# MLB Batter vs Pitcher Matchups: May 11, 2026 - Today's Best H2H Advantages

> MLB batter vs pitcher matchups for May 11, 2026 - Geraldo Perdomo leads the board across 6 games. Career head-to-head data analyzed and scored.

**Date:** 2026-05-11  
**Author:** HeatCheck HQ  
**Tags:** MLB, Batter vs Pitcher, H2H Matchups, MLB Props, Daily Picks, Player Props  
**Full article:** https://heatcheckhq.io/blog/mlb-h2h-matchups-may-11-2026  
**Live picks & dashboards:** https://heatcheckhq.io

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**Today's best MLB batter vs pitcher matchup picks for Monday, May 11, 2026** are Geraldo Perdomo (Score: 97 — 0.600 AVG, 1.800 OPS in 5 career AB vs Nathan Eovaldi), Joc Pederson (Score: 97 — 0.600 AVG, 1.800 OPS in 5 career AB vs Michael Soroka), Chandler Simpson (Score: 71 — 0.556 AVG, 1.334 OPS in 9 career AB vs Kevin Gausman). Rankings are generated by HeatCheck HQ's 5-factor career H2H scoring model, updated daily.

# MLB Batter vs Pitcher Matchups - May 11, 2026

6 games on the board. These batters have dominated their opposing pitcher over their careers.

## Hitters to Watch Today

- **Geraldo Perdomo** — .600 AVG & 1.800 OPS with 1 HR in 5 AB vs. Nathan Eovaldi | 1+ Hit (-205)
- **Joc Pederson** — .600 AVG & 1.800 OPS with 1 HR in 5 AB vs. Michael Soroka | 1+ Hit (-125)
- **Chandler Simpson** — .556 AVG & 1.334 OPS with 0 HR in 9 AB vs. Kevin Gausman
- **Corbin Carroll** — .375 AVG & 1.250 OPS with 1 HR in 8 AB vs. Nathan Eovaldi | 1+ Hit (-192)
- **Yandy Díaz** — .467 AVG & 1.196 OPS with 1 HR in 15 AB vs. Kevin Gausman
- **Cam Smith** — .500 AVG & 1.071 OPS with 0 HR in 6 AB vs. George Kirby | 1+ Hit (-177)

> **Yesterday's H2H matchups:** [MLB H2H Matchups - May 10](/blog/mlb-h2h-matchups-may-10-2026)

## Tonight's Slate

| Matchup | Pitchers | Time |
|---------|----------|------|
| LAA @ CLE | TBD vs Joey Cantillo | 6:10 PM ET |
| NYY @ BAL | Ryan Weathers vs Brandon Young | 6:35 PM ET |
| TB @ TOR | Drew Rasmussen vs Kevin Gausman | 7:07 PM ET |
| AZ @ TEX | Michael Soroka vs Nathan Eovaldi | 8:05 PM ET |
| SEA @ HOU | George Kirby vs Peter Lambert | 8:10 PM ET |
| SF @ LAD | Trevor McDonald vs Roki Sasaki | 10:10 PM ET |

## 1. Geraldo Perdomo (AZ) vs Nathan Eovaldi (RHP)

0.600 AVG, 1.800 OPS in 5 career AB | Globe Life Field | **1+ Hit (-205)**

*Career: 3-for-5 · .600 · 1 HR · 1 XBH · 1.800 OPS*

Career batting average against Eovaldi: .600 in 5 AB. Perdomo has the kind of pitch recognition on this arm that does not show up against the rest of the league.

Tiny sample — treat as directional, not definitive. A home run every 5 at-bats in this matchup is well above league pace. Played at Globe Life Field, where the ball carries indoors.

## 2. Joc Pederson (TEX) vs Michael Soroka (RHP)

0.600 AVG, 1.800 OPS in 5 career AB | Globe Life Field | **1+ Hit (-125)**

*Career: 3-for-5 · .600 · 1 HR · 1 XBH · 1.800 OPS*

Career batting average against Soroka: .600 in 5 AB. Pederson has the kind of pitch recognition on this arm that does not show up against the rest of the league.

Tiny sample — treat as directional, not definitive. A home run every 5 at-bats in this matchup is well above league pace. Played at Globe Life Field, where the ball carries indoors.

## 3. Chandler Simpson (TB) vs Kevin Gausman (RHP)

0.556 AVG, 1.334 OPS in 9 career AB | Rogers Centre

*Career: 5-for-9 · .556 · 2 XBH · 1.334 OPS · 1 K*

When OPS hits 1.334 in a career H2H sample, you take it seriously. Simpson is 5-for-9 against Gausman with the kind of contact that drives runs.

Small sample, but the dominance is notable. Only 1 strikeout in 9 AB shows the eye is dialed in here.

> Look up any pitcher vs batter career history on the [Hitter vs Pitcher dashboard](/mlb/hitting-stats).

## 4. Corbin Carroll (AZ) vs Nathan Eovaldi (RHP)

0.375 AVG, 1.250 OPS in 8 career AB | Globe Life Field | **1+ Hit (-192)**

*Career: 3-for-8 · .375 · 1 HR · 2 XBH · 1.250 OPS · 4 K*

When OPS hits 1.250 in a career H2H sample, you take it seriously. Carroll is 3-for-8 against Eovaldi with the kind of contact that drives runs.

Small sample, but the dominance is notable. A home run every 8 at-bats in this matchup is well above league pace. Played at Globe Life Field, where the ball carries indoors.

## 5. Yandy Díaz (TB) vs Kevin Gausman (RHP)

0.467 AVG, 1.196 OPS in 15 career AB | Rogers Centre

*Career: 7-for-15 · .467 · 1 HR · 1 XBH · 1.196 OPS · 4 K · 2 BB*

When OPS hits 1.196 in a career H2H sample, you take it seriously. Díaz is 7-for-15 against Gausman with the kind of contact that drives runs.

Moderate sample — a real pattern is emerging. A home run every 15 at-bats in this matchup is well above league pace. 2 walks in 15 AB show he reads this arm well even when he is not swinging.

## 6. Cam Smith (HOU) vs George Kirby (RHP)

0.500 AVG, 1.071 OPS in 6 career AB | Daikin Park | **1+ Hit (-177)**

*Career: 3-for-6 · .500 · 1.071 OPS · 1 BB*

Career batting average against Kirby: .500 in 6 AB. Smith has the kind of pitch recognition on this arm that does not show up against the rest of the league.

Small sample, but the dominance is notable. Currently listed at 1+ Hit (-177).

## 7. Lourdes Gurriel Jr. (AZ) vs Nathan Eovaldi (RHP)

0.333 AVG, 1.010 OPS in 21 career AB | Globe Life Field | **1+ Hit (-193)**

*Career: 7-for-21 · .333 · 2 HR · 2 XBH · 1.010 OPS · 4 K · 2 BB*

History speaks plainly here: Jr. has taken Eovaldi deep 2 times across 21 at-bats. The matchup is the matchup.

Solid sample size — this is a reliable edge. 2 walks in 21 AB show he reads this arm well even when he is not swinging. The 1.010 career OPS against this pitcher backs up the rest.

## 8. Brandon Nimmo (TEX) vs Michael Soroka (RHP)

0.286 AVG, 0.833 OPS in 14 career AB | Globe Life Field | **1+ Hit (-229)**

*Career: 4-for-14 · .286 · 1 HR · 1 XBH · 0.833 OPS · 1 K · 1 BB*

Career batting average against Soroka: .286 in 14 AB. Nimmo has the kind of pitch recognition on this arm that does not show up against the rest of the league.

Moderate sample — a real pattern is emerging. A home run every 14 at-bats in this matchup is well above league pace. Only 1 strikeout in 14 AB shows the eye is dialed in here.

## Hit Props to Consider

- **Geraldo Perdomo 1+ Hit (-205)** — 0.600 career AVG vs Nathan Eovaldi (5 AB). Implied: 67%.
- **Joc Pederson 1+ Hit (-125)** — 0.600 career AVG vs Michael Soroka (5 AB). Implied: 56%.
- **Corbin Carroll 1+ Hit (-192)** — 0.375 career AVG vs Nathan Eovaldi (8 AB). Implied: 66%.
- **Cam Smith 1+ Hit (-177)** — 0.500 career AVG vs George Kirby (6 AB). Implied: 64%.
- **Lourdes Gurriel Jr. 1+ Hit (-193)** — 0.333 career AVG vs Nathan Eovaldi (21 AB). Implied: 66%.
- **Brandon Nimmo 1+ Hit (-229)** — 0.286 career AVG vs Michael Soroka (14 AB). Implied: 70%.

*Lines via Draftkings. Always shop for the best number. Confirm starting pitcher before betting.*

## Related Guides

- [Hitter vs Pitcher Matchup Guide](/blog/hitter-vs-pitcher-matchup-guide)
- [Finding Undervalued HR Hitters](/blog/finding-undervalued-home-run-hitters)
- [MLB Stats Explained](/blog/mlb-stats-explained)

## Find More Matchups

These are today's top career advantages, but every game has matchups worth looking into. Check out the [Hitter vs Pitcher dashboard](/mlb/hitting-stats) to search any batter vs pitcher career history, view full lineup matchups, and explore Statcast data for every game on the slate.

Always confirm lineups and starting pitchers before placing any bets. A different arm on the mound changes the entire matchup profile, and career sample size matters. Matchups with 10 or more at bats carry significantly more weight than those with only five or six.

[Dinger of the Day Picks](/blog/mlb-dinger-of-the-day-may-11-2026) | [NRFI Picks](/blog/mlb-nrfi-picks-may-11-2026) | [Top Plays](/top-plays)

*Updated as lineups confirm. Full slate at [heatcheckhq.io](https://heatcheckhq.io).*

## Related Resources

- Parent hub: [MLB Props Hub](/blog/topic/mlb-props)
- Daily stream: [MLB H2H Matchup Previews](/blog/stream/mlb-h2h-matchups)
- Author: [HeatCheck HQ](/blog/author/heatcheck-hq)
- Browse all posts: [Sports Betting Insights & Guides](/blog)


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*Data powered by HeatCheck HQ — sports analytics platform. Free tools at https://heatcheckhq.io*
