Today's best MLB batter vs pitcher matchup picks for Wednesday, September 16, 2026 are George Springer (Score: 97, 0.667 AVG, 2.500 OPS in 6 career AB vs Keider Montero), Bobby Witt Jr. (Score: 86, 0.600 AVG, 2.267 OPS in 5 career AB vs Cristian Javier), Jackson Chourio (Score: 71, 0.600 AVG, 1.800 OPS in 5 career AB vs Jared Jones). Rankings are generated by HeatCheck HQ's five factor career H2H scoring model, updated daily.
MLB Batter vs Pitcher Matchups: September 16, 2026
15 game slate, 91 qualified matchups. These career head to head lines stand out.
Hitters to Watch Today
- George Springer: .667 AVG & 2.500 OPS with 2 HR in 6 AB vs. Keider Montero | 1+ Hit (minus 253)
- Bobby Witt Jr.: .600 AVG & 2.267 OPS with 1 HR in 5 AB vs. Cristian Javier | 1+ Hit (minus 220)
- Jackson Chourio: .600 AVG & 1.800 OPS with 1 HR in 5 AB vs. Jared Jones | 2+ Hits (+193)
- Ben Rice: .500 AVG & 1.556 OPS with 1 HR in 8 AB vs. Zebby Matthews | 1+ Hit (minus 251)
- Otto Lopez: .600 AVG & 1.500 OPS with 0 HR in 10 AB vs. Merrill Kelly | 1+ Hit (minus 251)
- Travis d'Arnaud: .400 AVG & 1.400 OPS with 1 HR in 5 AB vs. George Kirby
Yesterday's H2H matchups: MLB H2H Matchups: September 15
Tonight's Slate
| Matchup | Pitchers | Time |
|---|---|---|
| Chicago White Sox at Cleveland Guardians | Anthony Kay vs Parker Messick | 1:10 PM ET |
| San Francisco Giants at St. Louis Cardinals | Anthony Molina vs Matthew Liberatore | 1:15 PM ET |
| New York Yankees at Minnesota Twins | Carlos Rodón vs Zebby Matthews | 1:40 PM ET |
| Detroit Tigers at Toronto Blue Jays | Keider Montero vs Max Scherzer | 3:07 PM ET |
| Los Angeles Dodgers at Cincinnati Reds | Blake Snell vs Andrew Abbott | 6:40 PM ET |
| Athletics at Tampa Bay Rays | Brady Basso vs Nick Martinez | 6:40 PM ET |
| Milwaukee Brewers at Pittsburgh Pirates | Logan Henderson vs Jared Jones | 6:40 PM ET |
| Philadelphia Phillies at Washington Nationals | Zack Wheeler vs Jared Simpson | 6:45 PM ET |
| Baltimore Orioles at New York Mets | Chris Bassitt vs Robert Stock | 7:10 PM ET |
| Atlanta Braves at Chicago Cubs | JR Ritchie vs Shota Imanaga | 7:40 PM ET |
| Boston Red Sox at Texas Rangers | Jake Bennett vs MacKenzie Gore | 8:05 PM ET |
| Kansas City Royals at Houston Astros | Daniel Lynch IV vs Cristian Javier | 8:10 PM ET |
| San Diego Padres at Colorado Rockies | Robbie Ray vs Mason Adams | 8:40 PM ET |
| Seattle Mariners at Los Angeles Angels | George Kirby vs Yusei Kikuchi | 9:38 PM ET |
| Miami Marlins at Arizona Diamondbacks | Ryan Gusto vs Merrill Kelly | 9:40 PM ET |
1. George Springer (TOR) vs Keider Montero (RHP)
0.667 AVG, 2.500 OPS in 6 career AB | Rogers Centre | 1+ Hit (minus 253)
Career: 4-for-6 · .667 · 2 HR · 3 XBH · 2.500 OPS · 1 K
When OPS hits 2.500 in a career H2H sample, you take it seriously. Springer is 4-for-6 against Montero with the kind of contact that drives runs.
Small sample, but the dominance is notable. A home run every 3 at bats in this matchup is well above league pace. Currently listed at 1+ Hit (minus 253).
When the sample says this much, you trust it. Springer has Montero's number. I'm on his hit prop tonight.
2. Bobby Witt Jr. (KC) vs Cristian Javier (RHP)
0.600 AVG, 2.267 OPS in 5 career AB | Daikin Park | 1+ Hit (minus 220)
Career: 3-for-5 · .600 · 1 HR · 2 XBH · 2.267 OPS · 1 BB
Jr. is 3-for-5 (.600) lifetime against Javier. He sees this pitcher well and the at bats keep coming back as hits.
Tiny sample, so treat it as directional, not definitive. A home run every 5 at bats in this matchup is well above league pace. Currently listed at 1+ Hit (minus 220).
Bottom line: Jr. owns this matchup against Javier. I'm on his hit prop tonight.
3. Jackson Chourio (MIL) vs Jared Jones (RHP)
0.600 AVG, 1.800 OPS in 5 career AB | PNC Park | 2+ Hits (+193)
Career: 3-for-5 · .600 · 1 HR · 1 XBH · 1.800 OPS · 1 K
Chourio is 3-for-5 (.600) lifetime against Jones. He sees this pitcher well and the at bats keep coming back as hits.
Tiny sample, so treat it as directional, not definitive. A home run every 5 at bats in this matchup is well above league pace. Currently listed at 2+ Hits (+193).
The take is simple. History sides hard with Chourio here. I'm on his hit prop tonight.
Look up any pitcher vs batter career history on the Hitter vs Pitcher dashboard.
4. Ben Rice (NYY) vs Zebby Matthews (RHP)
0.500 AVG, 1.556 OPS in 8 career AB | Target Field | 1+ Hit (minus 251)
Career: 4-for-8 · .500 · 1 HR · 2 XBH · 1.556 OPS · 1 BB
A 1.556 career OPS against a single pitcher is rare, and Rice owns it against Matthews across 8 at bats. That is run producing dominance, not noise.
Small sample, but the dominance is notable. A home run every 8 at bats in this matchup is well above league pace. Only 0 strikeouts in 8 AB shows the eye is dialed in here.
When the sample says this much, you trust it. Rice has Matthews's number. I'm on his hit prop tonight.
5. Otto Lopez (MIA) vs Merrill Kelly (RHP)
0.600 AVG, 1.500 OPS in 10 career AB | Chase Field | 1+ Hit (minus 251)
Career: 6-for-10 · .600 · 3 XBH · 1.500 OPS · 2 K
When OPS hits 1.500 in a career H2H sample, you take it seriously. Lopez is 6-for-10 against Kelly with the kind of contact that drives runs.
Small sample, but the dominance is notable. 3 extra base hits in 10 AB. When he connects, the ball gets out of the infield in a hurry. Played at Chase Field, which plays hitter friendly with the roof closed.
Verdict: give me Lopez every time he steps in against Kelly. I'm on his hit prop tonight.
6. Travis d'Arnaud (LAA) vs George Kirby (RHP)
0.400 AVG, 1.400 OPS in 5 career AB | Angel Stadium
Career: 2-for-5 · .400 · 1 HR · 1 XBH · 1.400 OPS
.400 is a real number when it holds up over 5 at bats. d'Arnaud sees something against Kirby that other hitters do not.
Tiny sample, so treat it as directional, not definitive. A home run every 5 at bats in this matchup is well above league pace.
When the sample says this much, you trust it. d'Arnaud has Kirby's number. I want him in my lineup tonight.
7. Willson Contreras (BOS) vs MacKenzie Gore (LHP)
0.563 AVG, 1.549 OPS in 16 career AB | Globe Life Field | 1+ Hit (minus 177)
Career: 9-for-16 · .563 · 1 HR · 4 XBH · 1.549 OPS · 4 K · 1 BB
When OPS hits 1.549 in a career H2H sample, you take it seriously. Contreras is 9-for-16 against Gore with the kind of contact that drives runs.
Moderate sample, and a real pattern is emerging. 4 extra base hits in 16 AB. When he connects, the ball gets out of the infield in a hurry. Played at Globe Life Field, where the ball carries indoors.
The take is simple. History sides hard with Contreras here. I'm on his hit prop tonight.
8. Drake Baldwin (ATL) vs Shota Imanaga (LHP)
0.333 AVG, 1.333 OPS in 6 career AB | Wrigley Field | 1+ Hit (minus 193)
Career: 2-for-6 · .333 · 1 HR · 2 XBH · 1.333 OPS · 1 K
When OPS hits 1.333 in a career H2H sample, you take it seriously. Baldwin is 2-for-6 against Imanaga with the kind of contact that drives runs.
Small sample, but the dominance is notable. A home run every 6 at bats in this matchup is well above league pace. Played at Wrigley Field, where wind conditions can boost offense.
When the sample says this much, you trust it. Baldwin has Imanaga's number. I'm on his hit prop tonight.
Hit Props to Consider
- George Springer 1+ Hit (minus 253): 0.667 career AVG vs Keider Montero (6 AB). Implied: 72%.
- Bobby Witt Jr. 1+ Hit (minus 220): 0.600 career AVG vs Cristian Javier (5 AB). Implied: 69%.
- Jackson Chourio 2+ Hits (+193): 0.600 career AVG vs Jared Jones (5 AB). Implied: 34%.
- Ben Rice 1+ Hit (minus 251): 0.500 career AVG vs Zebby Matthews (8 AB). Implied: 72%.
- Otto Lopez 1+ Hit (minus 251): 0.600 career AVG vs Merrill Kelly (10 AB). Implied: 72%.
- Willson Contreras 1+ Hit (minus 177): 0.563 career AVG vs MacKenzie Gore (16 AB). Implied: 64%.
- Drake Baldwin 1+ Hit (minus 193): 0.333 career AVG vs Shota Imanaga (6 AB). Implied: 66%.
Lines via Draftkings. Always shop for the best number. Confirm starting pitcher before betting.
Related Guides
Find More Matchups
These are today's top career advantages, but every game has matchups worth looking into. Check out the Hitter vs Pitcher dashboard to search any batter vs pitcher career history, view full lineup matchups, and explore Statcast data for every game on the slate.
Always confirm lineups and starting pitchers before placing any bets. A different arm on the mound changes the entire matchup profile, and career sample size matters. Matchups with 10 or more at bats carry significantly more weight than those with only five or six.
Dinger of the Day Picks | NRFI Picks | Top Plays
Updated as lineups confirm. Full slate at heatcheckhq.io.
Related Resources
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- Author: HeatCheck HQ
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