# MLB Batter vs Pitcher Matchups: August 11, 2026 > Who owns their matchup tonight? 15 games analyzed through career H2H batting average, OPS, and strikeout rate. Teoscar Hernández tops the board. **Date:** 2026-08-11 **Author:** HeatCheck HQ **Tags:** MLB, Batter vs Pitcher, H2H Matchups, MLB Props, Daily Picks, Player Props **Full article:** https://heatcheckhq.io/blog/mlb-h2h-matchups-aug-11-2026 **Live picks & dashboards:** https://heatcheckhq.io --- **Today's best MLB batter vs pitcher matchup picks for Tuesday, August 11, 2026** are Teoscar Hernández (Score: 89, 0.545 AVG, 1.765 OPS in 11 career AB vs Michael Wacha), A.J. Ewing (Score: 86, 0.600 AVG, 1.800 OPS in 5 career AB vs Martín Pérez), Gavin Sheets (Score: 76, 0.600 AVG, 1.600 OPS in 5 career AB vs Kyle Harrison). Rankings are generated by HeatCheck HQ's five factor career H2H scoring model, updated daily. # MLB Batter vs Pitcher Matchups: August 11, 2026 15 game slate, 94 qualified matchups. These career head to head lines stand out. ## Hitters to Watch Today - **Teoscar Hernández**: .545 AVG & 1.765 OPS with 2 HR in 11 AB vs. Michael Wacha | 1+ Hit (minus 161) - **A.J. Ewing**: .600 AVG & 1.800 OPS with 1 HR in 5 AB vs. Martín Pérez | 1+ Hit (minus 206) - **Gavin Sheets**: .600 AVG & 1.600 OPS with 0 HR in 5 AB vs. Kyle Harrison - **Ketel Marte**: .500 AVG & 1.333 OPS with 0 HR in 6 AB vs. Tomoyuki Sugano | 2+ Hits (+194) - **Kyle Schwarber**: .444 AVG & 1.333 OPS with 1 HR in 9 AB vs. Andre Pallante | 1+ Hit (minus 208) - **Freddie Freeman**: .533 AVG & 1.450 OPS with 1 HR in 15 AB vs. Michael Wacha | 1+ Hit (minus 248) > **Yesterday's H2H matchups:** [MLB H2H Matchups: August 10](/blog/mlb-h2h-matchups-aug-10-2026) ## Tonight's Slate | Matchup | Pitchers | Time | |---------|----------|------| | Cleveland Guardians at Detroit Tigers | Tanner Bibee vs Drew Anderson | 6:40 PM ET | | Pittsburgh Pirates at Miami Marlins | Paul Skenes vs Eury Pérez | 6:40 PM ET | | Chicago Cubs at Washington Nationals | Shota Imanaga vs Jake Irvin | 6:45 PM ET | | Seattle Mariners at New York Yankees | Bryan Woo vs Ryan Weathers | 7:05 PM ET | | Boston Red Sox at Toronto Blue Jays | Patrick Sandoval vs Dylan Cease | 7:07 PM ET | | New York Mets at Atlanta Braves | Nolan McLean vs Martín Pérez | 7:15 PM ET | | Baltimore Orioles at Minnesota Twins | Brandon Young vs Bailey Ober | 7:40 PM ET | | Cincinnati Reds at Chicago White Sox | Nick Lodolo vs Sean Burke | 7:40 PM ET | | Philadelphia Phillies at St. Louis Cardinals | Cristopher Sánchez vs Andre Pallante | 7:45 PM ET | | Texas Rangers at Los Angeles Angels | Cody Bradford vs Ryan Johnson | 9:38 PM ET | | Colorado Rockies at Arizona Diamondbacks | Tomoyuki Sugano vs Mitch Bratt | 9:40 PM ET | | Tampa Bay Rays at Athletics | Nick Martinez vs Mason Barnett | 9:40 PM ET | | Milwaukee Brewers at San Diego Padres | Kyle Harrison vs Walker Buehler | 9:40 PM ET | | Houston Astros at San Francisco Giants | Hunter Brown vs Carson Whisenhunt | 9:45 PM ET | | Kansas City Royals at Los Angeles Dodgers | Michael Wacha vs Blake Snell | 10:10 PM ET | ## 1. Teoscar Hernández (LAD) vs Michael Wacha (RHP) 0.545 AVG, 1.765 OPS in 11 career AB | UNIQLO Field at Dodger Stadium | **1+ Hit (minus 161)** *Career: 6-for-11 · .545 · 2 HR · 3 XBH · 1.765 OPS · 2 K · 1 BB* A 1.765 career OPS against a single pitcher is rare, and Hernández owns it against Wacha across 11 at bats. That is run producing dominance, not noise. Moderate sample, and a real pattern is emerging. A home run every 6 at bats in this matchup is well above league pace. 3 extra base hits in 11 AB. When he connects, the ball gets out of the infield in a hurry. When the sample says this much, you trust it. Hernández has Wacha's number. I'm on his hit prop tonight. ## 2. A.J. Ewing (NYM) vs Martín Pérez (LHP) 0.600 AVG, 1.800 OPS in 5 career AB | Truist Park | **1+ Hit (minus 206)** *Career: 3-for-5 · .600 · 1 HR · 1 XBH · 1.800 OPS · 2 K* Ewing is 3-for-5 (.600) lifetime against Pérez. He sees this pitcher well and the at bats keep coming back as hits. Tiny sample, so treat it as directional, not definitive. A home run every 5 at bats in this matchup is well above league pace. Currently listed at 1+ Hit (minus 206). Bottom line: Ewing owns this matchup against Pérez. I'm on his hit prop tonight. ## 3. Gavin Sheets (SD) vs Kyle Harrison (LHP) 0.600 AVG, 1.600 OPS in 5 career AB | Petco Park *Career: 3-for-5 · .600 · 1 XBH · 1.600 OPS* Sheets is 3-for-5 (.600) lifetime against Harrison. He sees this pitcher well and the at bats keep coming back as hits. Tiny sample, so treat it as directional, not definitive. Bottom line: Sheets owns this matchup against Harrison. I want him in my lineup tonight. > Look up any pitcher vs batter career history on the [Hitter vs Pitcher dashboard](/mlb/hitting-stats). ## 4. Ketel Marte (AZ) vs Tomoyuki Sugano (RHP) 0.500 AVG, 1.333 OPS in 6 career AB | Chase Field | **2+ Hits (+194)** *Career: 3-for-6 · .500 · 2 XBH · 1.333 OPS* Marte's slash line against Sugano translates to a 1.333 OPS over 6 AB. That is the kind of split that turns a prop into a play. Small sample, but the dominance is notable. Played at Chase Field, which plays hitter friendly with the roof closed. Currently listed at 2+ Hits (+194). Verdict: give me Marte every time he steps in against Sugano. I'm on his hit prop tonight. ## 5. Kyle Schwarber (PHI) vs Andre Pallante (RHP) 0.444 AVG, 1.333 OPS in 9 career AB | Busch Stadium | **1+ Hit (minus 208)** *Career: 4-for-9 · .444 · 1 HR · 2 XBH · 1.333 OPS · 1 K* A 1.333 career OPS against a single pitcher is rare, and Schwarber owns it against Pallante across 9 at bats. That is run producing dominance, not noise. Small sample, but the dominance is notable. A home run every 9 at bats in this matchup is well above league pace. Only 1 strikeout in 9 AB shows the eye is dialed in here. The take is simple. History sides hard with Schwarber here. I'm on his hit prop tonight. ## 6. Freddie Freeman (LAD) vs Michael Wacha (RHP) 0.533 AVG, 1.450 OPS in 15 career AB | UNIQLO Field at Dodger Stadium | **1+ Hit (minus 248)** *Career: 8-for-15 · .533 · 1 HR · 2 XBH · 1.450 OPS · 2 K · 5 BB* When OPS hits 1.450 in a career H2H sample, you take it seriously. Freeman is 8-for-15 against Wacha with the kind of contact that drives runs. Moderate sample, and a real pattern is emerging. A home run every 15 at bats in this matchup is well above league pace. 5 walks in 15 AB show he reads this arm well even when he is not swinging. Bottom line: Freeman owns this matchup against Wacha. I'm on his hit prop tonight. ## 7. Ian Happ (CHC) vs Jake Irvin (RHP) 0.333 AVG, 1.427 OPS in 9 career AB | Nationals Park | **1+ Hit (minus 191)** *Career: 3-for-9 · .333 · 1 HR · 3 XBH · 1.427 OPS · 3 K · 4 BB* A 1.427 career OPS against a single pitcher is rare, and Happ owns it against Irvin across 9 at bats. That is run producing dominance, not noise. Small sample, but the dominance is notable. A home run every 9 at bats in this matchup is well above league pace. 3 extra base hits in 9 AB. When he connects, the ball gets out of the infield in a hurry. Bottom line: Happ owns this matchup against Irvin. I'm on his hit prop tonight. ## 8. Pete Crow-Armstrong (CHC) vs Jake Irvin (RHP) 0.333 AVG, 1.142 OPS in 9 career AB | Nationals Park | **2+ Hits (+182)** *Career: 3-for-9 · .333 · 1 HR · 2 XBH · 1.142 OPS · 1 K · 1 BB* A 1.142 career OPS against a single pitcher is rare, and Crow-Armstrong owns it against Irvin across 9 at bats. That is run producing dominance, not noise. Small sample, but the dominance is notable. A home run every 9 at bats in this matchup is well above league pace. Only 1 strikeout in 9 AB shows the eye is dialed in here. Verdict: give me Crow-Armstrong every time he steps in against Irvin. I'm on his hit prop tonight. ## Hit Props to Consider - **Teoscar Hernández 1+ Hit (minus 161)**: 0.545 career AVG vs Michael Wacha (11 AB). Implied: 62%. - **A.J. Ewing 1+ Hit (minus 206)**: 0.600 career AVG vs Martín Pérez (5 AB). Implied: 67%. - **Ketel Marte 2+ Hits (+194)**: 0.500 career AVG vs Tomoyuki Sugano (6 AB). Implied: 34%. - **Kyle Schwarber 1+ Hit (minus 208)**: 0.444 career AVG vs Andre Pallante (9 AB). Implied: 68%. - **Freddie Freeman 1+ Hit (minus 248)**: 0.533 career AVG vs Michael Wacha (15 AB). Implied: 71%. - **Ian Happ 1+ Hit (minus 191)**: 0.333 career AVG vs Jake Irvin (9 AB). Implied: 66%. - **Pete Crow-Armstrong 2+ Hits (+182)**: 0.333 career AVG vs Jake Irvin (9 AB). Implied: 35%. *Lines via Draftkings. Always shop for the best number. Confirm starting pitcher before betting.* ## Related Guides - [Hitter vs Pitcher Matchup Guide](/blog/hitter-vs-pitcher-matchup-guide) - [Finding Undervalued HR Hitters](/blog/finding-undervalued-home-run-hitters) - [MLB Stats Explained](/blog/mlb-stats-explained) ## Find More Matchups These are today's top career advantages, but every game has matchups worth looking into. Check out the [Hitter vs Pitcher dashboard](/mlb/hitting-stats) to search any batter vs pitcher career history, view full lineup matchups, and explore Statcast data for every game on the slate. Always confirm lineups and starting pitchers before placing any bets. A different arm on the mound changes the entire matchup profile, and career sample size matters. Matchups with 10 or more at bats carry significantly more weight than those with only five or six. [Dinger of the Day Picks](/blog/mlb-dinger-of-the-day-aug-11-2026) | [NRFI Picks](/blog/mlb-nrfi-picks-aug-11-2026) | [Top Plays](/top-plays) *Updated as lineups confirm. Full slate at [heatcheckhq.io](https://heatcheckhq.io).* ## Related Resources - Parent hub: [MLB Props Hub](/blog/topic/mlb-props) - Daily stream: [MLB H2H Matchup Previews](/blog/stream/mlb-h2h-matchups) - Author: [HeatCheck HQ](/blog/author/heatcheck-hq) - Browse all posts: [Sports Betting Insights & Guides](/blog) --- *Data powered by HeatCheck HQ — sports analytics platform. Free tools at https://heatcheckhq.io*