# MLB Batter vs Pitcher Matchups: July 5, 2026: Today's Best H2H Advantages > Data driven batter vs pitcher matchup picks for today's 15 game MLB slate. Career H2H stats scored across AVG, OPS, HR rate, XBH rate, and contact quality. **Date:** 2026-07-05 **Author:** HeatCheck HQ **Tags:** MLB, Batter vs Pitcher, H2H Matchups, MLB Props, Daily Picks, Player Props **Full article:** https://heatcheckhq.io/blog/mlb-h2h-matchups-jul-5-2026 **Live picks & dashboards:** https://heatcheckhq.io --- **Today's best MLB batter vs pitcher matchup picks for Sunday, July 5, 2026** are Masyn Winn (Score: 88, 1.000 AVG, 2.600 OPS in 5 career AB vs Javier Assad), Manny Machado (Score: 68, 0.333 AVG, 1.666 OPS in 6 career AB vs Emmet Sheehan), Bobby Witt Jr. (Score: 61, 0.500 AVG, 1.833 OPS in 6 career AB vs Aaron Nola). Rankings are generated by HeatCheck HQ's five factor career H2H scoring model, updated daily. # MLB Batter vs Pitcher Matchups: July 5, 2026 15 game slate, 62 qualified matchups. These career head to head lines stand out. ## Hitters to Watch Today - **Masyn Winn**: .1000 AVG & 2.600 OPS with 1 HR in 5 AB vs. Javier Assad | 1+ Hit (minus 183) - **Manny Machado**: .333 AVG & 1.666 OPS with 2 HR in 6 AB vs. Emmet Sheehan | 1+ Hit (minus 207) - **Bobby Witt Jr.**: .500 AVG & 1.833 OPS with 1 HR in 6 AB vs. Aaron Nola | 2+ Hits (+151) - **Brice Turang**: .600 AVG & 1.400 OPS with 0 HR in 10 AB vs. Eduardo Rodriguez | 2+ Hits (+182) - **Shohei Ohtani**: .500 AVG & 1.250 OPS with 0 HR in 8 AB vs. JP Sears | 1+ Hit (minus 250) - **Jose Trevino**: .200 AVG & 1.133 OPS with 1 HR in 5 AB vs. Kyle Bradish > **Yesterday's H2H matchups:** [MLB H2H Matchups: July 4](/blog/mlb-h2h-matchups-jul-4-2026) ## Tonight's Slate | Matchup | Pitchers | Time | |---------|----------|------| | New York Mets at Atlanta Braves | Nolan McLean vs Martín Pérez | 12:30 PM ET | | Pittsburgh Pirates at Washington Nationals | Bubba Chandler vs Cade Cavalli | 1:00 PM ET | | Baltimore Orioles at Cincinnati Reds | Kyle Bradish vs Nick Lodolo | 1:05 PM ET | | Minnesota Twins at New York Yankees | Joe Ryan vs Ryan Weathers | 1:35 PM ET | | Chicago White Sox at Cleveland Guardians | Chris Murphy vs Tanner Bibee | 2:00 PM ET | | St. Louis Cardinals at Chicago Cubs | Matthew Liberatore vs Javier Assad | 2:30 PM ET | | Philadelphia Phillies at Kansas City Royals | Aaron Nola vs Luinder Avila | 3:00 PM ET | | Tampa Bay Rays at Houston Astros | Griffin Jax vs Peter Lambert | 3:30 PM ET | | Detroit Tigers at Texas Rangers | Casey Mize vs Kumar Rocker | 3:30 PM ET | | San Francisco Giants at Colorado Rockies | Tyler Mahle vs Tanner Gordon | 4:00 PM ET | | Milwaukee Brewers at Arizona Diamondbacks | Brandon Sproat vs Eduardo Rodriguez | 4:00 PM ET | | Miami Marlins at Athletics | Eury Pérez vs Gage Jump | 4:30 PM ET | | Toronto Blue Jays at Seattle Mariners | Trey Yesavage vs Emerson Hancock | 5:00 PM ET | | San Diego Padres at Los Angeles Dodgers | JP Sears vs Emmet Sheehan | 7:20 PM ET | | Boston Red Sox at Los Angeles Angels | Ranger Suarez vs Ryan Johnson | 9:30 PM ET | ## 1. Masyn Winn (STL) vs Javier Assad (RHP) 1.000 AVG, 2.600 OPS in 5 career AB | Wrigley Field | **1+ Hit (minus 183)** *Career: 5-for-5 · .1000 · 1 HR · 1 XBH · 2.600 OPS · 1 BB* .1000 is a real number when it holds up over 5 at bats. Winn sees something against Assad that other hitters do not. Tiny sample, so treat it as directional, not definitive. A home run every 5 at bats in this matchup is well above league pace. Played at Wrigley Field, where wind conditions can boost offense. The take is simple. History sides hard with Winn here. I'm on his hit prop tonight. ## 2. Manny Machado (SD) vs Emmet Sheehan (RHP) 0.333 AVG, 1.666 OPS in 6 career AB | UNIQLO Field at Dodger Stadium | **1+ Hit (minus 207)** *Career: 2-for-6 · .333 · 2 HR · 2 XBH · 1.666 OPS · 1 K* When OPS hits 1.666 in a career H2H sample, you take it seriously. Machado is 2-for-6 against Sheehan with the kind of contact that drives runs. Small sample, but the dominance is notable. A home run every 3 at bats in this matchup is well above league pace. Currently listed at 1+ Hit (minus 207). Bottom line: Machado owns this matchup against Sheehan. I'm on his hit prop tonight. ## 3. Bobby Witt Jr. (KC) vs Aaron Nola (RHP) 0.500 AVG, 1.833 OPS in 6 career AB | Kauffman Stadium | **2+ Hits (+151)** *Career: 3-for-6 · .500 · 1 HR · 2 XBH · 1.833 OPS · 3 K* A 1.833 career OPS against a single pitcher is rare, and Jr. owns it against Nola across 6 at bats. That is run producing dominance, not noise. Small sample, but the dominance is notable. A home run every 6 at bats in this matchup is well above league pace. Currently listed at 2+ Hits (+151). The take is simple. History sides hard with Jr. here. I'm on his hit prop tonight. > Look up any pitcher vs batter career history on the [Hitter vs Pitcher dashboard](/mlb/hitting-stats). ## 4. Brice Turang (MIL) vs Eduardo Rodriguez (LHP) 0.600 AVG, 1.400 OPS in 10 career AB | Chase Field | **2+ Hits (+182)** *Career: 6-for-10 · .600 · 2 XBH · 1.400 OPS* A 1.400 career OPS against a single pitcher is rare, and Turang owns it against Rodriguez across 10 at bats. That is run producing dominance, not noise. Small sample, but the dominance is notable. Only 0 strikeouts in 10 AB shows the eye is dialed in here. Played at Chase Field, which plays hitter friendly with the roof closed. When the sample says this much, you trust it. Turang has Rodriguez's number. I'm on his hit prop tonight. ## 5. Shohei Ohtani (LAD) vs JP Sears (LHP) 0.500 AVG, 1.250 OPS in 8 career AB | UNIQLO Field at Dodger Stadium | **1+ Hit (minus 250)** *Career: 4-for-8 · .500 · 2 XBH · 1.250 OPS* A 1.250 career OPS against a single pitcher is rare, and Ohtani owns it against Sears across 8 at bats. That is run producing dominance, not noise. Small sample, but the dominance is notable. Only 0 strikeouts in 8 AB shows the eye is dialed in here. Currently listed at 1+ Hit (minus 250). When the sample says this much, you trust it. Ohtani has Sears's number. I'm on his hit prop tonight. ## 6. Jose Trevino (CIN) vs Kyle Bradish (RHP) 0.200 AVG, 1.133 OPS in 5 career AB | Great American Ball Park *Career: 1-for-5 · .200 · 1 HR · 1 XBH · 1.133 OPS · 1 BB* .200 is a real number when it holds up over 5 at bats. Trevino sees something against Bradish that other hitters do not. Tiny sample, so treat it as directional, not definitive. A home run every 5 at bats in this matchup is well above league pace. Played at Great American Ball Park, a hitter friendly environment. Bottom line: Trevino owns this matchup against Bradish. I want him in my lineup tonight. ## 7. Anthony Volpe (NYY) vs Joe Ryan (RHP) 0.500 AVG, 1.333 OPS in 12 career AB | Yankee Stadium *Career: 6-for-12 · .500 · 1 HR · 2 XBH · 1.333 OPS · 3 K* When OPS hits 1.333 in a career H2H sample, you take it seriously. Volpe is 6-for-12 against Ryan with the kind of contact that drives runs. Moderate sample, and a real pattern is emerging. A home run every 12 at bats in this matchup is well above league pace. Played at Yankee Stadium, with its short right field porch. When the sample says this much, you trust it. Volpe has Ryan's number. I want him in my lineup tonight. ## 8. Cody Bellinger (NYY) vs Joe Ryan (RHP) 0.286 AVG, 1.232 OPS in 7 career AB | Yankee Stadium | **1+ Hit (minus 177)** *Career: 2-for-7 · .286 · 1 HR · 2 XBH · 1.232 OPS · 2 K · 1 BB* A 1.232 career OPS against a single pitcher is rare, and Bellinger owns it against Ryan across 7 at bats. That is run producing dominance, not noise. Small sample, but the dominance is notable. A home run every 7 at bats in this matchup is well above league pace. Played at Yankee Stadium, with its short right field porch. When the sample says this much, you trust it. Bellinger has Ryan's number. I'm on his hit prop tonight. ## Hit Props to Consider - **Masyn Winn 1+ Hit (minus 183)**: 1.000 career AVG vs Javier Assad (5 AB). Implied: 65%. - **Manny Machado 1+ Hit (minus 207)**: 0.333 career AVG vs Emmet Sheehan (6 AB). Implied: 67%. - **Bobby Witt Jr. 2+ Hits (+151)**: 0.500 career AVG vs Aaron Nola (6 AB). Implied: 40%. - **Brice Turang 2+ Hits (+182)**: 0.600 career AVG vs Eduardo Rodriguez (10 AB). Implied: 35%. - **Shohei Ohtani 1+ Hit (minus 250)**: 0.500 career AVG vs JP Sears (8 AB). Implied: 71%. - **Cody Bellinger 1+ Hit (minus 177)**: 0.286 career AVG vs Joe Ryan (7 AB). Implied: 64%. *Lines via Draftkings. Always shop for the best number. Confirm starting pitcher before betting.* ## Related Guides - [Hitter vs Pitcher Matchup Guide](/blog/hitter-vs-pitcher-matchup-guide) - [Finding Undervalued HR Hitters](/blog/finding-undervalued-home-run-hitters) - [MLB Stats Explained](/blog/mlb-stats-explained) ## Find More Matchups These are today's top career advantages, but every game has matchups worth looking into. Check out the [Hitter vs Pitcher dashboard](/mlb/hitting-stats) to search any batter vs pitcher career history, view full lineup matchups, and explore Statcast data for every game on the slate. Always confirm lineups and starting pitchers before placing any bets. A different arm on the mound changes the entire matchup profile, and career sample size matters. Matchups with 10 or more at bats carry significantly more weight than those with only five or six. [Dinger of the Day Picks](/blog/mlb-dinger-of-the-day-jul-5-2026) | [NRFI Picks](/blog/mlb-nrfi-picks-jul-5-2026) | [Top Plays](/top-plays) *Updated as lineups confirm. Full slate at [heatcheckhq.io](https://heatcheckhq.io).* ## Related Resources - Parent hub: [MLB Props Hub](/blog/topic/mlb-props) - Daily stream: [MLB H2H Matchup Previews](/blog/stream/mlb-h2h-matchups) - Author: [HeatCheck HQ](/blog/author/heatcheck-hq) - Browse all posts: [Sports Betting Insights & Guides](/blog) --- *Data powered by HeatCheck HQ — sports analytics platform. Free tools at https://heatcheckhq.io*