# MLB Batter vs Pitcher Matchups: May 26, 2026 - Today's Best H2H Advantages > MLB batter vs pitcher matchups for May 26, 2026 - Trent Grisham leads the board across 15 games. Career head-to-head data analyzed and scored. **Date:** 2026-05-26 **Author:** HeatCheck HQ **Tags:** MLB, Batter vs Pitcher, H2H Matchups, MLB Props, Daily Picks, Player Props **Full article:** https://heatcheckhq.io/blog/mlb-h2h-matchups-may-26-2026 **Live picks & dashboards:** https://heatcheckhq.io --- **Today's best MLB batter vs pitcher matchup picks for Tuesday, May 26, 2026** are Trent Grisham (Score: 100 — 1.000 AVG, 3.800 OPS in 5 career AB vs Bailey Falter), Ketel Marte (Score: 60 — 0.667 AVG, 2.109 OPS in 12 career AB vs Tyler Mahle), Shohei Ohtani (Score: 56 — 0.636 AVG, 1.940 OPS in 11 career AB vs Kyle Freeland). Rankings are generated by HeatCheck HQ's 5-factor career H2H scoring model, updated daily. # MLB Batter vs Pitcher Matchups - May 26, 2026 15 games on the board. These batters have dominated their opposing pitcher over their careers. ## Hitters to Watch Today - **Trent Grisham** — 1.000 AVG & 3.800 OPS with 3 HR in 5 AB vs. Bailey Falter | 1+ Hit (-200) - **Ketel Marte** — .667 AVG & 2.109 OPS with 2 HR in 12 AB vs. Tyler Mahle | 1+ Hit (-255) - **Shohei Ohtani** — .636 AVG & 1.940 OPS with 2 HR in 11 AB vs. Kyle Freeland | 2+ Hits (+187) - **Andy Pages** — .571 AVG & 1.768 OPS with 1 HR in 7 AB vs. Kyle Freeland | 2+ Hits (+178) - **Casey Schmitt** — .600 AVG & 1.867 OPS with 1 HR in 5 AB vs. Eduardo Rodriguez | 1+ Hit (-233) - **Harrison Bader** — .400 AVG & 1.625 OPS with 1 HR in 5 AB vs. Eduardo Rodriguez | 1+ Hit (-176) > **Yesterday's H2H matchups:** [MLB H2H Matchups - May 25](/blog/mlb-h2h-matchups-may-25-2026) ## Tonight's Slate | Matchup | Pitchers | Time | |---------|----------|------| | WSH @ CLE | Cade Cavalli vs Joey Cantillo | 6:10 PM ET | | TB @ BAL | Griffin Jax vs Shane Baz | 6:35 PM ET | | LAA @ DET | Jack Kochanowicz vs Keider Montero | 6:40 PM ET | | CHC @ PIT | Jordan Wicks vs Braxton Ashcraft | 6:40 PM ET | | ATL @ BOS | Spencer Strider vs Ranger Suarez | 6:45 PM ET | | MIA @ TOR | Sandy Alcantara vs Braydon Fisher | 7:07 PM ET | | CIN @ NYM | Chase Burns vs TBD | 7:10 PM ET | | MIN @ CWS | Joe Ryan vs Sean Burke | 7:40 PM ET | | NYY @ KC | Cam Schlittler vs Bailey Falter | 7:40 PM ET | | STL @ MIL | Michael McGreevy vs Kyle Harrison | 7:40 PM ET | | HOU @ TEX | Jason Alexander vs Jack Leiter | 8:05 PM ET | | SEA @ ATH | Emerson Hancock vs Luis Severino | 9:40 PM ET | | PHI @ SD | Aaron Nola vs Randy Vásquez | 9:40 PM ET | | AZ @ SF | Eduardo Rodriguez vs Tyler Mahle | 9:45 PM ET | | COL @ LAD | Kyle Freeland vs Eric Lauer | 10:10 PM ET | ## 1. Trent Grisham (NYY) vs Bailey Falter (LHP) 1.000 AVG, 3.800 OPS in 5 career AB | Kauffman Stadium | **1+ Hit (-200)** *Career: 5-for-5 · 1.000 · 3 HR · 3 XBH · 3.800 OPS* History speaks plainly here: Grisham has taken Falter deep 3 times across 5 at-bats. The matchup is the matchup. Tiny sample — treat as directional, not definitive. The 3.800 career OPS against this pitcher backs up the rest. Currently listed at 1+ Hit (-200). ## 2. Ketel Marte (AZ) vs Tyler Mahle (RHP) 0.667 AVG, 2.109 OPS in 12 career AB | Oracle Park | **1+ Hit (-255)** *Career: 8-for-12 · .667 · 2 HR · 5 XBH · 2.109 OPS · 2 K · 1 BB* When OPS hits 2.109 in a career H2H sample, you take it seriously. Marte is 8-for-12 against Mahle with the kind of contact that drives runs. Moderate sample — a real pattern is emerging. A home run every 6 at-bats in this matchup is well above league pace. 5 extra-base hits in 12 AB — when he connects, the ball gets out of the infield in a hurry. ## 3. Shohei Ohtani (LAD) vs Kyle Freeland (LHP) 0.636 AVG, 1.940 OPS in 11 career AB | UNIQLO Field at Dodger Stadium | **2+ Hits (+187)** *Career: 7-for-11 · .636 · 2 HR · 3 XBH · 1.940 OPS · 1 K · 1 BB* A 1.940 career OPS against a single pitcher is rare — and Ohtani owns it against Freeland across 11 at-bats. That is run-producing dominance, not noise. Moderate sample — a real pattern is emerging. A home run every 6 at-bats in this matchup is well above league pace. Only 1 strikeout in 11 AB shows the eye is dialed in here. > Look up any pitcher vs batter career history on the [Hitter vs Pitcher dashboard](/mlb/hitting-stats). ## 4. Andy Pages (LAD) vs Kyle Freeland (LHP) 0.571 AVG, 1.768 OPS in 7 career AB | UNIQLO Field at Dodger Stadium | **2+ Hits (+178)** *Career: 4-for-7 · .571 · 1 HR · 2 XBH · 1.768 OPS · 1 BB* When OPS hits 1.768 in a career H2H sample, you take it seriously. Pages is 4-for-7 against Freeland with the kind of contact that drives runs. Small sample, but the dominance is notable. A home run every 7 at-bats in this matchup is well above league pace. Currently listed at 2+ Hits (+178). ## 5. Casey Schmitt (SF) vs Eduardo Rodriguez (LHP) 0.600 AVG, 1.867 OPS in 5 career AB | Oracle Park | **1+ Hit (-233)** *Career: 3-for-5 · .600 · 1 HR · 1 XBH · 1.867 OPS · 1 K · 1 BB* Schmitt is 3-for-5 (.600) lifetime against Rodriguez. He sees this pitcher well and the at-bats keep coming back as hits. Tiny sample — treat as directional, not definitive. A home run every 5 at-bats in this matchup is well above league pace. Currently listed at 1+ Hit (-233). ## 6. Harrison Bader (SF) vs Eduardo Rodriguez (LHP) 0.400 AVG, 1.625 OPS in 5 career AB | Oracle Park | **1+ Hit (-176)** *Career: 2-for-5 · .400 · 1 HR · 1 XBH · 1.625 OPS · 3 BB* Bader is 2-for-5 (.400) lifetime against Rodriguez. He sees this pitcher well and the at-bats keep coming back as hits. Tiny sample — treat as directional, not definitive. A home run every 5 at-bats in this matchup is well above league pace. Currently listed at 1+ Hit (-176). ## 7. Colt Keith (DET) vs Jack Kochanowicz (RHP) 0.400 AVG, 1.571 OPS in 5 career AB | Comerica Park | **1+ Hit (-207)** *Career: 2-for-5 · .400 · 1 HR · 1 XBH · 1.571 OPS · 2 BB* .400 is a real number when it holds up over 5 at-bats. Keith sees something against Kochanowicz that other hitters do not. Tiny sample — treat as directional, not definitive. A home run every 5 at-bats in this matchup is well above league pace. Currently listed at 1+ Hit (-207). ## 8. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (TOR) vs Sandy Alcantara (RHP) 0.455 AVG, 1.273 OPS in 11 career AB | Rogers Centre | **2+ Hits (+177)** *Career: 5-for-11 · .455 · 1 HR · 2 XBH · 1.273 OPS* Jr.'s slash line against Alcantara translates to a 1.273 OPS over 11 AB. That is the kind of split that turns a prop into a play. Moderate sample — a real pattern is emerging. A home run every 11 at-bats in this matchup is well above league pace. Only 0 strikeouts in 11 AB shows the eye is dialed in here. ## Hit Props to Consider - **Trent Grisham 1+ Hit (-200)** — 1.000 career AVG vs Bailey Falter (5 AB). Implied: 67%. - **Ketel Marte 1+ Hit (-255)** — 0.667 career AVG vs Tyler Mahle (12 AB). Implied: 72%. - **Shohei Ohtani 2+ Hits (+187)** — 0.636 career AVG vs Kyle Freeland (11 AB). Implied: 35%. - **Andy Pages 2+ Hits (+178)** — 0.571 career AVG vs Kyle Freeland (7 AB). Implied: 36%. - **Casey Schmitt 1+ Hit (-233)** — 0.600 career AVG vs Eduardo Rodriguez (5 AB). Implied: 70%. - **Harrison Bader 1+ Hit (-176)** — 0.400 career AVG vs Eduardo Rodriguez (5 AB). Implied: 64%. - **Colt Keith 1+ Hit (-207)** — 0.400 career AVG vs Jack Kochanowicz (5 AB). Implied: 67%. - **Vladimir Guerrero Jr. 2+ Hits (+177)** — 0.455 career AVG vs Sandy Alcantara (11 AB). Implied: 36%. *Lines via Betmgm. Always shop for the best number. Confirm starting pitcher before betting.* ## Related Guides - [Hitter vs Pitcher Matchup Guide](/blog/hitter-vs-pitcher-matchup-guide) - [Finding Undervalued HR Hitters](/blog/finding-undervalued-home-run-hitters) - [MLB Stats Explained](/blog/mlb-stats-explained) ## Find More Matchups These are today's top career advantages, but every game has matchups worth looking into. Check out the [Hitter vs Pitcher dashboard](/mlb/hitting-stats) to search any batter vs pitcher career history, view full lineup matchups, and explore Statcast data for every game on the slate. Always confirm lineups and starting pitchers before placing any bets. A different arm on the mound changes the entire matchup profile, and career sample size matters. Matchups with 10 or more at bats carry significantly more weight than those with only five or six. [Dinger of the Day Picks](/blog/mlb-dinger-of-the-day-may-26-2026) | [NRFI Picks](/blog/mlb-nrfi-picks-may-26-2026) | [Top Plays](/top-plays) *Updated as lineups confirm. Full slate at [heatcheckhq.io](https://heatcheckhq.io).* ## Related Resources - Parent hub: [MLB Props Hub](/blog/topic/mlb-props) - Daily stream: [MLB H2H Matchup Previews](/blog/stream/mlb-h2h-matchups) - Author: [HeatCheck HQ](/blog/author/heatcheck-hq) - Browse all posts: [Sports Betting Insights & Guides](/blog) --- *Data powered by HeatCheck HQ — sports analytics platform. Free tools at https://heatcheckhq.io*