# MLB Batter vs Pitcher Matchups: July 11, 2026 > MLB H2H Matchup Preview for July 11, 2026: 15 game slate scored across 5 career batter vs pitcher factors. Kyle Tucker leads tonight. Updated daily. **Date:** 2026-07-11 **Author:** HeatCheck HQ **Tags:** MLB, Batter vs Pitcher, H2H Matchups, MLB Props, Daily Picks, Player Props **Full article:** https://heatcheckhq.io/blog/mlb-h2h-matchups-jul-11-2026 **Live picks & dashboards:** https://heatcheckhq.io --- **Today's best MLB batter vs pitcher matchup picks for Saturday, July 11, 2026** are Kyle Tucker (Score: 87, 0.600 AVG, 2.114 OPS in 5 career AB vs Brandon Pfaadt), Cal Raleigh (Score: 83, 0.600 AVG, 2.150 OPS in 5 career AB vs Griffin Jax), Rafael Devers (Score: 67, 0.286 AVG, 1.429 OPS in 7 career AB vs Kyle Freeland). Rankings are generated by HeatCheck HQ's five factor career H2H scoring model, updated daily. # MLB Batter vs Pitcher Matchups: July 11, 2026 65 batter pitcher matchups with 5+ career AB scored across 15 games. These are tonight's biggest H2H advantages. ## Hitters to Watch Today - **Kyle Tucker**: .600 AVG & 2.114 OPS with 1 HR in 5 AB vs. Brandon Pfaadt - **Cal Raleigh**: .600 AVG & 2.150 OPS with 1 HR in 5 AB vs. Griffin Jax - **Rafael Devers**: .286 AVG & 1.429 OPS with 2 HR in 7 AB vs. Kyle Freeland - **Randy Arozarena**: .500 AVG & 1.571 OPS with 1 HR in 6 AB vs. Griffin Jax - **Hunter Goodman**: .667 AVG & 1.500 OPS with 0 HR in 6 AB vs. Tyler Mahle - **Jazz Chisholm Jr.**: .600 AVG & 1.514 OPS with 0 HR in 5 AB vs. Miles Mikolas > **Yesterday's H2H matchups:** [MLB H2H Matchups: July 10](/blog/mlb-h2h-matchups-jul-10-2026) ## Tonight's Slate | Matchup | Pitchers | Time | |---------|----------|------| | Los Angeles Angels at Minnesota Twins | Ryan Johnson vs Joe Ryan | 2:10 PM ET | | Athletics at Chicago White Sox | Gage Jump vs Erick Fedde | 2:10 PM ET | | Colorado Rockies at San Francisco Giants | Kyle Freeland vs Tyler Mahle | 4:05 PM ET | | New York Yankees at Washington Nationals | Cam Schlittler vs Miles Mikolas | 4:05 PM ET | | Milwaukee Brewers at Pittsburgh Pirates | Shane Drohan vs Bubba Chandler | 4:05 PM ET | | Boston Red Sox at New York Mets | TBD vs Freddy Peralta | 4:10 PM ET | | Seattle Mariners at Tampa Bay Rays | Logan Gilbert vs Griffin Jax | 4:10 PM ET | | Cleveland Guardians at Miami Marlins | Tanner Bibee vs Eury Pérez | 4:10 PM ET | | Philadelphia Phillies at Detroit Tigers | Cristopher Sánchez vs Casey Mize | 6:10 PM ET | | Kansas City Royals at Baltimore Orioles | Noah Cameron vs Kyle Bradish | 7:05 PM ET | | Houston Astros at Texas Rangers | Peter Lambert vs Kumar Rocker | 7:05 PM ET | | Chicago Cubs at Cincinnati Reds | Javier Assad vs Nick Lodolo | 7:10 PM ET | | Atlanta Braves at St. Louis Cardinals | Reynaldo López vs Matthew Liberatore | 7:15 PM ET | | Toronto Blue Jays at San Diego Padres | Trey Yesavage vs Walker Buehler | 8:40 PM ET | | Arizona Diamondbacks at Los Angeles Dodgers | Brandon Pfaadt vs Yoshinobu Yamamoto | 9:10 PM ET | ## 1. Kyle Tucker (LAD) vs Brandon Pfaadt (RHP) 0.600 AVG, 2.114 OPS in 5 career AB | UNIQLO Field at Dodger Stadium *Career: 3-for-5 · .600 · 1 HR · 2 XBH · 2.114 OPS · 1 K · 1 BB* .600 is a real number when it holds up over 5 at bats. Tucker sees something against Pfaadt that other hitters do not. Tiny sample, so treat it as directional, not definitive. A home run every 5 at bats in this matchup is well above league pace. Bottom line: Tucker owns this matchup against Pfaadt. I want him in my lineup tonight. ## 2. Cal Raleigh (SEA) vs Griffin Jax (RHP) 0.600 AVG, 2.150 OPS in 5 career AB | Tropicana Field *Career: 3-for-5 · .600 · 1 HR · 2 XBH · 2.150 OPS · 2 K · 3 BB* .600 is a real number when it holds up over 5 at bats. Raleigh sees something against Jax that other hitters do not. Tiny sample, so treat it as directional, not definitive. A home run every 5 at bats in this matchup is well above league pace. The take is simple. History sides hard with Raleigh here. I want him in my lineup tonight. ## 3. Rafael Devers (SF) vs Kyle Freeland (LHP) 0.286 AVG, 1.429 OPS in 7 career AB | Oracle Park *Career: 2-for-7 · .286 · 2 HR · 2 XBH · 1.429 OPS · 1 K* When OPS hits 1.429 in a career H2H sample, you take it seriously. Devers is 2-for-7 against Freeland with the kind of contact that drives runs. Small sample, but the dominance is notable. A home run every 4 at bats in this matchup is well above league pace. The take is simple. History sides hard with Devers here. I want him in my lineup tonight. > Look up any pitcher vs batter career history on the [Hitter vs Pitcher dashboard](/mlb/hitting-stats). ## 4. Randy Arozarena (SEA) vs Griffin Jax (RHP) 0.500 AVG, 1.571 OPS in 6 career AB | Tropicana Field *Career: 3-for-6 · .500 · 1 HR · 1 XBH · 1.571 OPS · 1 K · 1 BB* Arozarena's slash line against Jax translates to a 1.571 OPS over 6 AB. That is the kind of split that turns a prop into a play. Small sample, but the dominance is notable. A home run every 6 at bats in this matchup is well above league pace. Verdict: give me Arozarena every time he steps in against Jax. I want him in my lineup tonight. ## 5. Hunter Goodman (COL) vs Tyler Mahle (RHP) 0.667 AVG, 1.500 OPS in 6 career AB | Oracle Park *Career: 4-for-6 · .667 · 1 XBH · 1.500 OPS · 1 K* A 1.500 career OPS against a single pitcher is rare, and Goodman owns it against Mahle across 6 at bats. That is run producing dominance, not noise. Small sample, but the dominance is notable. When the sample says this much, you trust it. Goodman has Mahle's number. I want him in my lineup tonight. ## 6. Jazz Chisholm Jr. (NYY) vs Miles Mikolas (RHP) 0.600 AVG, 1.514 OPS in 5 career AB | Nationals Park *Career: 3-for-5 · .600 · 1 XBH · 1.514 OPS · 1 K · 2 BB* Career batting average against Mikolas: .600 in 5 AB. Jr. has the kind of pitch recognition on this arm that does not show up against the rest of the league. Tiny sample, so treat it as directional, not definitive. When the sample says this much, you trust it. Jr. has Mikolas's number. I want him in my lineup tonight. ## 7. Jarren Duran (BOS) vs Freddy Peralta (RHP) 0.600 AVG, 1.200 OPS in 5 career AB | Citi Field *Career: 3-for-5 · .600 · 1.200 OPS* Career batting average against Peralta: .600 in 5 AB. Duran has the kind of pitch recognition on this arm that does not show up against the rest of the league. Tiny sample, so treat it as directional, not definitive. Verdict: give me Duran every time he steps in against Peralta. I want him in my lineup tonight. ## 8. Mookie Betts (LAD) vs Brandon Pfaadt (RHP) 0.455 AVG, 1.273 OPS in 22 career AB | UNIQLO Field at Dodger Stadium *Career: 10-for-22 · .455 · 2 HR · 3 XBH · 1.273 OPS · 4 K · 2 BB* When OPS hits 1.273 in a career H2H sample, you take it seriously. Betts is 10-for-22 against Pfaadt with the kind of contact that drives runs. Solid sample size, and this is a reliable edge. A home run every 11 at bats in this matchup is well above league pace. 3 extra base hits in 22 AB. When he connects, the ball gets out of the infield in a hurry. The take is simple. History sides hard with Betts here. I want him in my lineup tonight. ## Related Guides - [Hitter vs Pitcher Matchup Guide](/blog/hitter-vs-pitcher-matchup-guide) - [Finding Undervalued HR Hitters](/blog/finding-undervalued-home-run-hitters) - [MLB Stats Explained](/blog/mlb-stats-explained) ## Find More Matchups These are today's top career advantages, but every game has matchups worth looking into. Check out the [Hitter vs Pitcher dashboard](/mlb/hitting-stats) to search any batter vs pitcher career history, view full lineup matchups, and explore Statcast data for every game on the slate. Always confirm lineups and starting pitchers before placing any bets. A different arm on the mound changes the entire matchup profile, and career sample size matters. Matchups with 10 or more at bats carry significantly more weight than those with only five or six. [Dinger of the Day Picks](/blog/mlb-dinger-of-the-day-jul-11-2026) | [NRFI Picks](/blog/mlb-nrfi-picks-jul-11-2026) | [Top Plays](/top-plays) *Updated as lineups confirm. Full slate at [heatcheckhq.io](https://heatcheckhq.io).* ## Related Resources - Parent hub: [MLB Props Hub](/blog/topic/mlb-props) - Daily stream: [MLB H2H Matchup Previews](/blog/stream/mlb-h2h-matchups) - Author: [HeatCheck HQ](/blog/author/heatcheck-hq) - Browse all posts: [Sports Betting Insights & Guides](/blog) --- *Data powered by HeatCheck HQ — sports analytics platform. Free tools at https://heatcheckhq.io*