
Updated as lineups confirm. Full slate at heatcheckhq.io.
Related Resources
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