# MLB Batter vs Pitcher Matchups: August 25, 2026 > MLB batter vs pitcher matchups for August 25, 2026: Alec Burleson leads the board across 15 games. Career head to head data analyzed and scored. **Date:** 2026-08-25 **Author:** HeatCheck HQ **Tags:** MLB, Batter vs Pitcher, H2H Matchups, MLB Props, Daily Picks, Player Props **Full article:** https://heatcheckhq.io/blog/mlb-h2h-matchups-aug-25-2026 **Live picks & dashboards:** https://heatcheckhq.io --- **Today's best MLB batter vs pitcher matchup picks for Tuesday, August 25, 2026** are Alec Burleson (Score: 93, 0.600 AVG, 2.000 OPS in 5 career AB vs Chris Bassitt), Matt McLain (Score: 66, 0.667 AVG, 1.667 OPS in 6 career AB vs Adrian Houser), Yordan Alvarez (Score: 65, 0.800 AVG, 1.600 OPS in 5 career AB vs Will Warren). Rankings are generated by HeatCheck HQ's five factor career H2H scoring model, updated daily. # MLB Batter vs Pitcher Matchups: August 25, 2026 58 batter pitcher matchups with 5+ career AB scored across 15 games. These are tonight's biggest H2H advantages. ## Hitters to Watch Today - **Alec Burleson**: .600 AVG & 2.000 OPS with 1 HR in 5 AB vs. Chris Bassitt - **Matt McLain**: .667 AVG & 1.667 OPS with 0 HR in 6 AB vs. Adrian Houser | 1+ Hit (minus 167) - **Yordan Alvarez**: .800 AVG & 1.600 OPS with 0 HR in 5 AB vs. Will Warren | 1+ Hit (minus 272) - **Randal Grichuk**: .385 AVG & 1.429 OPS with 2 HR in 13 AB vs. Jacob deGrom - **Ramón Urías**: .500 AVG & 1.431 OPS with 1 HR in 8 AB vs. Chris Bassitt - **Miguel Vargas**: .500 AVG & 1.333 OPS with 0 HR in 6 AB vs. Jacob deGrom | 1+ Hit (minus 180) > **Yesterday's H2H matchups:** [MLB H2H Matchups: August 24](/blog/mlb-h2h-matchups-aug-24-2026) ## Tonight's Slate | Matchup | Pitchers | Time | |---------|----------|------| | Tampa Bay Rays at Detroit Tigers | Ian Seymour vs Jackson Jobe | 6:40 PM ET | | Boston Red Sox at Miami Marlins | Payton Tolle vs Tyler Phillips | 6:40 PM ET | | Colorado Rockies at Washington Nationals | Mason Adams vs Andrew Alvarez | 6:45 PM ET | | Houston Astros at New York Yankees | Ethan Pecko vs Will Warren | 7:05 PM ET | | Kansas City Royals at Toronto Blue Jays | Seth Lugo vs Max Scherzer | 7:07 PM ET | | Milwaukee Brewers at New York Mets | Kyle Harrison vs Zac Thornton | 7:10 PM ET | | Los Angeles Dodgers at Atlanta Braves | Tyler Glasnow vs Bryce Elder | 7:15 PM ET | | Texas Rangers at Chicago White Sox | Jacob deGrom vs Anthony Kay | 7:40 PM ET | | Baltimore Orioles at St. Louis Cardinals | Chris Bassitt vs Matthew Liberatore | 7:45 PM ET | | Cleveland Guardians at Los Angeles Angels | Gavin Williams vs Walbert Ureña | 9:38 PM ET | | Chicago Cubs at Arizona Diamondbacks | Clay Holmes vs Brandon Pfaadt | 9:40 PM ET | | Pittsburgh Pirates at San Diego Padres | Paul Skenes vs Michael King | 9:40 PM ET | | Minnesota Twins at Athletics | Taj Bradley vs Gage Jump | 9:40 PM ET | | Philadelphia Phillies at Seattle Mariners | Aaron Nola vs George Kirby | 9:40 PM ET | | Cincinnati Reds at San Francisco Giants | Brady Singer vs Adrian Houser | 9:45 PM ET | ## 1. Alec Burleson (STL) vs Chris Bassitt (RHP) 0.600 AVG, 2.000 OPS in 5 career AB | Busch Stadium *Career: 3-for-5 · .600 · 1 HR · 2 XBH · 2.000 OPS* Burleson is 3-for-5 (.600) lifetime against Bassitt. He sees this pitcher well and the at bats keep coming back as hits. Tiny sample, so treat it as directional, not definitive. A home run every 5 at bats in this matchup is well above league pace. The take is simple. History sides hard with Burleson here. I want him in my lineup tonight. ## 2. Matt McLain (CIN) vs Adrian Houser (RHP) 0.667 AVG, 1.667 OPS in 6 career AB | Oracle Park | **1+ Hit (minus 167)** *Career: 4-for-6 · .667 · 2 XBH · 1.667 OPS · 2 K* A 1.667 career OPS against a single pitcher is rare, and McLain owns it against Houser across 6 at bats. That is run producing dominance, not noise. Small sample, but the dominance is notable. Currently listed at 1+ Hit (minus 167). Bottom line: McLain owns this matchup against Houser. I'm on his hit prop tonight. ## 3. Yordan Alvarez (HOU) vs Will Warren (RHP) 0.800 AVG, 1.600 OPS in 5 career AB | Yankee Stadium | **1+ Hit (minus 272)** *Career: 4-for-5 · .800 · 1.600 OPS* Alvarez is 4-for-5 (.800) lifetime against Warren. He sees this pitcher well and the at bats keep coming back as hits. Tiny sample, so treat it as directional, not definitive. Played at Yankee Stadium, with its short right field porch. Currently listed at 1+ Hit (minus 272). Verdict: give me Alvarez every time he steps in against Warren. I'm on his hit prop tonight. > Look up any pitcher vs batter career history on the [Hitter vs Pitcher dashboard](/mlb/hitting-stats). ## 4. Randal Grichuk (CWS) vs Jacob deGrom (RHP) 0.385 AVG, 1.429 OPS in 13 career AB | Rate Field *Career: 5-for-13 · .385 · 2 HR · 4 XBH · 1.429 OPS · 4 K · 1 BB* A 1.429 career OPS against a single pitcher is rare, and Grichuk owns it against deGrom across 13 at bats. That is run producing dominance, not noise. Moderate sample, and a real pattern is emerging. A home run every 7 at bats in this matchup is well above league pace. 4 extra base hits in 13 AB. When he connects, the ball gets out of the infield in a hurry. When the sample says this much, you trust it. Grichuk has deGrom's number. I want him in my lineup tonight. ## 5. Ramón Urías (STL) vs Chris Bassitt (RHP) 0.500 AVG, 1.431 OPS in 8 career AB | Busch Stadium *Career: 4-for-8 · .500 · 1 HR · 1 XBH · 1.431 OPS · 1 K · 1 BB* Urías's slash line against Bassitt translates to a 1.431 OPS over 8 AB. That is the kind of split that turns a prop into a play. Small sample, but the dominance is notable. A home run every 8 at bats in this matchup is well above league pace. Only 1 strikeout in 8 AB shows the eye is dialed in here. When the sample says this much, you trust it. Urías has Bassitt's number. I want him in my lineup tonight. ## 6. Miguel Vargas (CWS) vs Jacob deGrom (RHP) 0.500 AVG, 1.333 OPS in 6 career AB | Rate Field | **1+ Hit (minus 180)** *Career: 3-for-6 · .500 · 2 XBH · 1.333 OPS · 1 K* When OPS hits 1.333 in a career H2H sample, you take it seriously. Vargas is 3-for-6 against deGrom with the kind of contact that drives runs. Small sample, but the dominance is notable. Currently listed at 1+ Hit (minus 180). When the sample says this much, you trust it. Vargas has deGrom's number. I'm on his hit prop tonight. ## 7. Salvador Perez (KC) vs Max Scherzer (RHP) 0.371 AVG, 1.160 OPS in 35 career AB | Rogers Centre | **1+ Hit (minus 198)** *Career: 13-for-35 · .371 · 4 HR · 6 XBH · 1.160 OPS · 3 K · 1 BB* Perez owns Scherzer when it comes to power: 4 home runs in 35 career at bats. That is not a stat to ignore. It is the case for tonight. Solid sample size, and this is a reliable edge. 6 extra base hits in 35 AB. When he connects, the ball gets out of the infield in a hurry. The 1.160 career OPS against this pitcher backs up the rest. When the sample says this much, you trust it. Perez has Scherzer's number. I'm on his hit prop tonight. ## 8. Tyler Stephenson (CIN) vs Adrian Houser (RHP) 0.333 AVG, 1.179 OPS in 12 career AB | Oracle Park | **1+ Hit (minus 215)** *Career: 4-for-12 · .333 · 1 HR · 3 XBH · 1.179 OPS · 2 K · 2 BB* A 1.179 career OPS against a single pitcher is rare, and Stephenson owns it against Houser across 12 at bats. That is run producing dominance, not noise. Moderate sample, and a real pattern is emerging. A home run every 12 at bats in this matchup is well above league pace. 3 extra base hits in 12 AB. When he connects, the ball gets out of the infield in a hurry. When the sample says this much, you trust it. Stephenson has Houser's number. I'm on his hit prop tonight. ## Hit Props to Consider - **Matt McLain 1+ Hit (minus 167)**: 0.667 career AVG vs Adrian Houser (6 AB). Implied: 63%. - **Yordan Alvarez 1+ Hit (minus 272)**: 0.800 career AVG vs Will Warren (5 AB). Implied: 73%. - **Miguel Vargas 1+ Hit (minus 180)**: 0.500 career AVG vs Jacob deGrom (6 AB). Implied: 64%. - **Salvador Perez 1+ Hit (minus 198)**: 0.371 career AVG vs Max Scherzer (35 AB). Implied: 66%. - **Tyler Stephenson 1+ Hit (minus 215)**: 0.333 career AVG vs Adrian Houser (12 AB). Implied: 68%. *Lines via Draftkings. Always shop for the best number. Confirm starting pitcher before betting.* ## Related Guides - [Hitter vs Pitcher Matchup Guide](/blog/hitter-vs-pitcher-matchup-guide) - [Finding Undervalued HR Hitters](/blog/finding-undervalued-home-run-hitters) - [MLB Stats Explained](/blog/mlb-stats-explained) ## Find More Matchups These are today's top career advantages, but every game has matchups worth looking into. Check out the [Hitter vs Pitcher dashboard](/mlb/hitting-stats) to search any batter vs pitcher career history, view full lineup matchups, and explore Statcast data for every game on the slate. Always confirm lineups and starting pitchers before placing any bets. A different arm on the mound changes the entire matchup profile, and career sample size matters. Matchups with 10 or more at bats carry significantly more weight than those with only five or six. [Dinger of the Day Picks](/blog/mlb-dinger-of-the-day-aug-25-2026) | [NRFI Picks](/blog/mlb-nrfi-picks-aug-25-2026) | [Top Plays](/top-plays) *Updated as lineups confirm. Full slate at [heatcheckhq.io](https://heatcheckhq.io).* ## Related Resources - Parent hub: [MLB Props Hub](/blog/topic/mlb-props) - Daily stream: [MLB H2H Matchup Previews](/blog/stream/mlb-h2h-matchups) - Author: [HeatCheck HQ](/blog/author/heatcheck-hq) - Browse all posts: [Sports Betting Insights & Guides](/blog) --- *Data powered by HeatCheck HQ — sports analytics platform. Free tools at https://heatcheckhq.io*