# MLB Batter vs Pitcher Matchups: May 7, 2026 - Today's Best H2H Advantages > Data-driven batter vs pitcher matchup picks for today's 10-game MLB slate. Career H2H stats scored across AVG, OPS, HR rate, XBH rate, and contact quality. **Date:** 2026-05-07 **Author:** HeatCheck HQ **Tags:** MLB, Batter vs Pitcher, H2H Matchups, MLB Props, Daily Picks, Player Props **Full article:** https://heatcheckhq.io/blog/mlb-h2h-matchups-may-7-2026 **Live picks & dashboards:** https://heatcheckhq.io --- **Today's best MLB batter vs pitcher matchup picks for Thursday, May 7, 2026** are Aaron Judge (Score: 84 — 0.429 AVG, 1.842 OPS in 7 career AB vs MacKenzie Gore), Corey Seager (Score: 83 — 0.429 AVG, 1.786 OPS in 7 career AB vs Paul Blackburn), Spencer Steer (Score: 76 — 0.500 AVG, 1.571 OPS in 6 career AB vs Shota Imanaga). Rankings are generated by HeatCheck HQ's 5-factor career H2H scoring model, updated daily. # MLB Batter vs Pitcher Matchups - May 7, 2026 56 career matchups scored, 10 games. Here's where history favors the hitter. ## Hitters to Watch Today - **Aaron Judge** — .429 AVG & 1.842 OPS with 2 HR in 7 AB vs. MacKenzie Gore | 1+ Hit (-220) - **Corey Seager** — .429 AVG & 1.786 OPS with 2 HR in 7 AB vs. Paul Blackburn | 1+ Hit (-208) - **Spencer Steer** — .500 AVG & 1.571 OPS with 1 HR in 6 AB vs. Shota Imanaga | 1+ Hit (-153) - **Manny Machado** — .400 AVG & 1.500 OPS with 1 HR in 5 AB vs. Matthew Liberatore | 1+ Hit (-203) - **Ryan O'Hearn** — .500 AVG & 1.455 OPS with 1 HR in 12 AB vs. Zac Gallen - **Miguel Andujar** — .667 AVG & 1.556 OPS with 0 HR in 9 AB vs. Matthew Liberatore | 1+ Hit (-273) > **Yesterday's H2H matchups:** [MLB H2H Matchups - May 6](/blog/mlb-h2h-matchups-may-6-2026) ## Tonight's Slate | Matchup | Pitchers | Time | |---------|----------|------| | TEX @ NYY | MacKenzie Gore vs Paul Blackburn | 12:35 PM ET | | MIN @ WSH | Simeon Woods Richardson vs Jake Irvin | 1:05 PM ET | | CLE @ KC | Slade Cecconi vs Seth Lugo | 2:10 PM ET | | CIN @ CHC | Rhett Lowder vs Shota Imanaga | 2:20 PM ET | | NYM @ COL | Christian Scott vs Jose Quintana | 3:10 PM ET | | PIT @ AZ | Mitch Keller vs Zac Gallen | 3:40 PM ET | | ATH @ PHI | J.T. Ginn vs Andrew Painter | 6:40 PM ET | | BAL @ MIA | Cade Povich vs Max Meyer | 6:40 PM ET | | TB @ BOS | Griffin Jax vs Jake Bennett | 7:10 PM ET | | STL @ SD | Matthew Liberatore vs Michael King | 10:10 PM ET | ## 1. Aaron Judge (NYY) vs MacKenzie Gore (LHP) 0.429 AVG, 1.842 OPS in 7 career AB | Yankee Stadium | **1+ Hit (-220)** *Career: 3-for-7 · .429 · 2 HR · 2 XBH · 1.842 OPS · 2 K · 2 BB* When OPS hits 1.842 in a career H2H sample, you take it seriously. Judge is 3-for-7 against Gore with the kind of contact that drives runs. Small sample, but the dominance is notable. A home run every 4 at-bats in this matchup is well above league pace. Played at Yankee Stadium, with its short right-field porch. ## 2. Corey Seager (TEX) vs Paul Blackburn (RHP) 0.429 AVG, 1.786 OPS in 7 career AB | Yankee Stadium | **1+ Hit (-208)** *Career: 3-for-7 · .429 · 2 HR · 2 XBH · 1.786 OPS · 2 K* When OPS hits 1.786 in a career H2H sample, you take it seriously. Seager is 3-for-7 against Blackburn with the kind of contact that drives runs. Small sample, but the dominance is notable. A home run every 4 at-bats in this matchup is well above league pace. Played at Yankee Stadium, with its short right-field porch. ## 3. Spencer Steer (CIN) vs Shota Imanaga (LHP) 0.500 AVG, 1.571 OPS in 6 career AB | Wrigley Field | **1+ Hit (-153)** *Career: 3-for-6 · .500 · 1 HR · 1 XBH · 1.571 OPS · 1 BB* Steer's slash line against Imanaga translates to a 1.571 OPS over 6 AB. That is the kind of split that turns a prop into a play. Small sample, but the dominance is notable. A home run every 6 at-bats in this matchup is well above league pace. Played at Wrigley Field, where wind conditions can boost offense. > Look up any pitcher vs batter career history on the [Hitter vs Pitcher dashboard](/mlb/hitting-stats). ## 4. Manny Machado (SD) vs Matthew Liberatore (LHP) 0.400 AVG, 1.500 OPS in 5 career AB | Petco Park | **1+ Hit (-203)** *Career: 2-for-5 · .400 · 1 HR · 1 XBH · 1.500 OPS* Machado is 2-for-5 (.400) lifetime against Liberatore. He sees this pitcher well and the at-bats keep coming back as hits. Tiny sample — treat as directional, not definitive. A home run every 5 at-bats in this matchup is well above league pace. Currently listed at 1+ Hit (-203). ## 5. Ryan O'Hearn (PIT) vs Zac Gallen (RHP) 0.500 AVG, 1.455 OPS in 12 career AB | Chase Field *Career: 6-for-12 · .500 · 1 HR · 3 XBH · 1.455 OPS · 1 K · 1 BB* A 1.455 career OPS against a single pitcher is rare — and O'Hearn owns it against Gallen across 12 at-bats. That is run-producing dominance, not noise. Moderate sample — a real pattern is emerging. A home run every 12 at-bats in this matchup is well above league pace. Only 1 strikeout in 12 AB shows the eye is dialed in here. ## 6. Miguel Andujar (SD) vs Matthew Liberatore (LHP) 0.667 AVG, 1.556 OPS in 9 career AB | Petco Park | **1+ Hit (-273)** *Career: 6-for-9 · .667 · 1 XBH · 1.556 OPS · 1 K* When OPS hits 1.556 in a career H2H sample, you take it seriously. Andujar is 6-for-9 against Liberatore with the kind of contact that drives runs. Small sample, but the dominance is notable. Only 1 strikeout in 9 AB shows the eye is dialed in here. Currently listed at 1+ Hit (-273). ## 7. Wilyer Abreu (BOS) vs Griffin Jax (RHP) 0.400 AVG, 1.400 OPS in 5 career AB | Fenway Park | **1+ Hit (-215)** *Career: 2-for-5 · .400 · 1 HR · 1 XBH · 1.400 OPS · 1 K* Career batting average against Jax: .400 in 5 AB. Abreu has the kind of pitch recognition on this arm that does not show up against the rest of the league. Tiny sample — treat as directional, not definitive. A home run every 5 at-bats in this matchup is well above league pace. Played at Fenway Park, where the Green Monster inflates extra-base hit rates. ## 8. Bo Naylor (CLE) vs Seth Lugo (RHP) 0.500 AVG, 1.167 OPS in 6 career AB | Kauffman Stadium | **1+ Hit (-152)** *Career: 3-for-6 · .500 · 1 XBH · 1.167 OPS* A 1.167 career OPS against a single pitcher is rare — and Naylor owns it against Lugo across 6 at-bats. That is run-producing dominance, not noise. Small sample, but the dominance is notable. Currently listed at 1+ Hit (-152). ## Hit Props to Consider - **Aaron Judge 1+ Hit (-220)** — 0.429 career AVG vs MacKenzie Gore (7 AB). Implied: 69%. - **Corey Seager 1+ Hit (-208)** — 0.429 career AVG vs Paul Blackburn (7 AB). Implied: 68%. - **Spencer Steer 1+ Hit (-153)** — 0.500 career AVG vs Shota Imanaga (6 AB). Implied: 60%. - **Manny Machado 1+ Hit (-203)** — 0.400 career AVG vs Matthew Liberatore (5 AB). Implied: 67%. - **Miguel Andujar 1+ Hit (-273)** — 0.667 career AVG vs Matthew Liberatore (9 AB). Implied: 73%. - **Wilyer Abreu 1+ Hit (-215)** — 0.400 career AVG vs Griffin Jax (5 AB). Implied: 68%. - **Bo Naylor 1+ Hit (-152)** — 0.500 career AVG vs Seth Lugo (6 AB). Implied: 60%. *Lines via Draftkings. Always shop for the best number. Confirm starting pitcher before betting.* ## Related Guides - [Hitter vs Pitcher Matchup Guide](/blog/hitter-vs-pitcher-matchup-guide) - [Finding Undervalued HR Hitters](/blog/finding-undervalued-home-run-hitters) - [MLB Stats Explained](/blog/mlb-stats-explained) ## Find More Matchups These are today's top career advantages, but every game has matchups worth looking into. Check out the [Hitter vs Pitcher dashboard](/mlb/hitting-stats) to search any batter vs pitcher career history, view full lineup matchups, and explore Statcast data for every game on the slate. Always confirm lineups and starting pitchers before placing any bets. A different arm on the mound changes the entire matchup profile, and career sample size matters. Matchups with 10 or more at bats carry significantly more weight than those with only five or six. [Dinger of the Day Picks](/blog/mlb-dinger-of-the-day-may-7-2026) | [NRFI Picks](/blog/mlb-nrfi-picks-may-7-2026) | [Top Plays](/top-plays) *Updated as lineups confirm. Full slate at [heatcheckhq.io](https://heatcheckhq.io).* ## Related Resources - Parent hub: [MLB Props Hub](/blog/topic/mlb-props) - Daily stream: [MLB H2H Matchup Previews](/blog/stream/mlb-h2h-matchups) - Author: [HeatCheck HQ](/blog/author/heatcheck-hq) - Browse all posts: [Sports Betting Insights & Guides](/blog) --- *Data powered by HeatCheck HQ — sports analytics platform. Free tools at https://heatcheckhq.io*