# MLB Batter vs Pitcher Matchups: August 28, 2026 > Data driven batter vs pitcher matchup picks for today's 15 game MLB slate. Career H2H stats scored across AVG, OPS, HR rate, XBH rate, and contact quality. **Date:** 2026-08-28 **Author:** HeatCheck HQ **Tags:** MLB, Batter vs Pitcher, H2H Matchups, MLB Props, Daily Picks, Player Props **Full article:** https://heatcheckhq.io/blog/mlb-h2h-matchups-aug-28-2026 **Live picks & dashboards:** https://heatcheckhq.io --- **Today's best MLB batter vs pitcher matchup picks for Friday, August 28, 2026** are Kody Clemens (Score: 90, 0.400 AVG, 2.171 OPS in 5 career AB vs Luis Castillo), Vinnie Pasquantino (Score: 80, 0.588 AVG, 1.808 OPS in 17 career AB vs Tanner Bibee), Trea Turner (Score: 79, 0.400 AVG, 1.825 OPS in 5 career AB vs Reid Detmers). Rankings are generated by HeatCheck HQ's five factor career H2H scoring model, updated daily. # MLB Batter vs Pitcher Matchups: August 28, 2026 76 career matchups scored, 15 games. Here's where history favors the hitter. ## Hitters to Watch Today - **Kody Clemens**: .400 AVG & 2.171 OPS with 2 HR in 5 AB vs. Luis Castillo | 1+ Hit (minus 233) - **Vinnie Pasquantino**: .588 AVG & 1.808 OPS with 2 HR in 17 AB vs. Tanner Bibee | 1+ Hit (minus 152) - **Trea Turner**: .400 AVG & 1.825 OPS with 1 HR in 5 AB vs. Reid Detmers | 1+ Hit (minus 247) - **Brady House**: .333 AVG & 1.429 OPS with 1 HR in 6 AB vs. Eury Pérez | 1+ Hit (minus 170) - **David Fry**: .444 AVG & 1.333 OPS with 1 HR in 9 AB vs. Michael Wacha - **Luis Arraez**: .571 AVG & 1.238 OPS with 0 HR in 7 AB vs. Reid Detmers | 2+ Hits (+197) > **Yesterday's H2H matchups:** [MLB H2H Matchups: August 27](/blog/mlb-h2h-matchups-aug-27-2026) ## Tonight's Slate | Matchup | Pitchers | Time | |---------|----------|------| | Cincinnati Reds at Chicago Cubs | Rhett Lowder vs David Peterson | 2:20 PM ET | | Los Angeles Dodgers at Detroit Tigers | Tarik Skubal vs Drew Anderson | 6:40 PM ET | | Miami Marlins at Washington Nationals | Eury Pérez vs Jackson Kent | 6:45 PM ET | | Kansas City Royals at Cleveland Guardians | Michael Wacha vs Tanner Bibee | 7:10 PM ET | | Houston Astros at New York Mets | Hunter Brown vs Christian Scott | 7:10 PM ET | | San Diego Padres at Tampa Bay Rays | Casey Mize vs Shane McClanahan | 7:10 PM ET | | Seattle Mariners at Toronto Blue Jays | Emerson Hancock vs Dylan Cease | 7:15 PM ET | | Colorado Rockies at Atlanta Braves | Tomoyuki Sugano vs Grant Holmes | 7:15 PM ET | | Boston Red Sox at New York Yankees | Patrick Sandoval vs Cam Schlittler | 7:15 PM ET | | Texas Rangers at Milwaukee Brewers | Cody Bradford vs Logan Henderson | 7:40 PM ET | | Chicago White Sox at Minnesota Twins | Luis Castillo vs Dean Kremer | 8:10 PM ET | | Pittsburgh Pirates at St. Louis Cardinals | Jared Jones vs Quinn Mathews | 8:15 PM ET | | Philadelphia Phillies at Los Angeles Angels | Andrew Painter vs Reid Detmers | 9:38 PM ET | | Baltimore Orioles at Athletics | Brandon Young vs Jacob Lopez | 9:40 PM ET | | Arizona Diamondbacks at San Francisco Giants | Kohl Drake vs Blade Tidwell | 10:15 PM ET | ## 1. Kody Clemens (MIN) vs Luis Castillo (RHP) 0.400 AVG, 2.171 OPS in 5 career AB | Target Field | **1+ Hit (minus 233)** *Career: 2-for-5 · .400 · 2 HR · 2 XBH · 2.171 OPS · 2 BB* 2 HR in 5 AB is what a real H2H edge looks like. Clemens has been the bat Castillo cannot put away, and tonight is another swing at it. Tiny sample, so treat it as directional, not definitive. The 2.171 career OPS against this pitcher backs up the rest. Currently listed at 1+ Hit (minus 233). Bottom line: Clemens owns this matchup against Castillo. I'm on his hit prop tonight. ## 2. Vinnie Pasquantino (KC) vs Tanner Bibee (RHP) 0.588 AVG, 1.808 OPS in 17 career AB | Progressive Field | **1+ Hit (minus 152)** *Career: 10-for-17 · .588 · 2 HR · 5 XBH · 1.808 OPS · 1 K · 2 BB* A 1.808 career OPS against a single pitcher is rare, and Pasquantino owns it against Bibee across 17 at bats. That is run producing dominance, not noise. Moderate sample, and a real pattern is emerging. A home run every 9 at bats in this matchup is well above league pace. Only 1 strikeout in 17 AB shows the eye is dialed in here. The take is simple. History sides hard with Pasquantino here. I'm on his hit prop tonight. ## 3. Trea Turner (PHI) vs Reid Detmers (LHP) 0.400 AVG, 1.825 OPS in 5 career AB | Angel Stadium | **1+ Hit (minus 247)** *Career: 2-for-5 · .400 · 1 HR · 2 XBH · 1.825 OPS · 2 BB* .400 is a real number when it holds up over 5 at bats. Turner sees something against Detmers that other hitters do not. Tiny sample, so treat it as directional, not definitive. A home run every 5 at bats in this matchup is well above league pace. Currently listed at 1+ Hit (minus 247). Verdict: give me Turner every time he steps in against Detmers. I'm on his hit prop tonight. > Look up any pitcher vs batter career history on the [Hitter vs Pitcher dashboard](/mlb/hitting-stats). ## 4. Brady House (WSH) vs Eury Pérez (RHP) 0.333 AVG, 1.429 OPS in 6 career AB | Nationals Park | **1+ Hit (minus 170)** *Career: 2-for-6 · .333 · 1 HR · 2 XBH · 1.429 OPS · 1 K · 1 BB* When OPS hits 1.429 in a career H2H sample, you take it seriously. House is 2-for-6 against Pérez with the kind of contact that drives runs. Small sample, but the dominance is notable. A home run every 6 at bats in this matchup is well above league pace. Currently listed at 1+ Hit (minus 170). When the sample says this much, you trust it. House has Pérez's number. I'm on his hit prop tonight. ## 5. David Fry (CLE) vs Michael Wacha (RHP) 0.444 AVG, 1.333 OPS in 9 career AB | Progressive Field *Career: 4-for-9 · .444 · 1 HR · 2 XBH · 1.333 OPS · 3 K* A 1.333 career OPS against a single pitcher is rare, and Fry owns it against Wacha across 9 at bats. That is run producing dominance, not noise. Small sample, but the dominance is notable. A home run every 9 at bats in this matchup is well above league pace. Verdict: give me Fry every time he steps in against Wacha. I want him in my lineup tonight. ## 6. Luis Arraez (PHI) vs Reid Detmers (LHP) 0.571 AVG, 1.238 OPS in 7 career AB | Angel Stadium | **2+ Hits (+197)** *Career: 4-for-7 · .571 · 1.238 OPS · 2 BB* Arraez's slash line against Detmers translates to a 1.238 OPS over 7 AB. That is the kind of split that turns a prop into a play. Small sample, but the dominance is notable. Currently listed at 2+ Hits (+197). Bottom line: Arraez owns this matchup against Detmers. I'm on his hit prop tonight. ## 7. JJ Bleday (CIN) vs David Peterson (LHP) 0.500 AVG, 1.250 OPS in 12 career AB | Wrigley Field *Career: 6-for-12 · .500 · 1 HR · 1 XBH · 1.250 OPS · 2 K* When OPS hits 1.250 in a career H2H sample, you take it seriously. Bleday is 6-for-12 against Peterson with the kind of contact that drives runs. Moderate sample, and a real pattern is emerging. A home run every 12 at bats in this matchup is well above league pace. Played at Wrigley Field, where wind conditions can boost offense. The take is simple. History sides hard with Bleday here. I want him in my lineup tonight. ## 8. Tyler Stephenson (CIN) vs David Peterson (LHP) 0.500 AVG, 1.205 OPS in 12 career AB | Wrigley Field *Career: 6-for-12 · .500 · 2 XBH · 1.205 OPS · 2 K · 1 BB* A 1.205 career OPS against a single pitcher is rare, and Stephenson owns it against Peterson across 12 at bats. That is run producing dominance, not noise. Moderate sample, and a real pattern is emerging. Played at Wrigley Field, where wind conditions can boost offense. The take is simple. History sides hard with Stephenson here. I want him in my lineup tonight. ## Hit Props to Consider - **Kody Clemens 1+ Hit (minus 233)**: 0.400 career AVG vs Luis Castillo (5 AB). Implied: 70%. - **Vinnie Pasquantino 1+ Hit (minus 152)**: 0.588 career AVG vs Tanner Bibee (17 AB). Implied: 60%. - **Trea Turner 1+ Hit (minus 247)**: 0.400 career AVG vs Reid Detmers (5 AB). Implied: 71%. - **Brady House 1+ Hit (minus 170)**: 0.333 career AVG vs Eury Pérez (6 AB). Implied: 63%. - **Luis Arraez 2+ Hits (+197)**: 0.571 career AVG vs Reid Detmers (7 AB). Implied: 34%. *Lines via Draftkings. Always shop for the best number. Confirm starting pitcher before betting.* ## Related Guides - [Hitter vs Pitcher Matchup Guide](/blog/hitter-vs-pitcher-matchup-guide) - [Finding Undervalued HR Hitters](/blog/finding-undervalued-home-run-hitters) - [MLB Stats Explained](/blog/mlb-stats-explained) ## Find More Matchups These are today's top career advantages, but every game has matchups worth looking into. Check out the [Hitter vs Pitcher dashboard](/mlb/hitting-stats) to search any batter vs pitcher career history, view full lineup matchups, and explore Statcast data for every game on the slate. Always confirm lineups and starting pitchers before placing any bets. A different arm on the mound changes the entire matchup profile, and career sample size matters. Matchups with 10 or more at bats carry significantly more weight than those with only five or six. [Dinger of the Day Picks](/blog/mlb-dinger-of-the-day-aug-28-2026) | [NRFI Picks](/blog/mlb-nrfi-picks-aug-28-2026) | [Top Plays](/top-plays) *Updated as lineups confirm. Full slate at [heatcheckhq.io](https://heatcheckhq.io).* ## Related Resources - Parent hub: [MLB Props Hub](/blog/topic/mlb-props) - Daily stream: [MLB H2H Matchup Previews](/blog/stream/mlb-h2h-matchups) - Author: [HeatCheck HQ](/blog/author/heatcheck-hq) - Browse all posts: [Sports Betting Insights & Guides](/blog) --- *Data powered by HeatCheck HQ — sports analytics platform. Free tools at https://heatcheckhq.io*